Comerciantes Unidos vs Sporting Cristal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/04/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.710.84
Ball possession
31%69%
Total shots
1420
Shots on target
31
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
35
Passes
63% (138/218)84% (395/473)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
0.710.84
xG on target (xGOT)
0.800.07
Total shots
1420
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
912
Blocked shots
27
Shots inside the box
912
Shots outside the box
58
Hit the woodwork
02
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1538
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
816
Passes
63% (138/218)84% (395/473)
Long passes
36% (21/59)54% (33/61)
Passes in final third
43% (32/75)74% (120/162)
Crosses
20% (2/10)31% (8/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.291.25
Throw ins
2236
Fouls
168
Tackles
73% (11/15)100% (8/8)
Duels won
5152
Clearances
4730
Interceptions
153
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.070.80
Goals prevented
0.07-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', Biaggio C. 🟨,
  • 11', 1 - 0, Sen M. , Herrera J. (A),
  • 28', Abram L. , Castro M. ,
  • 29', Posito Olazabal A. J. 🟨,
  • 45+6', Lora F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Lino D. , Parodi J. ,
  • 64', Vizeu F. , Rodriguez M. ,
  • 64', Benavente C. , Cabellos C. ,
  • 67', Vilca R. , Salinas T. ,
  • 67', Herrera J. , Carranza M. ,
  • 71', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
  • 73', Sen M. , Perez Azambuya E. M. ,
  • 73', Arias A. , Correa Flores C. A. ,
  • 81', Wisdom I. , Otoya D. ,
  • 81', Diaz L. , Burga J. ,
  • 90+3', Salinas T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Comerciantes Unidos
52.6%
Draw
26.2%
Sporting Cristal
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 28.3% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 27.6% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Comerciantes Unidos's performance.
  • Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Cristal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-16.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Comerciantes Unidos that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Cristal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Comerciantes Unidos - Sporting Cristal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (2.64)
    3.55
    (3.27)
    4.39
    (2.52)
    7.2%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos - Sporting Cristal?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 1.
    • Comerciantes Unidos is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • In recent matches, Sporting Cristal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Sporting Cristal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Comerciantes Unidos will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Comerciantes Unidos: Rodriguez J. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Gabriel (Knee Injury) Solis R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Gonzales C. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:25. (average 1.1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.3:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Comerciantes Unidos - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Comerciantes Unidos - Sporting Cristal 1:4
    29.06.2025 Sporting Cristal - Comerciantes Unidos 2:0
    03.11.2024 Sporting Cristal - Comerciantes Unidos 3:0
    25.05.2024 Comerciantes Unidos - Sporting Cristal 0:1
    Latest results of Sporting Cristal
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Alianza Lima1292122:51729
    2Los Chankas1292121:14729
    3Cienciano1272326:161023
    4U. de Deportes1263318:12621
    5Comerciantes Unidos1254317:15219
    6Cusco1261515:19-419
    7FBC Melgar1252518:16217
    8Cajamarca1244418:18016
    9Moquegua1251614:18-416
    10Juan Pablo II1243518:27-915
    11Sporting Cristal1242620:20014
    12Alianza Atl1235411:11014
    13AD Tarma1234515:15013
    14Deportivo Garcilaso1234512:16-413
    15Sport Huancayo1233614:18-412
    16Sport Boys1233611:16-512
    17Grau122469:14-510
    18FC Cajamarca1213813:22-96

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