Result
2:1
13/12/2025 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 8
- Referee: Evans S. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | 10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 4 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (309/385) | 85% (458/540) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.77 | 1.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (309/385) | 85% (458/540) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (25/50) | 38% (21/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (115/160) | 72% (94/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.66 | 2.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Vriends B. ↓, Barnett J. ↑,
- 24', 1 - 0, Vergos N. ⚽, Valadon J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 2 - 0, Vergos N. ⚽, Mata J. (A),
- 48', Vergos N. 🟨,
- 59', Dukuly Y. ↓, Folami B. ↑,
- 59', Jovanovic L. ↓, Anselmo ↑,
- 59', Muniz J. ↓, Yull J. ↑,
- 66', Velupillay N. ↓, Grimaldi M. ↑,
- 73', Duzel L. 🟨,
- 78', Duzel L. ↓, White R. ↑,
- 79', Mata J. ↓, Jelacic K. ↑,
- 79', Vergos N. ↓, Reec J. ↑,
- 79', Clarismario ↓, Dragicevic O. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 1, Pierias D. ⚽, Folami B. (A),
- 90+4', D'Arrigo L. ↓, Jackson L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Melbourne Victory
40.8% | Draw
24.4% | Adelaide United
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↓
(2.57) |
3.87 ↑
(3.6) |
2.72 ↑
(2.3) |
5.5%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Adelaide will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne Victory: 41.5% – 84.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Melbourne Victory (1.75) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 4.
- Recent form of Melbourne Victory has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Adelaide has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Melbourne Victory has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Hamill B.
(Knee Injury)
Lino F.
(Injury)
Piscopo R.
(Injury)
Saglam Z.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Adelaide United?
Melbourne Victory has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Melbourne Victory?
Adelaide United has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United were as follows:
29.03.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Adelaide United
5:3
18.01.2025
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne Victory
3:2
21.09.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Adelaide United
1:0
09.03.2024
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne Victory
1:2
30.12.2023
Melbourne Victory
-
Adelaide United
2:0
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Latest results of Adelaide United
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 20 |
| 2 | Sydney FC | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Adelaide United | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Macarthur FC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 | Perth Glory | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 | Melbourne City | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Newcastle Jets | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Central Coast Mariners | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
