AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

17/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London).

: League Two - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Referee: Smith L. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	0.81
Ball Possession
27%	73%
Total shots
8	14
Shots on target
4	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
2	1
Passes
56% (114/204)	86% (483/564)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95	0.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.91	0.02
Total shots
8	14
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
0	9
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
6	4
Shots outside the Box
2	10
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
2	1
Touches in opposition box
11	19
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
5	0
Free Kicks
11	12
Passes
56% (114/204)	86% (483/564)
Long passes
37% (23/62)	43% (24/56)
Passes in final third
49% (50/102)	76% (120/157)
Crosses
38% (3/8)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.76	0.73
Throw-ins
26	27
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
68% (23/34)	56% (9/16)
Duels won
72	53
Clearances
29	23
Interceptions
2	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.02	0.91
Goals prevented
0.02	-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Neufville J. ⚽, Lewis J. (A),
25', Macari L. 🟨,
32', Harbottle R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Harbottle R. ↓, Ogundere I. ↑,
54', Austin S. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
63', Browne M. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
70', Traore M. ↓, Robertson S. ↑,
70', Grant C. ↓, Morias J. ↑,
72', Robertson S. 🟨,
78', Johnson R. 🟨,
81', Stevens M. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
82', Hippolyte M. ↓, Maycock C. ↑,
90', Platt M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

AFC Wimbledon
39.2%

Draw
30.3%

Notts County
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

28.9%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

AFC Wimbledon - Notts County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.28)	3.1 ↓ (3.27)	3.09 ↓ (3.23)	6.3% (5.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Notts County?

Users Predictions: AFC Wimbledon will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
Notts County is Qualified for League Two (Play Offs Semi~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 4.
Recent performances by Wimbledon have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Notts County is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Wimbledon will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.9:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Notts County?

AFC Wimbledon has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against AFC Wimbledon?

Notts County has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Notts County were as follows:

10.05.2025 Notts County - AFC Wimbledon 0:1

08.03.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Notts County 2:0

19.10.2024 Notts County - AFC Wimbledon 1:0

09.03.2024 Notts County - AFC Wimbledon 0:2

25.11.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Notts County 4:2

Latest results of AFC Wimbledon

10.05.2025 Notts County - AFC Wimbledon 0:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Grimsby Town - AFC Wimbledon 0:1 ✺

26.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale 0:2 ✺

21.04.2025 Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon 1:0 ✺

18.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Chesterfield 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Notts County

10.05.2025 Notts County - AFC Wimbledon 0:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Notts County - Doncaster Rovers 1:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Harrogate Town - Notts County 1:3 ✺

21.04.2025 Notts County - Cheltenham Town 1:2 ✺

17.04.2025 Bradford City - Notts County 1:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Which TV channels are streaming of AFC Wimbledon - Notts County?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	Sport 1, Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	Dons TV, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+, Sky Ultra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+