AFC Leopards vs Gor Mahia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
26/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 83', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


AFC Leopards
26%
Draw
31.8%
Gor Mahia
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.1% 32.6% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2% 32.5% 40.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AFC Leopards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Leopards than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • AFC Leopards - Gor Mahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.5
    (3.38)
    2.86
    (2.81)
    2.16
    (2.27)
    9.8%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leopards won 1.
    • Leopards has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Gor Mahia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Leopards has had a series of home games.
    • Gor Mahia could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leopards won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 9:26. (average 0.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leopards won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 2:13. (average 0.2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Leopards - Gor Mahia were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Gor Mahia - AFC Leopards 0:1
    02.06.2025 Gor Mahia - AFC Leopards 1:1
    30.03.2025 AFC Leopards - Gor Mahia 0:0
    21.04.2024 Gor Mahia - AFC Leopards 1:0
    07.10.2023 AFC Leopards - Gor Mahia 0:2
    Latest results of AFC Leopards
    Latest results of Gor Mahia
    14.04.2026 Tusker - Gor Mahia 1:0
    21.03.2026 Gor Mahia - Shabana 2:1
    15.03.2026 Ulinzi Stars - Gor Mahia 1:3
    05.03.2026 Posta Rangers - Gor Mahia 1:1
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia29187445:192661
    2Leopards29167636:221455
    3Police FC291212526:17948
    4Kakamega Homeboyz291211643:301347
    5Shabana29138832:30247
    6Nairobi United29129840:301045
    7KCB291181030:31-141
    8Tusker291251224:27-341
    9Mara Sugar29913727:25240
    10Bandari29815622:20239
    11Muranga291081135:35038
    12Mathare Utd30981328:31-335
    13Posta Rangers297111124:36-1232
    14APS Bomet297101229:33-431
    15Ulinzi Stars29871429:34-531
    16Kariobangi Sharks296111219:30-1129
    17Bidco United294111417:34-1723
    18Sofapaka30391817:39-2218

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Super League