ADT Tarma vs FBC Melgar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar
Result
2:2
24/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Santos C. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.942.13
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
18
Passes
82% (284/348)73% (212/289)
Yellow Cards
55
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.942.13
xG on target (xGOT)
1.462.47
Total shots
711
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
16
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
18
Touches in opposition box
1619
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1713
Passes
82% (284/348)73% (212/289)
Long passes
44% (27/62)45% (27/60)
Passes in final third
58% (53/91)55% (61/111)
Crosses
20% (3/15)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.32
Throw-ins
1731
Fouls
1318
Tackles
67% (8/12)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5450
Clearances
2428
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
2.471.46
Goals prevented
0.47-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Soto J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Barrios P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 51', Moyano A. 🟨,
  • 61', Moyano A. , Garcilazo J. ,
  • 61', Rengifo H. , Bazan N. ,
  • 64', Da Luz M. 🟨,
  • 64', Bordacahar C. , Cuesta B. ,
  • 64', Barrios P. , Quagliata N. ,
  • 67', Deneumostier A. 🟨,
  • 69', 1 - 0, Bazan N. (Pen),
  • 74', Bazan N. 🟨,
  • 74', Da Luz M. 🟨,
  • 76', Arias A. , Martinez T. ,
  • 76', Llontop M. , Guzman L. ,
  • 78', Martinez T. 🟨,
  • 82', Tandazo W. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Rodriguez G. , Cuesta B. (A),
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Vidales J. , Rodriguez G. (A),
  • 90+15', D'Arrigo J. 🟨,
  • 90+15', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
  • 90+17', 2 - 2, Bazan N. (Pen),

Chances of winning


ADT Tarma
30.7%
Draw
29.3%
FBC Melgar
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.7% 29.1% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8% 29.2% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.06
    (2.94)
    3.17
    (3.2)
    2.33
    (2.37)
    7.2%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. ADT (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • ADT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Melgar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Melgar: Cabanillas N. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, ADT won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:16. (average 0.4:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar were as follows:
    05.04.2025 FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma 4:0
    16.08.2024 ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar 1:1
    09.03.2024 FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma 3:1
    22.06.2023 FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma 4:0
    26.03.2023 ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar 0:0
    Latest results of ADT Tarma
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes963015:6921
    2Cusco761011:3819
    3Deportivo Garcilaso945014:8617
    4Sporting Cristal944115:51016
    5Alianza Lima943214:9515
    6FBC Melgar1034315:12313
    7Cienciano933314:12212
    8Sport Huancayo1033416:16012
    9Los Chankas840412:20-812
    10Comerciantes Unidos932410:14-411
    11Alianza Atl82426:3310
    12Grau831411:11010
    13Juan Pablo II82427:8-110
    14AD Tarma83148:12-410
    15Alianza Huanuco93159:15-610
    16Ayacucho92166:13-77
    17Sport Boys91264:12-85
    18Cajamarca80266:14-82
    19Binacional00000:000

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