Result
2:2
24/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 7
- Referee: Santos C. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 2.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (284/348) | 73% (212/289) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 2.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 2.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (284/348) | 73% (212/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (27/62) | 45% (27/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (53/91) | 55% (61/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Soto J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Barrios P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 51', Moyano A. 🟨,
- 61', Moyano A. ↓, Garcilazo J. ↑,
- 61', Rengifo H. ↓, Bazan N. ↑,
- 64', Da Luz M. 🟨,
- 64', Bordacahar C. ↓, Cuesta B. ↑,
- 64', Barrios P. ↓, Quagliata N. ↑,
- 67', Deneumostier A. 🟨,
- 69', 1 - 0, Bazan N. (Pen),
- 74', Bazan N. 🟨,
- 74', Da Luz M. 🟨,
- 76', Arias A. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
- 76', Llontop M. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
- 78', Martinez T. 🟨,
- 82', Tandazo W. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Rodriguez G. ⚽, Cuesta B. (A),
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Vidales J. ⚽, Rodriguez G. (A),
- 90+15', D'Arrigo J. 🟨,
- 90+15', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
- 90+17', 2 - 2, Bazan N. (Pen),
Chances of winning
ADT Tarma
30.7% | Draw
29.3% | FBC Melgar
39.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↑
(2.94) |
3.17 ↓
(3.2) |
2.33 ↓
(2.37) |
7.2%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. ADT (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Melgar (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. ADT (votes: 1 - 50%). Melgar (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- ADT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Melgar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Melgar: Cabanillas N.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, ADT won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:16. (average 0.4:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against FBC Melgar?
ADT Tarma has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against ADT Tarma?
FBC Melgar has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar were as follows:
05.04.2025
FBC Melgar
-
ADT Tarma
4:0
16.08.2024
ADT Tarma
-
FBC Melgar
1:1
09.03.2024
FBC Melgar
-
ADT Tarma
3:1
22.06.2023
FBC Melgar
-
ADT Tarma
4:0
26.03.2023
ADT Tarma
-
FBC Melgar
0:0
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cajamarca | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Cajamarca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cusco | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | AD Tarma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Moquegua | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Grau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
