Result
28/06/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (292/367) | 57% (93/162) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (292/367) | 57% (93/162) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (33/66) | 46% (29/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (90/132) | 43% (32/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 1.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 1.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Naya E. ↓, Bazan J. ↑,
- 22', Paucar E. 🟨,
- 42', Moreno X. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Robles A. ↓, Cabello C. ↑,
- 58', Pinto O. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
- 61', Moreno X. 🟨,
- 64', Sandoval K. ↓, Garrafa Tapia I. A. ↑,
- 67', Da Luz M. ↓, Rengifo H. ↑,
- 74', Sandoval K. 🟨,
- 84', Lojas J. 🟨,
- 84', Bazan J. ↓, Villacorta S. ↑,
- 90', Barreto G. ↓, Montenegro D. ↑,
- 90+2', Erustes P. ↓, Valer J. F. ↑,
Chances of winning
ADT Tarma
50.6% | Draw
26.2% | Deportivo Garcilaso
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ADT Tarma - Deportivo Garcilaso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↑
(1.8) |
3.55 ↓
(3.58) |
3.84 ↓
(4.48) |
7.3%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - Deportivo Garcilaso?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for ADT: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. ADT (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 6).
- ADT is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Deportivo Garcilaso has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Deportivo Garcilaso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, ADT is a strong favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
ADT Tarma has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against ADT Tarma?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Deportivo Garcilaso were as follows:
13.09.2024
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
ADT Tarma
1:0
07.04.2024
ADT Tarma
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
2:2
05.03.2024
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
ADT Tarma
1:0
15.07.2023
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
ADT Tarma
1:2
11.02.2023
ADT Tarma
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
1:2
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:10 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Los Chankas | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14:23 | -9 | 15 |
| 13 | Alianza Atl | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 10 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
