AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage Borough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London).

League One - Round 22
Referee: Rock D. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.19	0.49
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
5	11
Shots on target
1	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
2	8
Passes
74% (274/368)	70% (221/317)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.19	0.49
xG on target (xGOT)
0.04	0.04
Total shots
5	11
Shots on target
1	1
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
2	7
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
2	8
Touches in opposition box
12	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
11	13
Passes
74% (274/368)	70% (221/317)
Long passes
35% (29/83)	30% (17/57)
Passes in final third
59% (66/112)	61% (66/108)
Crosses
25% (5/20)	16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.60	0.35
Throw-ins
34	32
Fouls
13	11
Tackles
59% (10/17)	79% (11/14)
Duels won
55	65
Clearances
38	29
Interceptions
8	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.04	0.04
Goals prevented
0.04	0.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Thompson L. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
64', Reeves J. 🟨,
67', Freestone L. 🟨,
68', Houghton J. 🟨,
69', Maycock C. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
70', Phillips D. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
73', White H. 🟨,
78', Malcolm J. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
78', Reid J. ↓, Young J. ↑,
81', Asiimwe N. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
81', Bugiel O. ↓, Stevens M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

AFC Wimbledon
31.9%

Draw
33%

Stevenage Borough
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

30.7%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

30%

38.4%

AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 (2.93)	2.82 ↓ (3.04)	2.64 ↑ (2.49)	7.4% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Stevenage will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 29.6% – 90.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Stevenage (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recently, Wimbledon has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Stevenage: Phillips D. (Inactive)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.4:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 2:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Stevenage Borough?

AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against AFC Wimbledon?

Stevenage Borough has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough were as follows:

02.09.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough 1:5

05.09.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough 2:1

15.04.2023 Stevenage Borough - AFC Wimbledon 2:1

28.02.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough 2:3

Latest results of AFC Wimbledon

19.12.2025 Northampton Town - AFC Wimbledon 3:1 ✺

13.12.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Mansfield Town 0:0 ✺

09.12.2025 Exeter City - AFC Wimbledon 1:0 ✺

02.12.2025 Cardiff City - AFC Wimbledon 1:5 ✺

29.11.2025 Huddersfield Town - AFC Wimbledon 3:3 ✺

Latest results of Stevenage Borough

20.12.2025 Stevenage Borough - Burton Albion 2:2 ✺

13.12.2025 Stockport County - Stevenage Borough 1:3 ✺

09.12.2025 Stevenage Borough - Cardiff City 0:1 ✺

02.12.2025 Stevenage Borough - Walsall 1:2 ✺

29.11.2025 Wigan Athletic - Stevenage Borough 0:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	30	19	6	5	55:29	26	63
2	Lincoln	30	18	7	5	52:30	22	61
3	Bolton	31	15	10	6	41:29	12	55
4	Stockport County	30	15	8	7	42:35	7	53
5	Huddersfield	31	14	7	10	53:42	11	49
6	Bradford City	29	14	7	8	37:33	4	49
7	Luton	30	13	6	11	40:35	5	45
8	Peterborough	31	14	2	15	45:41	4	44
9	Wycombe	30	11	10	9	40:31	9	43
10	Reading	30	11	10	9	43:39	4	43
11	Stevenage	29	11	9	9	31:30	1	42
12	Mansfield	29	10	9	10	37:32	5	39
13	Exeter	29	11	5	13	33:30	3	38
14	AFC Wimbledon	29	11	5	13	32:38	-6	38
15	Barnsley	27	10	7	10	44:46	-2	37
16	Plymouth	30	11	4	15	37:46	-9	37
17	Blackpool	30	9	6	15	37:44	-7	33
18	Leyton Orient	30	9	6	15	40:49	-9	33
19	Northampton	30	9	6	15	29:39	-10	33
20	Doncaster	30	9	6	15	33:50	-17	33
21	Burton	30	8	8	14	33:45	-12	32
22	Wigan	30	7	10	13	31:42	-11	31
23	Rotherham	29	8	7	14	31:43	-12	31
24	Port Vale	28	5	7	16	22:40	-18	22

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two