VVV-Venlo vs ADO Den Haag – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag
Result
2:7
09/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 38
  • Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.672.85
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
310
Big Chances
17
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
80% (266/334)83% (376/455)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.672.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.353.83
Total shots
1018
Shots on target
310
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
02
Big Chances
17
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
811
Passes
80% (266/334)83% (376/455)
Long passes
55% (32/58)55% (44/80)
Passes in final third
55% (38/69)70% (100/142)
Crosses
64% (7/11)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.751.68
Throw-ins
2221
Fouls
118
Tackles
38% (3/8)83% (15/18)
Duels won
3542
Clearances
3717
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
3.831.35
Goals prevented
-3.17-0.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Vlak J. , van Mieghem D. (A),
  • 32', Saddiki D. , Sierra E. ,
  • 33', 0 - 2, Bonis L. , van Mieghem D. (A),
  • 36', 0 - 3, van Mieghem D. , Rottier E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 4)
  • 46', Gyamfi E. , Mokono S. ,
  • 46', Sylla S. , Hamalainen T. ,
  • 46', van Mieghem D. , Reischl L. ,
  • 49', 0 - 4, Rottier E. ,
  • 58', Janssen S. , van Zutphen D. ,
  • 58', Braem T. , Kluskens J. ,
  • 59', 0 - 5, Vlak J. ,
  • 63', Bonis L. , Schalk A. ,
  • 63', Kilo J. , de Bruin F. ,
  • 63', 0 - 6, Reischl L. , Vlak J. (A),
  • 69', 1 - 6, Zandbergen D. , Wehmeyer L. (A),
  • 75', Vlak J. , Surmeli K. ,
  • 80', 1 - 7, Schalk A. , Reischl L. (A),
  • 81', Foor N. , Berden M. ,
  • 90', 2 - 7, Kluskens J. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/zbhxnn2b

Chances of winning


VVV-Venlo
31.7%
Draw
24.3%
ADO Den Haag
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26% 24.9% 49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6% 24.5% 49.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in VVV-Venlo's performance.
  • ADO Den Haag has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ADO Den Haag might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with VVV-Venlo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ADO Den Haag could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (3.61)
    3.85
    (3.78)
    2.13
    (1.91)
    6.8%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag?
  • Users Predictions: ADO Den Haag will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie (Promotion )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Den Haag may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Den Haag is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Venlo: Darri B. (Injury) Timber D. (Knee Injury) van Crooij D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Den Haag: Reischl L. (Broken collarbone)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag were as follows:
    10.08.2024 ADO Den Haag - VVV-Venlo 1:1
    22.01.2024 VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag 2:1
    27.10.2023 ADO Den Haag - VVV-Venlo 2:2
    27.01.2023 VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag 0:0
    04.11.2022 ADO Den Haag - VVV-Venlo 2:3
    Latest results of VVV-Venlo
    02.05.2025 Emmen - VVV-Venlo 2:1
    28.04.2025 VVV-Venlo - De Graafschap 3:1
    18.04.2025 Den Bosch - VVV-Venlo 0:0
    13.04.2025 VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport 4:1
    04.04.2025 FC Oss - VVV-Venlo 2:1
    Latest results of ADO Den Haag
    02.05.2025 ADO Den Haag - Cambuur 3:4
    24.04.2025 Roda - ADO Den Haag 1:1
    20.04.2025 ADO Den Haag - Jong PSV 3:2
    11.04.2025 Telstar - ADO Den Haag 1:1
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag11101033:72631
    2Cambuur1383226:17927
    3Roda1374225:16925
    4Jong PSV1363425:21421
    5Waalwijk1363424:20421
    6Den Bosch1262423:25-220
    7Willem II1262415:19-420
    8Dordrecht1354418:17119
    9Venlo1360719:18118
    10De Graafschap1244419:19016
    11FC Emmen1351722:25-316
    12Helmond1351716:19-316
    13Jong Utrecht1343616:21-515
    14Maastricht1242613:19-614
    15Jong AZ1342721:24-314
    16Oss1335518:24-614
    17Almere City1332823:23011
    18Eindhoven FC133289:27-1811
    19Jong Ajax1315719:26-78
    20Vitesse1143422:1933

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )