ADT Tarma vs Universitario de Deportes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/10/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Unión Tarma (Tarma).

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 16
Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.96	0.70
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
18	9
Shots on target
5	5
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
6	4
Passes
77% (283/366)	83% (287/344)
Yellow Cards
0	4
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96	0.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.15	1.27
Total shots
18	9
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
8	3
Blocked Shots
5	1
Shots inside the Box
6	7
Shots outside the Box
12	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
14	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
8	5
Passes
77% (283/366)	83% (287/344)
Long passes
55% (49/89)	56% (36/64)
Passes in final third
54% (63/116)	72% (79/109)
Crosses
31% (5/16)	40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.55	0.69
Throw-ins
13	17
Fouls
5	8
Tackles
85% (11/13)	67% (6/9)
Duels won
34	28
Clearances
15	23
Interceptions
2	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	5
xGOT faced
1.27	0.15
Goals prevented
-0.73	0.15

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Polo A. 🟨,
26', Urena R. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Santamaria A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Carabali J. 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Di Benedetto M. ⚽, Valera A. (A),
59', Rivera J. ↓, Flores E. ↑,
60', Concha J. ↓, Velez J. ↑,
68', Perez M. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
78', Narvaez J. ↓, Montenegro D. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Valera A. ⚽, Polo A. (A),
85', Robles A. ↓, Bazan N. ↑,
90', Britos S. 🟨,
90', Britos S. 🟥,
90+5', Velez J. ↓, Vargas M. ↑,
90+6', Bersano F. ↓, Rengifo H. ↑,
90+6', Carabali J. ↓, Inga C. ↑,

Chances of winning

ADT Tarma
31.3%

Draw
29.3%

Universitario de Deportes
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

29.3%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

31%

28.3%

ADT Tarma - Universitario de Deportes Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.26)	3.2 ↑ (3.15)	2.47 ↓ (3.08)	6.6% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - Universitario de Deportes?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 55.2% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 6 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 1 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 2.
ADT is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Uni de Deportes is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
ADT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, ADT won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Universitario de Deportes?

ADT Tarma has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Deportes won against ADT Tarma?

Universitario de Deportes has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Universitario de Deportes were as follows:

20.06.2025 Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma 5:0

19.10.2024 Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma 2:1

03.05.2024 ADT Tarma - Universitario de Deportes 2:0

16.08.2023 ADT Tarma - Universitario de Deportes 2:0

18.03.2023 Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma 3:1

Latest results of ADT Tarma

20.10.2025 Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - ADT Tarma Postponed ✺

12.10.2025 Ayacucho - ADT Tarma 2:2 ✺

04.10.2025 ADT Tarma - Sporting Cristal 3:2 ✺

30.09.2025 Juan Pablo II College - ADT Tarma 1:1 ✺

26.09.2025 ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Universitario de Deportes

23.10.2025 Sporting Cristal - Universitario de Deportes 0:1 ✺

20.10.2025 Universitario de Deportes - Ayacucho 2:1 ✺

05.10.2025 Universitario de Deportes - Juan Pablo II College 3:0 ✺

01.10.2025 Alianza Atlético - Universitario de Deportes 0:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Universitario de Deportes - Cusco 3:2 ✺

Peruvian Liga 1 Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	U. de Deportes	17	12	4	1	29:13	16	40
2	Cusco	17	11	3	3	29:15	14	36
3	Sporting Cristal	17	9	4	4	29:13	16	31
4	Alianza Lima	17	9	4	4	30:19	11	31
5	Cienciano	17	8	3	6	25:21	4	27
6	Los Chankas	17	9	0	8	21:28	-7	27
7	FBC Melgar	17	6	7	4	24:17	7	25
8	Deportivo Garcilaso	17	6	7	4	20:21	-1	25
9	AD Tarma	17	7	4	6	19:20	-1	25
10	Alianza Atl	17	6	5	6	15:12	3	23
11	Comerciantes Unidos	16	6	5	5	17:21	-4	23
12	Sport Huancayo	17	5	3	9	28:28	0	18
13	Alianza Huanuco	17	5	2	10	23:33	-10	17
14	Grau	17	4	4	9	19:24	-5	16
15	Sport Boys	17	4	4	9	14:25	-11	16
16	Ayacucho	16	4	2	10	16:26	-10	14
17	Juan Pablo II	17	3	5	9	13:23	-10	14
18	Cajamarca	17	3	4	10	16:28	-12	13
19	Binacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )