Result
1:0
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 37
- Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (132/232) | 71% (290/411) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (132/232) | 71% (290/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 22% (14/65) | 34% (27/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (46/100) | 51% (76/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 47 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 78% (21/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 51 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', Smith A. 🟨,
- 10', 1 - 0, Reid J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Kemp D. 🟨,
- 65', Maycock C. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
- 65', Stevens M. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
- 65', Smith A. ↓, Reeves J. ↑,
- 77', Lewis J. ↓, Nkeng R. ↑,
- 77', Browne M. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
- 78', Houghton J. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
- 78', Reid J. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
- 78', Patterson P. ↓, Pattenden J. ↑,
- 86', Kemp D. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
- 90+3', Freestone L. 🟨,
- 90+4', Hippolyte M. 🟨,
- 90+7', Lubala B. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stevenage Borough
46.7% | Draw
29.7% | AFC Wimbledon
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Stevenage Borough - AFC Wimbledon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↑
(1.84) |
3.16 ↓
(3.2) |
3.95 ↓
(4.18) |
6.4%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - AFC Wimbledon?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Stevenage (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Stevenage Borough will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 8 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 3.
- Stevenage has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Wimbledon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Wimbledon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Stevenage is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Wimbledon: Sasu A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: Cornick H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Stewart L.
(Inactive)
Tilley J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against AFC Wimbledon?
Stevenage Borough has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Stevenage Borough?
AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
26.12.2025
AFC Wimbledon
-
Stevenage Borough
0:0
02.09.2025
AFC Wimbledon
-
Stevenage Borough
1:5
05.09.2023
AFC Wimbledon
-
Stevenage Borough
2:1
15.04.2023
Stevenage Borough
-
AFC Wimbledon
2:1
28.02.2023
AFC Wimbledon
-
Stevenage Borough
2:3
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
