Stevenage Borough vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lamex Stadium (Stevenage).

League One - Round 37
Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.49	0.31
Ball possession
36%	64%
Total shots
9	7
Shots on target
4	1
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
1	7
Passes
57% (132/232)	71% (290/411)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.49	0.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.70	0.00
Total shots
9	7
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
3	2
Blocked shots
2	4
Shots inside the box
6	6
Shots outside the box
3	1
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
1	7
Touches in opposition box
18	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
11	12
Passes
57% (132/232)	71% (290/411)
Long passes
22% (14/65)	34% (27/80)
Passes in final third
46% (46/100)	51% (76/149)
Crosses
42% (5/12)	30% (7/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	0.51
Throw ins
47	35
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
56% (10/18)	78% (21/27)
Duels won
59	61
Clearances
51	36
Interceptions
10	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.00	1.70
Goals prevented
0.00	0.70

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Smith A. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Reid J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Kemp D. 🟨,
65', Maycock C. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
65', Stevens M. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
65', Smith A. ↓, Reeves J. ↑,
77', Lewis J. ↓, Nkeng R. ↑,
77', Browne M. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
78', Houghton J. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
78', Reid J. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
78', Patterson P. ↓, Pattenden J. ↑,
86', Kemp D. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
90+3', Freestone L. 🟨,
90+4', Hippolyte M. 🟨,
90+7', Lubala B. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Stevenage Borough
46.7%

Draw
29.7%

AFC Wimbledon
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

28.5%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

27.3%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Stevenage Borough - AFC Wimbledon Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.84)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	3.95 ↓ (4.18)	6.4% (9.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - AFC Wimbledon?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Stevenage (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stevenage Borough will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 8 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 3.
Stevenage has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Wimbledon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Wimbledon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Stevenage is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T. (Inactive)
There will not play in Wimbledon: Sasu A. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Stevenage: Cornick H. (Injury)
There are questionable in Wimbledon: Stewart L. (Inactive) Tilley J. (Inactive)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against AFC Wimbledon?

Stevenage Borough has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Stevenage Borough?

AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:

26.12.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough 0:0

02.09.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough 1:5

05.09.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough 2:1

15.04.2023 Stevenage Borough - AFC Wimbledon 2:1

28.02.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough 2:3

Latest results of Stevenage Borough

10.03.2026 Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient 1:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough 0:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Stevenage Borough - Stockport County 2:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough 3:1 ✺

17.02.2026 Stevenage Borough - Port Vale 2:1 ✺

Latest results of AFC Wimbledon

11.03.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Blackpool 4:1 ✺

08.03.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Northampton Town 1:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Mansfield Town - AFC Wimbledon 2:2 ✺

21.02.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Bradford City 3:1 ✺

17.02.2026 Cardiff City - AFC Wimbledon 4:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	39	25	9	5	74:34	40	84
2	Cardiff	39	23	8	8	73:41	32	77
3	Bolton	39	17	15	7	55:39	16	66
4	Bradford City	39	19	8	12	49:44	5	65
5	Stockport County	37	17	9	11	51:48	3	60
6	Stevenage	38	17	9	12	41:38	3	60
7	Plymouth	39	18	5	16	60:54	6	59
8	Reading	39	15	13	11	57:51	6	58
9	Huddersfield	39	16	9	14	59:51	8	57
10	Wycombe	39	15	11	13	55:43	12	56
11	Luton	39	15	10	14	52:49	3	55
12	Peterborough	38	15	5	18	57:52	5	50
13	Barnsley	37	13	11	13	59:60	-1	50
14	AFC Wimbledon	38	14	8	16	49:55	-6	50
15	Mansfield	37	12	13	12	47:41	6	49
16	Leyton Orient	38	14	6	18	55:62	-7	48
17	Doncaster	38	13	8	17	41:59	-18	47
18	Burton	39	12	10	17	44:54	-10	46
19	Wigan	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45
20	Exeter	39	11	9	19	42:52	-10	42
21	Blackpool	39	11	9	19	46:63	-17	42
22	Rotherham	38	9	9	20	35:58	-23	36
23	Northampton	39	9	8	22	33:56	-23	35
24	Port Vale	36	7	10	19	29:49	-20	31

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two