VVV-Venlo vs ADO Den Haag – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Covebo Stadion - De Koel (Venlo).

Eerste Divisie - Round 38
Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.67	2.85
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
10	18
Shots on target
3	10
Big Chances
1	7
Corner Kicks
5	7
Passes
80% (266/334)	83% (376/455)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67	2.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.35	3.83
Total shots
10	18
Shots on target
3	10
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
8	11
Shots outside the Box
2	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	2
Big Chances
1	7
Corner Kicks
5	7
Touches in opposition box
17	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
8	11
Passes
80% (266/334)	83% (376/455)
Long passes
55% (32/58)	55% (44/80)
Passes in final third
55% (38/69)	70% (100/142)
Crosses
64% (7/11)	28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.75	1.68
Throw-ins
22	21
Fouls
11	8
Tackles
38% (3/8)	83% (15/18)
Duels won
35	42
Clearances
37	17
Interceptions
5	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
3.83	1.35
Goals prevented
-3.17	-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 3)
24', 0 - 1, Vlak J. ⚽, van Mieghem D. (A),
32', Saddiki D. ↓, Sierra E. ↑,
33', 0 - 2, Bonis L. ⚽, van Mieghem D. (A),
36', 0 - 3, van Mieghem D. ⚽, Rottier E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 4)
46', Gyamfi E. ↓, Mokono S. ↑,
46', Sylla S. ↓, Hamalainen T. ↑,
46', van Mieghem D. ↓, Reischl L. ↑,
49', 0 - 4, Rottier E. ⚽,
58', Janssen S. ↓, van Zutphen D. ↑,
58', Braem T. ↓, Kluskens J. ↑,
59', 0 - 5, Vlak J. ⚽,
63', Bonis L. ↓, Schalk A. ↑,
63', Kilo J. ↓, de Bruin F. ↑,
63', 0 - 6, Reischl L. ⚽, Vlak J. (A),
69', 1 - 6, Zandbergen D. ⚽, Wehmeyer L. (A),
75', Vlak J. ↓, Surmeli K. ↑,
80', 1 - 7, Schalk A. ⚽, Reischl L. (A),
81', Foor N. ↓, Berden M. ↑,
90', 2 - 7, Kluskens J. ⚽,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/zbhxnn2b

Chances of winning

VVV-Venlo
31.7%

Draw
24.3%

ADO Den Haag
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

24.9%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

24.5%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in VVV-Venlo's performance.

ADO Den Haag has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ADO Den Haag might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with VVV-Venlo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ADO Den Haag could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.61)	3.85 ↑ (3.78)	2.13 ↑ (1.91)	6.8% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag?

Users Predictions: ADO Den Haag will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie (Promotion )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Den Haag may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Den Haag is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Venlo: Darri B. (Injury) Timber D. (Knee Injury) van Crooij D. (Injury)
There will not play in Den Haag: Reischl L. (Broken collarbone)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has VVV-Venlo won against ADO Den Haag?

VVV-Venlo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has ADO Den Haag won against VVV-Venlo?

ADO Den Haag has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag were as follows:

10.08.2024 ADO Den Haag - VVV-Venlo 1:1

22.01.2024 VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag 2:1

27.10.2023 ADO Den Haag - VVV-Venlo 2:2

27.01.2023 VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag 0:0

04.11.2022 ADO Den Haag - VVV-Venlo 2:3

Latest results of VVV-Venlo

02.05.2025 Emmen - VVV-Venlo 2:1 ✺

28.04.2025 VVV-Venlo - De Graafschap 3:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Den Bosch - VVV-Venlo 0:0 ✺

13.04.2025 VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport 4:1 ✺

04.04.2025 FC Oss - VVV-Venlo 2:1 ✺

Latest results of ADO Den Haag

02.05.2025 ADO Den Haag - Cambuur 3:4 ✺

24.04.2025 Roda - ADO Den Haag 1:1 ✺

20.04.2025 ADO Den Haag - Jong PSV 3:2 ✺

11.04.2025 Telstar - ADO Den Haag 1:1 ✺

07.04.2025 Jong Utrecht - ADO Den Haag 1:1 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	De Graafschap	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Venlo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cambuur	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Den Bosch	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Dordrecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Eindhoven FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	FC Emmen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Helmond	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Maastricht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Almere City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Oss	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Waalwijk	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Roda	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Vitesse	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Willem II	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Den Haag	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Jong PSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Jong Ajax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Jong AZ	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Jong Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )