Result
2:2
24/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 7
- Referee: Santos C. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Peru | Liga 1 Max |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.94 | 2.13 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
82% (284/348) | 73% (212/289) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 5 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.94 | 2.13 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.46 | 2.47 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
82% (284/348) | 73% (212/289) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (27/62) | 45% (27/60) |
Passes in final third |
---|
58% (53/91) | 55% (61/111) |
Crosses |
---|
20% (3/15) | 26% (6/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.39 | 1.32 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 31 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (8/12) | 67% (8/12) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 28 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.47 | 1.46 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.47 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Soto J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Barrios P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 51', Moyano A. 🟨,
- 61', Moyano A. ↓, Garcilazo J. ↑,
- 61', Rengifo H. ↓, Bazan N. ↑,
- 64', Da Luz M. 🟨,
- 64', Bordacahar C. ↓, Cuesta B. ↑,
- 64', Barrios P. ↓, Quagliata N. ↑,
- 67', Deneumostier A. 🟨,
- 69', 1 - 0, Bazan N. (Pen),
- 74', Bazan N. 🟨,
- 74', Da Luz M. 🟨,
- 76', Arias A. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
- 76', Llontop M. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
- 78', Martinez T. 🟨,
- 82', Tandazo W. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Rodriguez G. ⚽, Cuesta B. (A),
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Vidales J. ⚽, Rodriguez G. (A),
- 90+15', D'Arrigo J. 🟨,
- 90+15', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
- 90+17', 2 - 2, Bazan N. (Pen),
Chances of winning
ADT Tarma 30.7% | Draw 29.3% | FBC Melgar 39.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.06 ↑ (2.94) |
3.17 ↓ (3.2) |
2.33 ↓ (2.37) |
7.2% (7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. ADT (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- ADT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Melgar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Melgar: Cabanillas N.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, ADT won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:16. (average 0.4:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against FBC Melgar?
ADT Tarma has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against ADT Tarma?
FBC Melgar has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar were as follows:
05.04.2025
FBC Melgar
-
ADT Tarma
4:0
16.08.2024
ADT Tarma
-
FBC Melgar
1:1
09.03.2024
FBC Melgar
-
ADT Tarma
3:1
22.06.2023
FBC Melgar
-
ADT Tarma
4:0
26.03.2023
ADT Tarma
-
FBC Melgar
0:0
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
2 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:2 | 11 | 14 |
3 | Cusco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 13 |
4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
5 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
6 | Alianza Huanuco | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
7 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
8 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
9 | Los Chankas | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
11 | Grau | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
12 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
13 | Alianza Atl | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
14 | Juan Pablo II | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Ayacucho | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
17 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
18 | Cajamarca | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )