Result
1:1
15/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 21
- Referee: Moschou D. (Gre)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | ANT1 Pacific |
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 Usa | ANT1 Satellite |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (616/711) | 73% (224/308) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (616/711) | 73% (224/308) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (20/49) | 22% (12/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (195/248) | 44% (21/48) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (3/31) | 50% (1/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Ferigra E. 🟨,
- 39', Taborda V. 🟨,
- 44', Touba A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 0 - 1, Tupta L. ⚽, Sisto P. (A),
- 58', Touba A. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
- 58', Andino S. ↓, Zaroury A. ↑,
- 61', Anagnostopoulos A. 🟨,
- 67', 1 - 1, Bakasetas A. ⚽, Gnezda Cerin A. (A),
- 68', Sagal A. ↓, Ngoy J. ↑,
- 73', Sisto P. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
- 84', Taborda V. ↓, Jagusic A. ↑,
- 84', Naor G. ↓, Mourgos S. ↑,
- 84', Tupta L. ↓, Apostolakis K. ↑,
- 88', Swiderski K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Panathinaikos
67.1% | Draw
21.8% | AEL Larissa
11% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)AEL Larissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Panathinaikos - AEL Larissa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.43) |
4.31 ↑
(4.11) |
8.51 ↑
(7.7) |
6.4%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Panathinaikos - AEL Larissa?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Panathinaikos will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Larissa will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panathinaikos: 57.1% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Larissa (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Panathinaikos will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Panathinaikos (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Larissa (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ) and 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 2.
- In recent matches, Panathinaikos has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Larissa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Panathinaikos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Panathinaikos is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Panathinaikos: Chirivella P.
(Calf Injury)
Dessers C.
(Thigh Injury)
Djuricic F.
(Injury)
Gnezda Cerin A.
(Inactive)
Pellistri F.
(Injury)
Tetteh A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Larissa: Andrada L.
(Inactive)
Papageorgiou A.
(Inactive)
Sourlis V.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Larissa: Tupta L.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.5:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Panathinaikos won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Panathinaikos won against AEL Larissa?
Panathinaikos has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AEL Larissa won against Panathinaikos?
AEL Larissa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Panathinaikos - AEL Larissa were as follows:
07.12.2025
AEL Larissa
-
Panathinaikos
2:2
Latest results of Panathinaikos
Latest results of AEL Larissa
Greek Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olympiacos Piraeus ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 42:11 | 31 | 53 |
| 2 | AEK Athens ✔ | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 53 |
| 3 | PAOK ✔ | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 44:14 | 30 | 50 |
| 4 | Levadiakos | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 49:30 | 19 | 39 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:23 | 11 | 39 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 22 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 7 | Aris | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
| 8 | Atromitos | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 24:27 | -3 | 27 |
| 9 | Volos | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28:33 | -5 | 24 |
| 11 | Panetolikos | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 22:37 | -15 | 21 |
| 12 | AEL Larissa | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 21:37 | -16 | 21 |
| 13 | Asteras Tripolis ✔ | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 20:37 | -17 | 16 |
| 14 | Panserraikos ✔ | 23 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15:55 | -40 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Olympiacos Piraeus is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
PAOK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )
Panserraikos is Super League (Relegation Group )
