AFC Wimbledon vs Wigan Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 17
  • Referee: Eley R. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.701.78
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
77% (303/395)75% (264/350)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.701.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.890.60
Total shots
813
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1521
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1619
Passes
77% (303/395)75% (264/350)
Long passes
47% (34/72)37% (25/68)
Passes in final third
58% (70/121)54% (44/81)
Crosses
33% (8/24)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.791.37
Throw-ins
3718
Fouls
1916
Tackles
57% (4/7)79% (11/14)
Duels won
4553
Clearances
2027
Interceptions
412
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.600.89
Goals prevented
-1.40-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Murray F. 🟨,
  • 40', Reeves J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 53', Johnson R. 🟨,
  • 64', Sasu A. , Hackford A. ,
  • 64', Orsi-Dadomo D. , Bugiel O. ,
  • 70', 1 - 0, Smith A. , Lewis J. (A),
  • 71', Saydee C. , Mullin P. ,
  • 76', Francois T. , Cooper O. ,
  • 77', Costelloe D. , Bettoni H. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Bettoni H. ,
  • 79', Browne M. , Asiimwe N. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Bettoni H. , Mullin P. (A),
  • 89', Murray F. , Carragher J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
32.2%
Draw
32.1%
Wigan Athletic
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 31.4% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3% 33.2% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • AFC Wimbledon - Wigan Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.9
    (2.72)
    2.96
    (2.97)
    2.68
    (2.72)
    5.6%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Wigan Athletic?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Wigan will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wigan: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Wimbledon: Stevens M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Wigan: Adeeko B. (Inactive) Francois T. (Muscle Injury) Trevitt R. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wigan: Hungbo J. (Injury) Mabaya I. (Achilles Tendon Injury) McHugh H. (Inactive) Rogers J. (Injury) Sze C. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Wigan Athletic
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln39259574:344084
    2Cardiff39238873:413277
    3Bolton391715755:391666
    4Bradford City391981249:44565
    5Stockport County371791151:48360
    6Stevenage381791241:38360
    7Plymouth391851660:54659
    8Reading3915131157:51658
    9Huddersfield391691459:51857
    10Wycombe3915111355:431256
    11Luton3915101452:49355
    12Peterborough381551857:52550
    13Barnsley3713111359:60-150
    14AFC Wimbledon381481649:55-650
    15Mansfield3712131247:41649
    16Leyton Orient381461855:62-748
    17Doncaster381381741:59-1847
    18Burton3912101744:54-1046
    19Wigan3811121541:51-1045
    20Exeter391191942:52-1042
    21Blackpool391191946:63-1742
    22Rotherham38992035:58-2336
    23Northampton39982233:56-2335
    24Port Vale367101929:49-2031

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