ADT Tarma vs Comerciantes Unidos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 ADT Tarma - Comerciantes Unidos
Result
1:0
11/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 19
  • Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.610.16
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
265
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
79% (189/238)70% (171/244)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.610.16
xG on target (xGOT)
2.910.61
Total shots
265
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
113
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
141
Shots outside the Box
124
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
275
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
138
Passes
79% (189/238)70% (171/244)
Long passes
62% (33/53)40% (21/52)
Passes in final third
67% (56/83)49% (39/79)
Crosses
31% (5/16)0% (0/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.18
Throw-ins
1420
Fouls
813
Tackles
73% (11/15)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4536
Clearances
3018
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
0.612.91
Goals prevented
0.611.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Rojas J. , Pinto O. ,
  • 38', Da Luz M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Paredes G. , Lecaros A. ,
  • 61', Sen M. 🟨,
  • 61', Caytuiro F. 🟨,
  • 61', Rengifo H. 🟥,
  • 63', Da Luz M. , Perez A. ,
  • 63', Moyano A. , Robles A. ,
  • 70', Bersano F. (Pen),
  • 70', 1 - 0, Choi G. ,
  • 70', Mendez P. 🟨,
  • 72', Parodi J. , Sen M. ,
  • 79', Pinto O. 🟨,
  • 81', Mendez P. , Saavedra C. ,
  • 85', Garcia L. 🟥,
  • 90+1', Montenegro D. , Soto J. ,
  • 90+1', Paico K. , Pena K. ,
  • 90+5', Saavedra C. 🟥,

Chances of winning


ADT Tarma
68.3%
Draw
19.7%
Comerciantes Unidos
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.9% 18.8% 12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2% 17.9% 11.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ADT Tarma - Comerciantes Unidos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.37)
    4.78
    (5)
    7.85
    (7.65)
    6.8%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - Comerciantes Unidos?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for ADT: 64.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 18).
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • In this match, ADT is the undeniable favorite.
    • There are questionable in ADT: Cedron V. (Muscle Injury) Fernandez A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Comerciantes Unidos: Tecilla N. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ADT won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, ADT won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Comerciantes Unidos were as follows:
    28.10.2024 Comerciantes Unidos - ADT Tarma 0:0
    19.05.2024 ADT Tarma - Comerciantes Unidos 2:0
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes963015:6921
    2Cusco761011:3819
    3Deportivo Garcilaso945014:8617
    4Sporting Cristal944115:51016
    5Alianza Lima943214:9515
    6FBC Melgar1034315:12313
    7Cienciano933314:12212
    8Sport Huancayo1033416:16012
    9Los Chankas840412:20-812
    10Comerciantes Unidos932410:14-411
    11Alianza Atl82426:3310
    12Grau831411:11010
    13Juan Pablo II82427:8-110
    14AD Tarma83148:12-410
    15Alianza Huanuco93159:15-610
    16Ayacucho92166:13-77
    17Sport Boys91264:12-85
    18Cajamarca80266:14-82
    19Binacional00000:000

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