Gillingham vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham).

League Two - Round 44
Referee: Ward G. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.45	0.66
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
2	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
4	7
Passes
62% (172/276)	66% (196/299)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.45	0.66
xG on target (xGOT)
0.65	0.31
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
2	1
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
7	5
Shots outside the Box
1	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
4	7
Touches in opposition box
18	29
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
13	8
Passes
62% (172/276)	66% (196/299)
Long passes
29% (20/68)	39% (31/79)
Passes in final third
45% (45/101)	58% (76/131)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.48	1.39
Fouls
8	13
Tackles
73% (8/11)	38% (6/16)
Duels won
52	50
Clearances Total
44	40
Interceptions
4	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.31	0.65
Goals prevented
0.31	-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Hawkins O. ↓, Gbode J. ↑,
44', Foyo O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Foyo O. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Gbode J. ⚽, Dack B. (A),
65', Dack B. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
71', Tilley J. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
71', Stevens M. ↓, Pigott J. ↑,
81', Rowe A. 🟨,
81', Rowe A. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
83', Maycock C. ↓, Hutchinson S. ↑,
83', Hutchinson S. 🟨,
86', Clark M. 🟨,
90+2', Hutton R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Gillingham
27.5%

Draw
30.1%

AFC Wimbledon
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

28.8%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

29%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (3.36)	3.12 ↓ (3.26)	2.21 ↑ (2.17)	6.4% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 30.4% – 86.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 17 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 3.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Wimbledon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Wimbledon will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Gillingham: Andrews J. (Knee Injury) Morris G. (Inactive) Williams E. (Injury)
There will not play in Wimbledon: Browne M. (Injury)
There are questionable in Gillingham: Coleman E. (Calf Injury) Ehmer M. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hippolyte M. (Inactive)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21:24 (average 1.1:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.3:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against AFC Wimbledon?

Gillingham has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Gillingham?

AFC Wimbledon has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:

30.12.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Gillingham 1:0

12.03.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Gillingham 2:0

28.11.2023 Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon 1:0

25.02.2023 Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon 2:1

Latest results of Gillingham

18.04.2025 Cheltenham Town - Gillingham 1:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0 ✺

08.04.2025 Chesterfield - Gillingham 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Salford City - Gillingham 2:2 ✺

01.04.2025 Gillingham - Colchester United 1:1 ✺

Latest results of AFC Wimbledon

18.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Chesterfield 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Harrogate Town 1:0 ✺

01.04.2025 Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon 2:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Walsall - AFC Wimbledon 1:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League