Result
2:1
28/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 10
- Referee: Lopez P. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (360/416) | 83% (330/400) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (360/416) | 83% (330/400) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (35/55) | 35% (18/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (134/174) | 63% (40/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (10/38) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Callejo F. ⚽, Colitto L. (A),
- 33', Bersano F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Pinto O. ↓, Rengifo H. ↑,
- 46', Ascues C. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
- 46', Colman I. ↓, Da Silva P. ↑,
- 59', Silva N. ↓, Aucca M. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Vidales J. ⚽, Montenegro D. (A),
- 74', Fuentes A. ↓, Gamarra C. ↑,
- 74', Diez C. ↓, Custodio A. ↑,
- 79', Cedron V. 🟨,
- 79', Diaz P. 🟨,
- 86', Vidales J. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 86', Callejo F. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Rengifo H. ⚽,
- 90+5', Montenegro D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
ADT Tarma
43.1% | Draw
28.5% | Cusco
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cusco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
ADT Tarma - Cusco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↑
(2.05) |
3.29 ↑
(3.18) |
3.29 ↓
(3.84) |
6.7%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - Cusco?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Cusco will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cusco (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 8).
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- ADT will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in ADT: Desio G.
(Knee Injury)
Fernandez A.
(Injury)
Fuentes P.
(Injury)
Perez A.
(Injury)
- Last 4 head-to-head matches ADT won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.8:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams ADT won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Cusco?
ADT Tarma has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against ADT Tarma?
Cusco has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Cusco were as follows:
17.09.2024
ADT Tarma
-
Cusco
1:2
14.04.2024
Cusco
-
ADT Tarma
3:2
02.09.2023
Cusco
-
ADT Tarma
1:0
16.04.2023
ADT Tarma
-
Cusco
0:2
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
