Result
1:0
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 44
- Referee: Ward G. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.45 | 0.66 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
62% (172/276) | 66% (196/299) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.45 | 0.66 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.65 | 0.31 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
18 | 29 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
62% (172/276) | 66% (196/299) |
Long passes |
---|
29% (20/68) | 39% (31/79) |
Passes in final third |
---|
45% (45/101) | 58% (76/131) |
Crosses |
---|
27% (4/15) | 19% (4/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.48 | 1.39 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
73% (8/11) | 38% (6/16) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 50 |
Clearances Total |
---|
44 | 40 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.31 | 0.65 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.31 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Hawkins O. ↓, Gbode J. ↑,
- 44', Foyo O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Foyo O. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 0, Gbode J. ⚽, Dack B. (A),
- 65', Dack B. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
- 71', Tilley J. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
- 71', Stevens M. ↓, Pigott J. ↑,
- 81', Rowe A. 🟨,
- 81', Rowe A. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
- 83', Maycock C. ↓, Hutchinson S. ↑,
- 83', Hutchinson S. 🟨,
- 86', Clark M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Hutton R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gillingham 27.5% | Draw 30.1% | AFC Wimbledon 42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.42 ↑ (3.36) |
3.12 ↓ (3.26) |
2.21 ↑ (2.17) |
6.4% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 17 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 3.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Wimbledon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Wimbledon will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Gillingham: Andrews J.
(Knee Injury)
Morris G.
(Inactive)
Williams E.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Wimbledon: Browne M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Coleman E.
(Calf Injury)
Ehmer M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hippolyte M.
(Inactive)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21:24 (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against AFC Wimbledon?
Gillingham has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Gillingham?
AFC Wimbledon has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
30.12.2024
AFC Wimbledon
-
Gillingham
1:0
12.03.2024
AFC Wimbledon
-
Gillingham
2:0
28.11.2023
Gillingham
-
AFC Wimbledon
1:0
25.02.2023
Gillingham
-
AFC Wimbledon
2:1
Latest results of Gillingham
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Colchester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bristol Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Cheltenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Crewe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Gillingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Oldham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Swindon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Tranmere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Walsall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Accrington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Barnet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Chesterfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Grimsby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | MK Dons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Notts Co | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Shrewsbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Cambridge Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Crawley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Barrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Bromley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Newport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Harrogate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Fleetwood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Salford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League