Gillingham vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Cup Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon
Result
1:2 penalties
12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
  • Referee: Hair N. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.96
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
64% (206/320)70% (223/318)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.670.73
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2813
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
813
Passes
64% (206/320)70% (223/318)
Long passes
32% (23/72)28% (19/67)
Passes in final third
51% (73/144)54% (55/101)
Crosses
35% (8/23)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.941.46
Throw-ins
4233
Fouls
138
Tackles
58% (11/19)65% (17/26)
Duels won
6863
Clearances
2845
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.731.67
Goals prevented
-0.270.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Hackford A. , Orsi-Dadomo D. (A),
  • 42', Sasu A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Ogie S. , McKenzie R. ,
  • 61', McCoy-Splatt D. , Smith A. ,
  • 62', Sasu A. , Seddon S. ,
  • 62', Hackford A. , Kelly J. ,
  • 66', Khumbeni N. , Andrews J. ,
  • 74', Gbode J. , Sargent S. ,
  • 74', Wyllie M. , Nevitt E. ,
  • 78', Bugiel O. , Hippolyte M. ,
  • 80', Johnson R. 🟨,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Coleman E. , Clark M. (A),
  • 84', Orsi-Dadomo D. , Stevens M. ,
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, Clark M. (Pen),
  • 1, Stevens M. (Pen),
  • 2, Williams J. (Pen),
  • 2, Kelly J. (Pen),
  • 3, McKenzie R. (Pen),
  • 3, Hippolyte M. (Pen),
  • 4, Andrews J. (Pen),
  • 4, Smith A. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gillingham
32.9%
Draw
30.2%
AFC Wimbledon
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 29.9% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9% 29.6% 39.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (3.01)
    3.11
    (3.14)
    2.55
    (2.41)
    6%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 3.
    • Recent performances by Gillingham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Wimbledon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon 1:0
    30.12.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Gillingham 1:0
    12.03.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Gillingham 2:0
    28.11.2023 Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon 1:0
    25.02.2023 Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon 2:1
    Latest results of Gillingham
    09.08.2025 Gillingham - Walsall 1:0
    26.07.2025 Dartford - Gillingham 0:2
    19.07.2025 Gillingham - Luton Town 0:2
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    6SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    7Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    8ByeBrighton
    9BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    10ByeLeeds
    11GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    12ByeManchester Utd
    13BournemouthBye
    14ByeBrentford
    16ByeAston Villa
    17SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    18PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    20ByeNottingham
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25NewcastleBye
    27StokeWalsall1 : 0
    28BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    29TottenhamBye
    31AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    32MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    33BarrowPreston0 : 1
    34WrexhamHull4 : 3
    35PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    36GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    37BurnleyBye
    38West BromDerby1 : 2
    39CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    40CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    41LiverpoolBye
    43WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    44NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    45Crystal PalaceBye
    47NewportMillwall0 : 1
    48CoventryLuton1 : 0
    49WolvesBye
    50ByeWest Ham
    51EvertonBye
    52ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    53TranmereBurton1 : 2
    54HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    56ByeChelsea
    57WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    58Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    59BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    60Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    4Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    5Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    6GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    7BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    8ByeAston Villa
    9SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    10ByeNottingham
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13NewcastleBye
    14StokeBradford City0 : 3
    15TottenhamBye
    16AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    17PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    18ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    19BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    20CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    21LiverpoolBye
    22NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    23Crystal PalaceBye
    24MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    25WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    26EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    27BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    28ByeChelsea
    29WiganStockport County1 : 0
    30BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    2BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    3Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    4BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1
    5SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    6HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    7NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    8TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    9WrexhamReading2 : 0
    10BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    11LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    12Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    13WolvesEverton2 : 0
    14LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    15WiganWycombe0 : 2
    16FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArsenalBrighton
    2GrimsbyBrentford
    3SwanseaManchester City
    4NewcastleTottenham
    5WrexhamCardiff
    6LiverpoolCrystal Palace
    7WolvesChelsea
    8WycombeFulham