Result
1:0
11/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 19
- Referee: Alarcon J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.61 | 0.16 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
26 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
79% (189/238) | 70% (171/244) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.61 | 0.16 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.91 | 0.61 |
Total shots |
---|
26 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
11 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
12 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
27 | 5 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
79% (189/238) | 70% (171/244) |
Long passes |
---|
62% (33/53) | 40% (21/52) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (56/83) | 49% (39/79) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (5/16) | 0% (0/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.72 | 0.18 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
73% (11/15) | 71% (10/14) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 36 |
Clearances |
---|
30 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.61 | 2.91 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.61 | 1.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Rojas J. ↓, Pinto O. ↑,
- 38', Da Luz M. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Paredes G. ↓, Lecaros A. ↑,
- 61', Sen M. 🟨,
- 61', Caytuiro F. 🟨,
- 61', Rengifo H. 🟥,
- 63', Da Luz M. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
- 63', Moyano A. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
- 70', Bersano F. (Pen),
- 70', 1 - 0, Choi G. ⚽,
- 70', Mendez P. 🟨,
- 72', Parodi J. ↓, Sen M. ↑,
- 79', Pinto O. 🟨,
- 81', Mendez P. ↓, Saavedra C. ↑,
- 85', Garcia L. 🟥,
- 90+1', Montenegro D. ↓, Soto J. ↑,
- 90+1', Paico K. ↓, Pena K. ↑,
- 90+5', Saavedra C. 🟥,
Chances of winning
ADT Tarma 68.3% | Draw 19.7% | Comerciantes Unidos 12% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ADT Tarma - Comerciantes Unidos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.37 ↑ (1.37) |
4.78 ↓ (5) |
7.85 ↑ (7.65) |
6.8% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - Comerciantes Unidos?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ADT: 64.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 18).
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, ADT is the undeniable favorite.
- There are questionable in ADT: Cedron V.
(Muscle Injury)
Fernandez A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Comerciantes Unidos: Tecilla N.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ADT won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
- Including home match between the teams, ADT won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Comerciantes Unidos?
ADT Tarma has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Unidos won against ADT Tarma?
Comerciantes Unidos has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Comerciantes Unidos were as follows:
28.10.2024
Comerciantes Unidos
-
ADT Tarma
0:0
19.05.2024
ADT Tarma
-
Comerciantes Unidos
2:0
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )