AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage Borough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
26/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 22
  • Referee: Rock D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.190.49
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
511
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
74% (274/368)70% (221/317)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.190.49
xG on target (xGOT)
0.040.04
Total shots
511
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
27
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
1219
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
74% (274/368)70% (221/317)
Long passes
35% (29/83)30% (17/57)
Passes in final third
59% (66/112)61% (66/108)
Crosses
25% (5/20)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.35
Throw-ins
3432
Fouls
1311
Tackles
59% (10/17)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5565
Clearances
3829
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.040.04
Goals prevented
0.040.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Thompson L. , Houghton J. ,
  • 64', Reeves J. 🟨,
  • 67', Freestone L. 🟨,
  • 68', Houghton J. 🟨,
  • 69', Maycock C. , Sasu A. ,
  • 70', Phillips D. , Kemp D. ,
  • 73', White H. 🟨,
  • 78', Malcolm J. , Lubala B. ,
  • 78', Reid J. , Young J. ,
  • 81', Asiimwe N. , Hackford A. ,
  • 81', Bugiel O. , Stevens M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
31.9%
Draw
33%
Stevenage Borough
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 30.7% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 30% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.93
    (2.93)
    2.82
    (3.04)
    2.64
    (2.49)
    7.4%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Stevenage will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Stevenage (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Wimbledon has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Stevenage: Phillips D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 2:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
    02.09.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough 1:5
    05.09.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough 2:1
    15.04.2023 Stevenage Borough - AFC Wimbledon 2:1
    28.02.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough 2:3
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Stevenage Borough
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff34226668:363272
    2Lincoln34218563:313271
    3Bolton351613650:341661
    4Bradford City341771043:38558
    5Stockport County341681047:43456
    6Wycombe3514111050:361453
    7Huddersfield351571355:46952
    8Reading341312950:44651
    9Stevenage331491037:35251
    10Luton341381343:41247
    11Peterborough351441750:49146
    12Plymouth341441649:50-146
    13Barnsley321281253:54-144
    14AFC Wimbledon331271441:48-743
    15Exeter341191439:40-142
    16Mansfield3310111239:37241
    17Burton3510101539:50-1140
    18Doncaster331161636:55-1939
    19Wigan339101435:46-1137
    20Blackpool341071740:54-1437
    21Leyton Orient331061744:56-1236
    22Rotherham34981733:47-1435
    23Northampton35981831:47-1635
    24Port Vale32691726:44-1827

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two