Burton Albion vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Pirelli Stadium (Burton upon Trent).

League One - Round 43
Referee: Woods M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.82	0.21
Ball possession
56%	44%
Total shots
12	5
Shots on target
3	1
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
9	2
Passes
65% (243/376)	63% (186/295)
Yellow cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
0.82	0.21
xG on target (xGOT)
0.97	0.01
Total shots
12	5
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
3	1
Blocked shots
6	3
Shots inside the box
10	3
Shots outside the box
2	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
9	2
Touches in opposition box
39	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
14	9
Passes
65% (243/376)	63% (186/295)
Long passes
36% (31/86)	20% (19/93)
Passes in final third
50% (94/187)	45% (49/108)
Crosses
29% (7/24)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.71	0.45
Throw ins
22	34
Fouls
9	14
Tackles
83% (10/12)	62% (8/13)
Duels won
67	41
Clearances
22	57
Interceptions
6	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.01	0.97
Goals prevented
0.01	-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Lofthouse K. ⚽, Moon J. (A),
65', Asiimwe N. ↓, Tilley J. ↑,
65', Sasu A. ↓, Nkeng R. ↑,
74', Browne M. ↓, Stewart L. ↑,
74', Hutchinson S. ↓, Foyo O. ↑,
74', Cannon A. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
76', Webster C. 🟨,
80', Webster C. ↓, McKiernan J. J. ↑,
83', Nelson Z. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Burton Albion
50.9%

Draw
27.5%

AFC Wimbledon
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

28.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burton Albion's performance.

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AFC Wimbledon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burton Albion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Wimbledon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Burton Albion - AFC Wimbledon Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.1)	3.4 ↓ (3.45)	4.33 ↑ (3.4)	6% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Burton Albion - AFC Wimbledon?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 2.
In recent matches, Burton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Wimbledon is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Burton is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Burton: Delap F. (Knee Injury) Gilligan C. (Inactive) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Revan S. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Wimbledon: Tilley J. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Burton: Evans G. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Wimbledon: Browne M. (Injury) Hippolyte M. (Inactive) Stevens M. (Inactive)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Burton won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.9:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against AFC Wimbledon?

Burton Albion has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Burton Albion?

AFC Wimbledon has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:

25.10.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Burton Albion 0:1

Latest results of Burton Albion

06.04.2026 Mansfield Town - Burton Albion 0:0 ✺

03.04.2026 Burton Albion - Barnsley 1:1 ✺

28.03.2026 Blackpool - Burton Albion 1:0 ✺

21.03.2026 Burton Albion - Bradford City 2:1 ✺

17.03.2026 Burton Albion - Reading 1:2 ✺

Latest results of AFC Wimbledon

06.04.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Luton Town 0:3 ✺

03.04.2026 Lincoln City - AFC Wimbledon 1:0 ✺

28.03.2026 Stockport County - AFC Wimbledon 3:0 ✺

21.03.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Peterborough United 1:1 ✺

17.03.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Leyton Orient 2:4 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln ✔	45	30	10	5	87:41	46	100
2	Cardiff ✔	45	27	10	8	86:45	41	91
3	Bolton ✔	45	19	18	8	68:49	19	75
4	Stockport County	45	21	11	13	68:57	11	74
5	Bradford City	45	21	11	13	56:50	6	74
6	Stevenage	45	20	12	13	48:46	2	72
7	Luton	45	20	11	14	65:54	11	71
8	Plymouth	45	21	7	17	72:61	11	70
9	Huddersfield	45	17	13	15	70:64	6	64
10	Reading	45	16	15	14	64:59	5	63
11	Mansfield	45	15	17	13	57:46	11	62
12	Wycombe	45	16	12	17	66:56	10	60
13	Barnsley	45	15	14	16	67:70	-3	59
14	Blackpool	45	16	9	20	53:65	-12	57
15	Doncaster	45	16	9	20	47:68	-21	57
16	Wigan	45	14	14	17	49:57	-8	56
17	Peterborough	45	15	8	22	63:65	-2	53
18	Burton	45	13	14	18	48:58	-10	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	45	15	8	22	51:68	-17	53
20	Leyton Orient	45	14	9	22	57:69	-12	51
21	Exeter	45	12	13	20	51:59	-8	49
22	Port Vale ✔	45	10	12	23	36:59	-23	42
23	Rotherham ✔	45	10	11	24	39:68	-29	41
24	Northampton ✔	45	9	8	28	37:71	-34	35

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

Clinched Spots for Teams

Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two