AFC Wimbledon vs Notts County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
17/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Smith L. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
israelIsraelSport 1, Sport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDons TV, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+, Sky Ultra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.950.81
Ball Possession
27%73%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
56% (114/204)86% (483/564)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.950.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.910.02
Total shots
814
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
09
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
210
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
1119
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
56% (114/204)86% (483/564)
Long passes
37% (23/62)43% (24/56)
Passes in final third
49% (50/102)76% (120/157)
Crosses
38% (3/8)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.73
Throw-ins
2627
Fouls
1211
Tackles
68% (23/34)56% (9/16)
Duels won
7253
Clearances
2923
Interceptions
24
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.020.91
Goals prevented
0.02-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Neufville J. , Lewis J. (A),
  • 25', Macari L. 🟨,
  • 32', Harbottle R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Harbottle R. , Ogundere I. ,
  • 54', Austin S. , Jarvis W. ,
  • 63', Browne M. , Kelly J. ,
  • 70', Traore M. , Robertson S. ,
  • 70', Grant C. , Morias J. ,
  • 72', Robertson S. 🟨,
  • 78', Johnson R. 🟨,
  • 81', Stevens M. , Sasu A. ,
  • 82', Hippolyte M. , Maycock C. ,
  • 90', Platt M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
39.2%
Draw
30.3%
Notts County
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 29% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 28.9% 29.2%

AFC Wimbledon - Notts County Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.4
(2.28)
3.1
(3.27)
3.09
(3.23)
6.3%
(5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Notts County?
  • Users Predictions: AFC Wimbledon will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • Notts County is Qualified for League Two (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 4.
    • Recent performances by Wimbledon have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Notts County is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Wimbledon will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 1.9:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Notts County were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Notts County - AFC Wimbledon 0:1
    08.03.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Notts County 2:0
    19.10.2024 Notts County - AFC Wimbledon 1:0
    09.03.2024 Notts County - AFC Wimbledon 0:2
    25.11.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Notts County 4:2
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Notts County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall20123530:191139
    2Notts Co20114535:221337
    3Swindon20114534:25937
    4Bromley20106432:23936
    5Cambridge Utd2197524:18634
    6MK Dons2096538:241433
    7Salford20103729:29033
    8Crewe2195734:28632
    9Chesterfield2088436:31532
    10Gillingham2079428:22630
    11Fleetwood2086630:27330
    12Colchester2077631:25628
    13Barnet2077627:22528
    14Grimsby2076733:28527
    15Tranmere2068634:31326
    16Oldham2059618:16224
    17Accrington2166923:25-224
    18Cheltenham21731118:34-1624
    19Barrow21561021:30-921
    20Shrewsbury2047920:33-1319
    21Crawley20461025:35-1018
    22Bristol Rovers21531316:39-2318
    23Harrogate20451118:31-1317
    24Newport20341320:37-1713

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League