Gillingham vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Cup Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon
Result
1:2 penalties
12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
  • Referee: Hair N. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.96
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
64% (206/320)70% (223/318)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.670.73
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2813
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
813
Passes
64% (206/320)70% (223/318)
Long passes
32% (23/72)28% (19/67)
Passes in final third
51% (73/144)54% (55/101)
Crosses
35% (8/23)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.941.46
Throw-ins
4233
Fouls
138
Tackles
58% (11/19)65% (17/26)
Duels won
6863
Clearances
2845
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.731.67
Goals prevented
-0.270.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Hackford A. , Orsi-Dadomo D. (A),
  • 42', Sasu A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Ogie S. , McKenzie R. ,
  • 61', McCoy-Splatt D. , Smith A. ,
  • 62', Sasu A. , Seddon S. ,
  • 62', Hackford A. , Kelly J. ,
  • 66', Khumbeni N. , Andrews J. ,
  • 74', Gbode J. , Sargent S. ,
  • 74', Wyllie M. , Nevitt E. ,
  • 78', Bugiel O. , Hippolyte M. ,
  • 80', Johnson R. 🟨,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Coleman E. , Clark M. (A),
  • 84', Orsi-Dadomo D. , Stevens M. ,
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, Clark M. (Pen),
  • 1, Stevens M. (Pen),
  • 2, Williams J. (Pen),
  • 2, Kelly J. (Pen),
  • 3, McKenzie R. (Pen),
  • 3, Hippolyte M. (Pen),
  • 4, Andrews J. (Pen),
  • 4, Smith A. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gillingham
32.9%
Draw
30.2%
AFC Wimbledon
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 29.9% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9% 29.6% 39.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (3.01)
    3.11
    (3.14)
    2.55
    (2.41)
    6%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 3.
    • Recent performances by Gillingham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Wimbledon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon 1:0
    30.12.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Gillingham 1:0
    12.03.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Gillingham 2:0
    28.11.2023 Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon 1:0
    25.02.2023 Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon 2:1
    Latest results of Gillingham
    09.08.2025 Gillingham - Walsall 1:0
    26.07.2025 Dartford - Gillingham 0:2
    19.07.2025 Gillingham - Luton Town 0:2
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    3AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    4MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    5TranmereBurton
    6HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    7SunderlandBye
    8HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    9BarrowPreston0 : 1
    10WrexhamHull4 : 3
    11WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    12Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    13StokeWalsall1 : 0
    14BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    15BurnleyBye
    16West BromDerby1 : 2
    17EvertonBye
    18ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    19BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    20ByeLeeds
    21GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    22ByeManchester Utd
    23FulhamBye
    24Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    25WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    26NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    27Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    28ByeBrighton
    29PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    30GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    31CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    32CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    33NewportMillwall0 : 1
    34CoventryLuton1 : 0
    35WolvesBye
    36ByeWest Ham
    37BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    38SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    39SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    40PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    41BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    42Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    43Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    44CharltonStevenage3 : 1
    45BournemouthBye
    46ByeBrentford

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale
    2AccringtonDoncaster
    3TBD #5Lincoln
    4SunderlandHuddersfield
    5PrestonWrexham
    6WiganStockport County
    7StokeBradford City
    8BurnleyDerby
    9EvertonMansfield
    10Sheffield WedLeeds
    11GrimsbyManchester Utd
    12FulhamBristol City
    13NorwichSouthampton
    14Oxford UtdBrighton
    15ReadingAFC Wimbledon
    16CardiffCheltenham
    17MillwallCoventry
    18WolvesWest Ham
    19BarnsleyRotherham
    20SwanseaPlymouth
    21BromleyWycombe
    22Cambridge UtdCharlton
    23BournemouthBrentford