AFC Wimbledon vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town
Result
1:2
11/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 26
  • Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.070.26
Ball Possession
65%35%
Goal Attempts
178
Shots on Goal
25
Shots off Goal
42
Blocked Shots
111
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
65
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Goalkeeper Saves
31
Free Kicks
912
Offsides
10
Fouls
129
Yellow Cards
10
Throw-ins
4727
Touches in the Opposition Box
2715
Passes
68% (252/369)47% (97/207)
Passes in the final third
62% (92/148)41% (35/86)
Crosses
24% (6/25)30% (3/10)
Tackles
69% (11/16)67% (14/21)
Clearances Total
2449
Interceptions
317

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', Lewis J. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Hay A. , Archer E. (A),
  • 37', 1 - 1, Browne M. , Tilley J. (A),
  • 45+1', Power D. , Adedokun V. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 66', Thomas J. , Williams E. ,
  • 66', Miller G. , Taylor M. ,
  • 77', Stevens M. , Kelly J. ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Taylor M. , Hay A. (A),
  • 84', Bugiel O. , Foyo O. ,
  • 84', Tilley J. , Sasu A. ,
  • 87', Smith A. , Maycock C. ,

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
54.8%
Draw
26.8%
Cheltenham Town
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 24.7% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 23.8% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.68)
    3.52
    (3.79)
    5.1
    (4.77)
    6.1%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: AFC Wimbledon will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 3.
    • Wimbledon is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Cheltenham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Wimbledon is a favorite.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21:19 (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:12 (average 2.8:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Cheltenham Town - AFC Wimbledon 0:1
    04.11.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town 5:1
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2MK Dons1373326:131324
    3Grimsby1373325:151024
    4Swindon1280422:17524
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    9Notts Co1262421:13820
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League