AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage Borough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London).

EFL Trophy
Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.14	3.38
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
5	20
Shots on target
3	10
Big Chances
2	7
Corner Kicks
1	4
Passes
76% (294/385)	83% (408/489)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14	3.38
xG on target (xGOT)
2.19	3.91
Total shots
5	20
Shots on target
3	10
Shots off target
2	6
Blocked Shots
0	4
Shots inside the Box
3	14
Shots outside the Box
2	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	7
Corner Kicks
1	4
Touches in opposition box
15	28
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
10	13
Passes
76% (294/385)	83% (408/489)
Long passes
32% (20/63)	51% (40/78)
Passes in final third
57% (53/93)	75% (102/136)
Crosses
18% (2/11)	22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.83	1.49
Throw-ins
18	13
Fouls
13	10
Tackles
73% (11/15)	38% (5/13)
Duels won
46	55
Clearances
25	21
Interceptions
6	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	2
xGOT faced
3.91	2.19
Goals prevented
-1.09	1.19

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Patterson P. ⚽, Malcolm J. (A),
15', 0 - 2, Lubala B. ⚽,
23', Sasu A. 🟨,
31', 1 - 2, Orsi-Dadomo D. (Pen),
32', Lubala B. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
38', Butler D. 🟨,
43', White H. 🟨,
45', 1 - 3, Ahadme G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Horan R. ↓, Foyo O. ↑,
50', 1 - 4, White H. ⚽, Patterson P. (A),
66', Hackford A. ↓, Nkeng R. ↑,
67', McCoy-Splatt D. ↓, Jennings K. ↑,
81', 1 - 5, Ahadme G. ⚽, Pattenden J. (A),
82', Malcolm J. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
82', Doherty R. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
86', Orsi-Dadomo D. ↓, Hedges H. ↑,
86', Patterson P. ↓, Roberts M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

AFC Wimbledon
29.9%

Draw
28.5%

Stevenage Borough
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

26.9%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

26.4%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.64)	3.37 ↓ (3.43)	2.27 ↓ (2.41)	4.4% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Stevenage will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 19.1% – 73.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Wimbledon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 2.2:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Stevenage Borough?

AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against AFC Wimbledon?

Stevenage Borough has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough were as follows:

05.09.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough 2:1

15.04.2023 Stevenage Borough - AFC Wimbledon 2:1

28.02.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough 2:3

Latest results of AFC Wimbledon

30.08.2025 Bradford City - AFC Wimbledon 3:2 ✺

26.08.2025 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 2:1 ✺

23.08.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Barnsley 2:0 ✺

19.08.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Cardiff City 0:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Reading - AFC Wimbledon 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Stevenage Borough

30.08.2025 Stevenage Borough - Wycombe Wanderers 1:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Huddersfield Town - Stevenage Borough 1:0 ✺

19.08.2025 Port Vale - Stevenage Borough 1:2 ✺

16.08.2025 Stevenage Borough - Northampton Town 2:0 ✺

12.08.2025 Charlton Athletic - Stevenage Borough 3:1 ✺

English EFL Trophy Table

2025/26

Group 1

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Salford	2	2	0	0	0	5:1	6
2	Stockport County	2	1	0	0	1	6:6	3
3	Wolves U21	2	1	0	0	1	5:6	3
4	Wigan	2	0	0	0	2	1:4	0

Group 2

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Blackpool	2	2	0	0	0	7:1	6
2	Tranmere	2	1	1	0	0	4:3	5
3	Nottingham U21	2	0	0	1	1	3:4	1
4	Barrow	2	0	0	0	2	1:7	0

Group 3

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Bradford City	2	2	0	0	0	7:2	6
2	Doncaster	2	2	0	0	0	5:1	6
3	Grimsby	2	0	0	0	2	1:5	0
4	Everton U21	2	0	0	0	2	2:7	0

Group 4

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Lincoln	2	2	0	0	0	6:0	6
2	Barnsley	2	1	0	0	1	6:4	3
3	Notts Co	2	1	0	0	1	2:4	3
4	Manchester Utd U21	2	0	0	0	2	2:8	0

Group 5

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Bolton	2	2	0	0	0	4:0	6
2	Manchester City U21	2	1	0	0	1	5:4	3
3	Rotherham	2	1	0	0	1	3:3	3
4	Oldham	2	0	0	0	2	3:8	0

Group 6

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Harrogate	2	2	0	0	0	2:0	6
2	Huddersfield	2	1	0	0	1	6:3	3
3	Newcastle Utd U21	2	0	1	0	1	4:8	2
4	Mansfield	2	0	0	1	1	2:3	1

Group 7

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Port Vale	2	2	0	0	0	6:1	6
2	Fleetwood	2	1	1	0	0	6:2	5
3	Accrington	2	0	0	1	1	2:4	1
4	Leeds U21	2	0	0	0	2	1:8	0

Group 8

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Crewe	2	2	0	0	0	9:1	6
2	Burton	2	1	0	0	1	2:1	3
3	Chesterfield	2	1	0	0	1	2:7	3
4	Liverpool U21	2	0	0	0	2	0:4	0

Group 9

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Arsenal U21	1	1	0	0	0	2:1	3
2	Newport	2	1	0	0	1	2:2	3
3	Cardiff	2	1	0	0	1	1:1	3
4	Exeter	1	0	0	0	1	0:1	0

Group 10

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Plymouth	2	2	0	0	0	8:2	6
2	Bristol Rovers	2	1	1	0	0	5:4	5
3	Tottenham U21	2	0	0	1	1	6:10	1
4	Cheltenham	2	0	0	0	2	0:3	0

Group 11

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Northampton	2	2	0	0	0	4:0	6
2	Walsall	2	1	0	0	1	3:2	3
3	Shrewsbury	2	1	0	0	1	4:4	3
4	Chelsea U21	2	0	0	0	2	1:6	0

Group 12

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Reading	3	2	0	0	1	6:4	6
2	West Ham U21	2	1	0	0	1	6:4	3
3	Swindon	1	1	0	0	0	3:2	3
4	MK Dons	2	0	0	0	2	1:6	0

Group 13

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Stevenage	3	3	0	0	0	12:4	9
2	AFC Wimbledon	2	1	0	0	1	4:6	3
3	Bromley	2	0	1	0	1	4:5	2
4	Crystal Palace U21	3	0	0	1	2	6:11	1

Group 14

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Leyton Orient	2	2	0	0	0	5:2	6
2	Crawley	2	1	0	0	1	5:4	3
3	Peterborough	2	1	0	0	1	5:5	3
4	Aston Villa U21	2	0	0	0	2	4:8	0

Group 15

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Colchester	2	2	0	0	0	4:2	6
2	Gillingham	2	1	0	0	1	5:3	3
3	Wycombe	2	1	0	0	1	4:3	3
4	Fulham U21	2	0	0	0	2	2:7	0

Group 16

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Barnet	3	1	1	0	1	5:7	5
2	Luton	2	1	0	0	1	5:4	3
3	Cambridge Utd	2	1	0	0	1	5:4	3
4	Brighton U21	1	0	0	1	0	1:1	1