ADT Tarma vs FBC Melgar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/03/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


ADT Tarma
31.7%
Draw
31.2%
FBC Melgar
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 28.7% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 29% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ADT Tarma's form might have worsened.
  • FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ADT Tarma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.9
    (2.5)
    2.96
    (3.25)
    2.51
    (2.75)
    8.1%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - ADT (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. ADT (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 0.
    • Recent performances by ADT have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Melgar has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, ADT won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.6:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar were as follows:
    24.08.2025 ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar 2:2
    05.04.2025 FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma 4:0
    16.08.2024 ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar 1:1
    09.03.2024 FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma 3:1
    22.06.2023 FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma 4:0
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    09.03.2026 Alianza Lima - FBC Melgar 3:1
    05.03.2026 Cienciano - FBC Melgar 2:1
    27.02.2026 FBC Melgar - Los Chankas 1:2
    21.02.2026 Cajamarca - FBC Melgar 3:1
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Chankas752014:8617
    2Alianza Lima752010:4617
    3U. de Deportes742111:7414
    4Cienciano741216:10613
    5Cajamarca741210:8213
    6Sporting Cristal732213:8511
    7FBC Melgar731311:9210
    8Comerciantes Unidos731312:12010
    9Juan Pablo II731313:18-510
    10Alianza Atl72326:519
    11AD Tarma72236:8-28
    12Sport Huancayo72148:9-17
    13Cusco72147:8-17
    14Moquegua72145:12-77
    15Deportivo Garcilaso71336:8-26
    16FC Cajamarca712410:13-35
    17Grau71243:8-55
    18Sport Boys71243:9-65

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