Western Sydney Wanderers vs Adelaide United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
20/03/2026 at 04:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaSPOTV 2 Asia
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaSPOTV 2, Vidio
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
mongoliaMongoliaSPOTV 2
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 4
philippinesPhilippinesSPOTV 2
singaporeSingaporeSPOTV 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandSPOTV 2, True ID, True Premier Football 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 6
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
vietnamVietnamSPOTV 2
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.372.56
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
1626
Shots on target
610
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
56
Passes
88% (423/483)83% (344/413)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.372.56
xG on target (xGOT)
2.093.50
Total shots
1626
Shots on target
610
Shots off target
89
Blocked shots
27
Shots inside the box
1215
Shots outside the box
411
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
3233
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
23
Free kicks
97
Passes
88% (423/483)83% (344/413)
Long passes
58% (25/43)45% (22/49)
Passes in final third
72% (86/119)74% (91/123)
Crosses
39% (9/23)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.761.06
Throw ins
812
Fouls
79
Tackles
27% (3/11)63% (10/16)
Duels won
3938
Clearances
1923
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
21
Goalkeeper saves
64
xGOT faced
3.502.09
Goals prevented
-0.500.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Gersbach A. , Scicluna D. (A),
  • 22', 1 - 1, Jovanovic L. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, Muniz J. , Alagich E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Fraser R. , Hammond A. ,
  • 55', 2 - 2, Thurgate A. , Pantazopoulos A. (A),
  • 62', Carluccio J. , Cancar P. ,
  • 63', 2 - 3, Jovanovic L. , Yull J. (A),
  • 68', Muniz J. , Duzel L. ,
  • 71', 2 - 4, Kikianis P. ,
  • 76', Scicluna D. , Rose J. ,
  • 80', Jovanovic L. , Anselmo ,
  • 89', Borrello B. , Barbarouses K. ,
  • 89', Ugarkovic S. , Brillante J. ,
  • 90', Smits J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', White R. , Ayoubi A. ,
  • 90+6', Dukuly Y. , Folami B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Western Sydney Wanderers
48.1%
Draw
23.6%
Adelaide United
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 24.5% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 24.9% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Western Sydney Wanderers - Adelaide United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.95)
    3.98
    (3.77)
    3.34
    (3.3)
    5.7%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Western Sydney Wanderers - Adelaide United?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Western Sydney will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Adelaide will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Adelaide: 29.6%90.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Adelaide (2.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Adelaide (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • EH -1 - Adelaide (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Adelaide (2.10) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 1.
    • In recent matches, Western Sydney has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Adelaide is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Western Sydney has had a series of away games.
    • Western Sydney could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Western Sydney: Simmons A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Adelaide: Goodwin C. (Groin Injury) Kikianis P. (Yellow Cards) Pierias D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 44:38. (average 2.2:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Western Sydney won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 2.4:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Western Sydney Wanderers - Adelaide United were as follows:
    27.12.2025 Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers 3:2
    07.11.2025 Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers 2:0
    27.12.2024 Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers 2:3
    02.11.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers - Adelaide United 3:4
    12.09.2024 Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers 2:1
    Latest results of Adelaide United
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newcastle Jets ✔ 24142849:371244
    2Auckland FC24118540:261441
    3Sydney FC24114931:23837
    4Adelaide United24107741:34737
    5Melbourne Victory24106840:31936
    6Melbourne City2498729:29035
    7Macarthur FC2487932:41-931
    8Wellington Phoenix24861034:43-930
    9Central Coast Mariners2478934:38-429
    10Perth Glory24761130:38-827
    11Brisbane Roar24681024:31-726
    12WS Wanderers24561326:39-1321

          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Newcastle Jets is Qualified for A~League (Play Offs Semi~finals)