AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London).

League Two - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Referee: Smith L. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	Sport 1, Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	Dons TV, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+, Sky Ultra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	0.81
Ball Possession
27%	73%
Total shots
8	14
Shots on target
4	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
2	1
Passes
56% (114/204)	86% (483/564)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	0.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.91	0.02
Total shots
8	14
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
0	9
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
6	4
Shots outside the Box
2	10
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
2	1
Touches in opposition box
11	19
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
5	0
Free Kicks
11	12
Passes
56% (114/204)	86% (483/564)
Long passes
37% (23/62)	43% (24/56)
Passes in final third
49% (50/102)	76% (120/157)
Crosses
38% (3/8)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.76	0.73
Throw-ins
26	27
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
68% (23/34)	56% (9/16)
Duels won
72	53
Clearances
29	23
Interceptions
2	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.02	0.91
Goals prevented
0.02	-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Neufville J. ⚽, Lewis J. (A),
25', Macari L. 🟨,
32', Harbottle R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Harbottle R. ↓, Ogundere I. ↑,
54', Austin S. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
63', Browne M. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
70', Traore M. ↓, Robertson S. ↑,
70', Grant C. ↓, Morias J. ↑,
72', Robertson S. 🟨,
78', Johnson R. 🟨,
81', Stevens M. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
82', Hippolyte M. ↓, Maycock C. ↑,
90', Platt M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

AFC Wimbledon
39.2%

Draw
30.3%

Notts County
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

28.9%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

AFC Wimbledon - Notts County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.28)	3.1 ↓ (3.27)	3.09 ↓ (3.23)	6.3% (5.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Notts County?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: AFC Wimbledon will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
Notts County is Qualified for League Two (Play Offs Semi~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 4.
Recent performances by Wimbledon have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Notts County is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Wimbledon will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.9:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Notts County?

AFC Wimbledon has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against AFC Wimbledon?

Notts County has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Notts County were as follows:

10.05.2025 Notts County - AFC Wimbledon 0:1

08.03.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Notts County 2:0

19.10.2024 Notts County - AFC Wimbledon 1:0

09.03.2024 Notts County - AFC Wimbledon 0:2

25.11.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Notts County 4:2

Latest results of AFC Wimbledon

10.05.2025 Notts County - AFC Wimbledon 0:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon 0:1 ✺

26.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale 0:2 ✺

21.04.2025 Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon 1:0 ✺

18.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Chesterfield 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Notts County

10.05.2025 Notts County - AFC Wimbledon 0:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Notts County - Doncaster Rovers 1:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Harrogate Town - Notts County 1:3 ✺

21.04.2025 Notts County - Cheltenham Town 1:2 ✺

17.04.2025 Bradford City - Notts County 1:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	33	18	11	4	56:34	22	65
2	Cambridge Utd	33	18	9	6	48:26	22	63
3	MK Dons	33	17	10	6	62:33	29	61
4	Notts Co	33	18	7	8	52:32	20	61
5	Swindon	34	19	4	11	56:40	16	61
6	Crewe	34	15	8	11	50:40	10	53
7	Chesterfield	33	13	14	6	52:43	9	53
8	Salford	32	16	4	12	45:43	2	52
9	Barnet	34	13	11	10	43:37	6	50
10	Walsall	32	14	8	10	40:35	5	50
11	Colchester	32	13	10	9	48:34	14	49
12	Grimsby	32	13	10	9	45:37	8	49
13	Accrington	33	13	7	13	36:34	2	46
14	Fleetwood	32	12	8	12	43:42	1	44
15	Oldham	31	10	12	9	34:30	4	42
16	Gillingham	32	10	11	11	40:41	-1	41
17	Shrewsbury	34	10	8	16	33:52	-19	38
18	Tranmere	33	9	8	16	45:57	-12	35
19	Cheltenham	32	10	5	17	33:54	-21	35
20	Bristol Rovers	33	9	3	21	32:56	-24	30
21	Crawley	34	6	10	18	33:54	-21	28
22	Barrow	32	7	6	19	33:50	-17	27
23	Harrogate	34	6	8	20	24:51	-27	26
24	Newport	33	6	6	21	32:60	-28	24

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League