Result
1:0
18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 44
- Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.06 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (246/349) | 61% (161/265) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (246/349) | 61% (161/265) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (21/66) | 30% (22/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (48/84) | 51% (72/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 65% (15/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 58 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Baker M. 🟨,
- 42', Cundy R. ↓, Jude-Boyd A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Davison J. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
- 57', Ashfield H. ↓, Bickerstaff J. ↑,
- 57', Thomas J. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
- 62', Biggins H. 🟨,
- 68', Evans C. 🟨,
- 71', Opoku N. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
- 81', Broom R. ↓, Deeming C. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 0, Miller G. ⚽, Faal M. (A),
- 84', Crole J. 🟨,
- 85', Lloyd B. ↓, Jarvis C. ↑,
- 85', Evans C. ↓, Kamwa B. ↑,
- 90+2', Hutchinson I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cheltenham Town 38% | Draw 29.2% | Newport County 32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cheltenham Town's form might have worsened.Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Cheltenham Town - Newport County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.45 ↑ (2.08) |
3.24 ↓ (3.27) |
2.85 ↓ (3.28) |
6.8% (9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Newport County?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Newport will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Newport (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Newport (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 18 and 22).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Newport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Cheltenham: Harmon G.
(Inactive)
King T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cheltenham: Stevenson B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.6:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Newport County?
Cheltenham Town has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Cheltenham Town?
Newport County has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cheltenham Town - Newport County were as follows:
18.10.2025
Newport County
-
Cheltenham Town
0:2
22.02.2025
Newport County
-
Cheltenham Town
0:3
03.09.2024
Newport County
-
Cheltenham Town
1:2
10.08.2024
Cheltenham Town
-
Newport County
3:2
10.10.2023
Cheltenham Town
-
Newport County
0:2
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
Latest results of Newport County
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One