Result
4:0
05/04/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Menendez A. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (413/466) | 84% (281/333) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (413/466) | 84% (281/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 76% (52/68) | 50% (21/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (93/124) | 73% (57/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 0% (0/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.38 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (16/18) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 35 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -1.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Ramos E. ⚽, Bordacahar C. (A),
- 15', Vidales J. 🟥,
- 18', 2 - 0, Castro F. ⚽, Llontop M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 52', 3 - 0, Castro F. ⚽, Bordacahar C. (A),
- 57', 4 - 0, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ⚽,
- 61', Bordacahar C. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 61', Barrios P. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
- 62', Castro F. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
- 68', Arias A. ↓, Pumacajia A. ↑,
- 68', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ↓, Barreda M. ↑,
- 74', Robles A. ↓, Pinto O. ↑,
- 74', Cabello C. ↓, Alvino J. ↑,
- 81', Choi G. 🟨,
- 86', Rojas J. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
- 89', Gonzalez L. 🟥,
Chances of winning
FBC Melgar
60% | Draw
23.7% | ADT Tarma
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FBC Melgar's form might have worsened.ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FBC Melgar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↑
(1.43) |
3.95 ↓
(4.45) |
5.61 ↓
(7.3) |
6.8%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: ) and 5).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Melgar won 2.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Melgar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Melgar is a favorite.
- There will not play in Melgar: Cuesta B.
(Knee Injury)
Orzan H.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in ADT: Cabello C.
(Injury)
Desio G.
(Knee Injury)
Fernandez A.
(Injury)
Fuentes P.
(Injury)
Perez A.
(Injury)
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Melgar won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:3 (average 2:0.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Melgar won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:1 (average 3.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against ADT Tarma?
FBC Melgar has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against FBC Melgar?
ADT Tarma has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma were as follows:
16.08.2024
ADT Tarma
-
FBC Melgar
1:1
09.03.2024
FBC Melgar
-
ADT Tarma
3:1
22.06.2023
FBC Melgar
-
ADT Tarma
4:0
26.03.2023
ADT Tarma
-
FBC Melgar
0:0
05.10.2022
ADT Tarma
-
FBC Melgar
1:1
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
