AFC Wimbledon vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London).

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 26
Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.07	0.26
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Goal Attempts
17	8
Shots on Goal
2	5
Shots off Goal
4	2
Blocked Shots
11	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	5
Shots inside the Box
14	6
Shots outside the Box
3	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
Free Kicks
9	12
Offsides
1	0
Fouls
12	9
Yellow Cards
1	0
Throw-ins
47	27
Touches in the Opposition Box
27	15
Passes
68% (252/369)	47% (97/207)
Passes in the final third
62% (92/148)	41% (35/86)
Crosses
24% (6/25)	30% (3/10)
Tackles
69% (11/16)	67% (14/21)
Clearances Total
24	49
Interceptions
3	17

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', Lewis J. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Hay A. ⚽, Archer E. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Browne M. ⚽, Tilley J. (A),
45+1', Power D. ↓, Adedokun V. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', Thomas J. ↓, Williams E. ↑,
66', Miller G. ↓, Taylor M. ↑,
77', Stevens M. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Taylor M. ⚽, Hay A. (A),
84', Bugiel O. ↓, Foyo O. ↑,
84', Tilley J. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
87', Smith A. ↓, Maycock C. ↑,

Chances of winning

AFC Wimbledon
54.8%

Draw
26.8%

Cheltenham Town
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

24.7%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

23.8%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.68)	3.52 ↓ (3.79)	5.1 ↑ (4.77)	6.1% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town?

Users Predictions: AFC Wimbledon will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 3.
Wimbledon is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Cheltenham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Wimbledon is a favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21:19 (average 1.6:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:12 (average 2.8:2).

How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Cheltenham Town?

AFC Wimbledon has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against AFC Wimbledon?

Cheltenham Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town were as follows:

24.08.2024 Cheltenham Town - AFC Wimbledon 0:1

04.11.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town 5:1

Latest results of AFC Wimbledon

08.03.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Notts County 2:0 ✺

04.03.2025 Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon 1:0 ✺

01.03.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Bromley 0:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Colchester United - AFC Wimbledon 1:1 ✺

18.02.2025 Fleetwood Town - AFC Wimbledon 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Cheltenham Town

08.03.2025 Cheltenham Town - Colchester United 0:1 ✺

04.03.2025 Bradford City - Cheltenham Town 3:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Cheltenham Town - Grimsby Town 1:1 ✺

25.02.2025 Cheltenham Town - Walsall 2:2 ✺

22.02.2025 Newport County - Cheltenham Town 0:3 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	42	23	14	5	67:41	26	83
2	MK Dons	42	21	13	8	77:42	35	76
3	Notts Co	42	23	7	12	71:45	26	76
4	Cambridge Utd	41	20	14	7	58:31	27	74
5	Swindon	43	22	8	13	67:51	16	74
6	Salford	42	23	4	15	57:50	7	73
7	Chesterfield	41	18	14	9	63:52	11	68
8	Crewe	42	19	9	14	61:50	11	66
9	Oldham	41	17	14	10	52:35	17	65
10	Grimsby	40	18	11	11	59:43	16	65
11	Barnet	42	17	13	12	57:47	10	64
12	Walsall	42	17	11	14	52:46	6	62
13	Colchester	42	16	12	14	56:45	11	60
14	Fleetwood	42	14	13	15	51:53	-2	55
15	Bristol Rovers	42	16	4	22	46:62	-16	52
16	Accrington	41	14	9	18	40:46	-6	51
17	Gillingham	41	12	13	16	48:60	-12	49
18	Shrewsbury	42	12	8	22	39:66	-27	44
19	Cheltenham	40	11	10	19	44:67	-23	43
20	Crawley	42	8	13	21	40:62	-22	37
21	Tranmere	41	9	9	23	48:71	-23	36
22	Newport	42	9	7	26	41:72	-31	34
23	Barrow	41	8	9	24	38:65	-27	33
24	Harrogate	42	8	9	25	34:64	-30	33

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League