Result
1:0
11/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 19
- Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 0.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (189/238) | 70% (171/244) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 0.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (189/238) | 70% (171/244) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (33/53) | 40% (21/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (56/83) | 49% (39/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 0% (0/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 2.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Rojas J. ↓, Pinto O. ↑,
- 38', Da Luz M. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Paredes G. ↓, Lecaros A. ↑,
- 61', Sen M. 🟨,
- 61', Caytuiro F. 🟨,
- 61', Rengifo H. 🟥,
- 63', Da Luz M. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
- 63', Moyano A. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
- 70', Bersano F. (Pen),
- 70', 1 - 0, Choi G. ⚽,
- 70', Mendez P. 🟨,
- 72', Parodi J. ↓, Sen M. ↑,
- 79', Pinto O. 🟨,
- 81', Mendez P. ↓, Saavedra C. ↑,
- 85', Garcia L. 🟥,
- 90+1', Montenegro D. ↓, Soto J. ↑,
- 90+1', Paico K. ↓, Pena K. ↑,
- 90+5', Saavedra C. 🟥,
Chances of winning
ADT Tarma
68.3% | Draw
19.7% | Comerciantes Unidos
12% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ADT Tarma - Comerciantes Unidos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↑
(1.37) |
4.79 ↓
(5) |
8.02 ↑
(7.65) |
6.4%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - Comerciantes Unidos?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ADT: 64.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 18).
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, ADT is the undeniable favorite.
- There are questionable in ADT: Cedron V.
(Muscle Injury)
Fernandez A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Comerciantes Unidos: Tecilla N.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ADT won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
- Including home match between the teams, ADT won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Comerciantes Unidos?
ADT Tarma has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Unidos won against ADT Tarma?
Comerciantes Unidos has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Comerciantes Unidos were as follows:
28.10.2024
Comerciantes Unidos
-
ADT Tarma
0:0
19.05.2024
ADT Tarma
-
Comerciantes Unidos
2:0
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
