AFC Wimbledon vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town
Result
1:2
11/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 26
  • Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.070.26
Ball Possession
65%35%
Goal Attempts
178
Shots on Goal
25
Shots off Goal
42
Blocked Shots
111
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
65
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Goalkeeper Saves
31
Free Kicks
912
Offsides
10
Fouls
129
Yellow Cards
10
Throw-ins
4727
Touches in the Opposition Box
2715
Passes
68% (252/369)47% (97/207)
Passes in the final third
62% (92/148)41% (35/86)
Crosses
24% (6/25)30% (3/10)
Tackles
69% (11/16)67% (14/21)
Clearances Total
2449
Interceptions
317

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', Lewis J. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Hay A. , Archer E. (A),
  • 37', 1 - 1, Browne M. , Tilley J. (A),
  • 45+1', Power D. , Adedokun V. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 66', Thomas J. , Williams E. ,
  • 66', Miller G. , Taylor M. ,
  • 77', Stevens M. , Kelly J. ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Taylor M. , Hay A. (A),
  • 84', Bugiel O. , Foyo O. ,
  • 84', Tilley J. , Sasu A. ,
  • 87', Smith A. , Maycock C. ,

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
54.8%
Draw
26.8%
Cheltenham Town
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 24.7% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 23.8% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.68)
    3.52
    (3.79)
    5.1
    (4.77)
    6.1%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: AFC Wimbledon will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 3.
    • Wimbledon is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Cheltenham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Wimbledon is a favorite.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21:19 (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:12 (average 2.8:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Cheltenham Town - AFC Wimbledon 0:1
    04.11.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town 5:1
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League