Colchester United vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Colchester Community Stadium (Colchester).

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 33
Referee: Eley R. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.28	0.41
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Goal Attempts
10	9
Shots on Goal
4	1
Shots off Goal
4	5
Blocked Shots
2	3
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
3	3
Shots inside the Box
6	8
Shots outside the Box
4	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
Free Kicks
17	11
Offsides
2	0
Fouls
11	17
Yellow Cards
5	6
Red Cards
1	0
Throw-ins
30	23
Touches in the Opposition Box
19	14
Passes
77% (366/473)	61% (172/282)
Passes in the final third
57% (69/121)	45% (41/92)
Crosses
24% (5/21)	57% (4/7)
Tackles
56% (10/18)	87% (13/15)
Clearances Total
16	25
Interceptions
6	7

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Taylor L. 🟨,
21', Browne M. 🟨,
25', Edwards O. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Browne M. ⚽, Reeves J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Ogundere I. 🟨,
65', Tilley J. 🟨,
67', Johnson R. 🟨,
74', Kelleher F. ↓, Tovide S. ↑,
74', Egbo M. ↓, Vincent-Young K. ↑,
75', Tilley J. ↓, Furlong J. ↑,
75', Browne M. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
76', Iandolo E. 🟨,
77', Lewis J. 🟨,
80', Bishop T. ↓, Read A. ↑,
83', Goodman O. 🟨,
87', Stevens M. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Tovide S. ⚽,
90+3', Edwards O. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+5', Taylor L. ↓, Tucker J. ↑,

Chances of winning

Colchester United
36.6%

Draw
32.3%

AFC Wimbledon
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

30.3%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Wimbledon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Colchester United - AFC Wimbledon Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.61)	2.9 ↓ (3.21)	3.05 ↑ (2.61)	5.8% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Colchester United - AFC Wimbledon?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Colchester will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Colchester won 1.
Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
Wimbledon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Colchester: Hunt R. (Inactive) Oni M. (Inactive) Scully A. (Ankle Injury) Tovide S. (Inactive)
There will not play in Wimbledon: Ball J. (Injury) Maycock C. (Injury) McLean R. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Wimbledon: Harbottle R. (Inactive) Hippolyte M. (Inactive) Lewis J. (Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Colchester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:15 (average 1.5:2.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Colchester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Colchester United won against AFC Wimbledon?

Colchester United has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Colchester United?

AFC Wimbledon has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Colchester United - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:

10.12.2024 Colchester United - AFC Wimbledon 2:0

10.08.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Colchester United 4:2

29.12.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Colchester United 5:3

15.08.2023 Colchester United - AFC Wimbledon 0:2

29.12.2022 Colchester United - AFC Wimbledon 1:2

Latest results of Colchester United

18.02.2025 Notts County - Colchester United 1:1 ✺

15.02.2025 Carlisle United - Colchester United 0:0 ✺

08.02.2025 Colchester United - Walsall 2:1 ✺

01.02.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Colchester United 1:3 ✺

25.01.2025 Colchester United - Morecambe 1:0 ✺

Latest results of AFC Wimbledon

18.02.2025 Fleetwood Town - AFC Wimbledon 0:0 ✺

15.02.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Salford City 1:0 ✺

11.02.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Crewe Alexandra 3:0 ✺

08.02.2025 Accrington Stanley - AFC Wimbledon 0:0 ✺

01.02.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Bradford City 1:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	42	23	14	5	67:41	26	83
2	MK Dons	42	21	13	8	77:42	35	76
3	Notts Co	42	23	7	12	71:45	26	76
4	Cambridge Utd	41	20	14	7	58:31	27	74
5	Swindon	43	22	8	13	67:51	16	74
6	Salford	42	23	4	15	57:50	7	73
7	Chesterfield	41	18	14	9	63:52	11	68
8	Crewe	42	19	9	14	61:50	11	66
9	Oldham	41	17	14	10	52:35	17	65
10	Grimsby	40	18	11	11	59:43	16	65
11	Barnet	42	17	13	12	57:47	10	64
12	Walsall	42	17	11	14	52:46	6	62
13	Colchester	42	16	12	14	56:45	11	60
14	Fleetwood	42	14	13	15	51:53	-2	55
15	Bristol Rovers	42	16	4	22	46:62	-16	52
16	Accrington	41	14	9	18	40:46	-6	51
17	Gillingham	41	12	13	16	48:60	-12	49
18	Shrewsbury	42	12	8	22	39:66	-27	44
19	Cheltenham	40	11	10	19	44:67	-23	43
20	Crawley	42	8	13	21	40:62	-22	37
21	Tranmere	41	9	9	23	48:71	-23	36
22	Newport	42	9	7	26	41:72	-31	34
23	Barrow	41	8	9	24	38:65	-27	33
24	Harrogate	42	8	9	25	34:64	-30	33

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League