Result
0:0
23/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (357/414) | 86% (327/381) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (357/414) | 86% (327/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (42/63) | 63% (38/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (67/93) | 73% (100/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Parodi J. 🟨,
- 41', Montenegro D. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
- 45+4', Reyes J. 🟨,
- 45+5', Rojas J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lecaros A. ↓, Carpio Ferro M. P. ↑,
- 46', Gutierrez A. ↓, Bersano F. ↑,
- 53', Reyes J. 🟥,
- 54', Sen M. 🟨,
- 57', Alcedo F. ↓, Saavedra C. ↑,
- 64', Rengifo H. ↓, Bazan N. ↑,
- 70', Saavedra C. ↓, Sanchez G. ↑,
- 78', Cardenas P. ↓, Paredes G. ↑,
- 86', Barreto G. ↓, Narvaez J. ↑,
- 88', Alfaro Martinez G. E. 🟥,
- 90', Rojas J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Perez A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Comerciantes Unidos
27.5% | Draw
28.2% | ADT Tarma
44.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Comerciantes Unidos's form might have worsened.ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ADT Tarma's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Comerciantes Unidos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ADT Tarma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Comerciantes Unidos - ADT Tarma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.39 ↑
(2.71) |
3.33 ↑
(3.18) |
2.15 ↓
(2.54) |
6.2%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos - ADT Tarma?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). ADT will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ADT: 53.8% – 96.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - ADT (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - ADT (1.41) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - ADT (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): ADT Tarma will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. ADT (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 9).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Comerciantes Unidos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- ADT might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Comerciantes Unidos: Garcia L.
(Red Card)
Marina J.
(Yellow Cards)
Tecilla N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in ADT: Cedron V.
(Knee Injury)
Moyano A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Comerciantes Unidos: Cardenas P.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Comerciantes Unidos won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Unidos won against ADT Tarma?
Comerciantes Unidos has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Comerciantes Unidos?
ADT Tarma has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Comerciantes Unidos - ADT Tarma were as follows:
11.07.2025
ADT Tarma
-
Comerciantes Unidos
1:0
28.10.2024
Comerciantes Unidos
-
ADT Tarma
0:0
19.05.2024
ADT Tarma
-
Comerciantes Unidos
2:0
Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cajamarca | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Cajamarca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cusco | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | AD Tarma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Moquegua | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Grau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
