Result
2:1
17/01/2026 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 13
- Referee: Keevers L. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | 10 Play, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 3, Sky Sport 5 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 2.03 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (381/475) | 75% (326/432) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 2.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 2.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (381/475) | 75% (326/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (21/64) | 50% (29/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (67/108) | 68% (99/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 67% (4/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (17/22) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.06 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Goodwin C. ⚽, Yull J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', Clarismario 🟨,
- 62', Kikianis P. 🟨,
- 67', Riak A. ↓, Burkitt B. ↑,
- 67', Anselmo ↓, Garuccio J. ↑,
- 67', Velupillay N. ↓, Jelacic K. ↑,
- 67', Vergos N. ↓, Reec J. ↑,
- 67', Clarismario ↓, Grimaldi M. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Grimaldi M. ⚽,
- 78', Genreau D. ↓, Piscopo R. ↑,
- 84', White R. 🟨,
- 85', Jackson L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Mata J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Mata J. ↓, Stella X. ↑,
- 90+3', Duzel L. ↓, Muniz J. ↑,
- 90+3', Barnett J. ↓, Madanha P. ↑,
- 90+7', 2 - 1, Kitto R. ⚽, Muniz J. (A),
- 90+8', Grimaldi M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Adelaide United
30.1% | Draw
24.9% | Melbourne Victory
44.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Adelaide United - Melbourne Victory Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.93) |
3.76 ↑
(3.55) |
2.1 ↓
(2.19) |
6.2%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Adelaide United - Melbourne Victory?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne Victory: 23.4% – 70.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 1.
- Recent performances by Adelaide have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Melbourne Victory is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Melbourne Victory may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Melbourne Victory has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Adelaide: Pierias D.
(Inactive)
Vriends B.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Davidson J.
(Yellow Cards)
Hamill B.
(Knee Injury)
Rawlins J.
(International duty)
Roderick
(Leg Injury)
Valadon J.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Adelaide: Anselmo
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Melbourne Victory?
Adelaide United has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Adelaide United?
Melbourne Victory has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide United - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
13.12.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Adelaide United
2:1
29.03.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Adelaide United
5:3
18.01.2025
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne Victory
3:2
21.09.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Adelaide United
1:0
09.03.2024
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne Victory
1:2
Latest results of Adelaide United
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 16 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 37:28 | 9 | 30 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | 6 | 28 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Macarthur FC | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:23 | 1 | 25 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 23:21 | 2 | 23 |
| 6 | Adelaide United | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 23 |
| 7 | Melbourne City | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 21 |
| 9 | Perth Glory | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 | Central Coast Mariners | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Wellington Phoenix | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 26:31 | -5 | 19 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13:21 | -8 | 16 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
