Result
1:2
26/10/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (283/366) | 83% (287/344) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.15 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (283/366) | 83% (287/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (49/89) | 56% (36/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (63/116) | 72% (79/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Polo A. 🟨,
- 26', Urena R. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Santamaria A. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 53', Carabali J. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Di Benedetto M. ⚽, Valera A. (A),
- 59', Rivera J. ↓, Flores E. ↑,
- 60', Concha J. ↓, Velez J. ↑,
- 68', Perez M. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
- 78', Narvaez J. ↓, Montenegro D. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 2, Valera A. ⚽, Polo A. (A),
- 85', Robles A. ↓, Bazan N. ↑,
- 90', Britos S. 🟨,
- 90', Britos S. 🟥,
- 90+5', Velez J. ↓, Vargas M. ↑,
- 90+6', Bersano F. ↓, Rengifo H. ↑,
- 90+6', Carabali J. ↓, Inga C. ↑,
Chances of winning
ADT Tarma
31.3% | Draw
29.3% | Universitario de Deportes
39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
ADT Tarma - Universitario de Deportes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.26) |
3.2 ↑
(3.15) |
2.47 ↓
(3.08) |
6.6%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - Universitario de Deportes?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 55.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 6 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 1 - 25%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 2.
- ADT is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Uni de Deportes is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- ADT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, ADT won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Universitario de Deportes?
ADT Tarma has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Deportes won against ADT Tarma?
Universitario de Deportes has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Universitario de Deportes were as follows:
20.06.2025
Universitario de Deportes
-
ADT Tarma
5:0
19.10.2024
Universitario de Deportes
-
ADT Tarma
2:1
03.05.2024
ADT Tarma
-
Universitario de Deportes
2:0
16.08.2023
ADT Tarma
-
Universitario de Deportes
2:0
18.03.2023
Universitario de Deportes
-
ADT Tarma
3:1
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Latest results of Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 |
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 |
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 |
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 |
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 |
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 |
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
