Result
5:3
29/03/2025 at 04:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 24
- Referee: Evans S. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | 10 Bold, 10 Play, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 5, Sky Sport Select |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
 South-korea | SPOTV, SPOTV Now |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports 7 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.62 | 2.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (357/447) | 70% (226/321) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.62 | 2.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.95 | 2.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (357/447) | 70% (226/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (18/49) | 31% (19/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (68/104) | 53% (47/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 0.92 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 47 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 41 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.21 | 3.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | -1.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Yull J. ⚽, Kitto R. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Arzani D. ⚽, Velupillay N. (A),
- 39', 2 - 1, Velupillay N. ⚽, Machach Z. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', Ayoubi A. ↓, Clough Z. ↑,
- 46', Barnett J. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
- 46', Jackson L. ↓, Hamill B. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 2, Goodwin A. ⚽, Alagich E. (A),
- 51', Kikianis P. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 3, Clough Z. (Pen),
- 62', Monge F. ↓, Valadon J. ↑,
- 70', 3 - 3, Arzani D. (Pen),
- 75', Piscopo R. ↓, Badolato A. ↑,
- 76', Goodwin A. ↓, Jovanovic L. ↑,
- 78', Fornaroli B. 🟨,
- 85', Fornaroli B. ↓, Vergos N. ↑,
- 85', Inserra J. ↓, Rawlins J. ↑,
- 87', Clough Z. 🟨,
- 88', 4 - 3, Vergos N. ⚽, Rawlins J. (A),
- 90', 5 - 3, Vergos N. ⚽, Velupillay N. (A),
- 90+8', Badolato A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Melbourne Victory
45.3% | Draw
24.2% | Adelaide United
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Victory, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.87) |
3.91 ↓
(4.04) |
3.13 ↓
(3.56) |
5.7%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Adelaide will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne Victory: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Melbourne Victory won 3.
- Recent matches Melbourne Victory is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Adelaide is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Adelaide could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Melbourne Victory will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Melbourne Victory won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 20:26 (average 1:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Melbourne Victory won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Adelaide United?
Melbourne Victory has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Melbourne Victory?
Adelaide United has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United were as follows:
18.01.2025
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne Victory
3:2
21.09.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Adelaide United
1:0
09.03.2024
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne Victory
1:2
30.12.2023
Melbourne Victory
-
Adelaide United
2:0
04.11.2023
Melbourne Victory
-
Adelaide United
1:1
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Latest results of Adelaide United
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
