Result
4:1
02/09/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 4
- Referee: Brown D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | DAZN, Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.33 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (337/432) | 80% (330/412) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (337/432) | 80% (330/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (23/64) | 32% (21/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (61/103) | 56% (83/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/7) | 33% (10/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.96 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | -2.17 |
| Goal kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Stockley J. ⚽, Tilley J. (A),
- 28', 1 - 1, Evans G. ⚽,
- 34', 2 - 1, Smith A. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', 3 - 1, Webster C. ⚽, Lofthouse K. (A),
- 61', McNeilly D. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
- 61', Nelson Z. ↓, Maycock C. ↑,
- 61', Sweeney D. ↓, Sessegnon S. ↑,
- 65', Evans G. ↓, Lewis J. ↑,
- 65', Collar W. ↓, Adom K. ↑,
- 72', Yiadom A. 🟨,
- 76', 4 - 1, Vickers C. ⚽, Krubally S. (A),
- 81', Vickers C. ↓, Adiele E. ↑,
- 83', Armer J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Armer J. ↓, Araujo H. ↑,
- 90+1', Lofthouse K. ↓, Scutt Z. ↑,
Chances of winning
Burton Albion
40.4% | Draw
29.4% | AFC Wimbledon
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burton Albion's form might have worsened.AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burton Albion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Burton Albion - AFC Wimbledon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(2.01) |
3.22 ↓
(3.41) |
3.13 ↓
(3.57) |
5.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - AFC Wimbledon?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 3.
- In recent matches, Burton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Wimbledon is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Wimbledon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Burton could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Burton won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against AFC Wimbledon?
Burton Albion has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Burton Albion?
AFC Wimbledon has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
11.04.2026
Burton Albion
-
AFC Wimbledon
1:0
25.10.2025
AFC Wimbledon
-
Burton Albion
0:1
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
English League One Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sheffield Wed | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13:6 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Burton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Luton | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Reading | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Oxford Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Blackpool | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
| 12 | Notts County | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 13 | Plymouth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Barnsley | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 6 |
| 17 | Mansfield | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 18 | Leicester | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
| 19 | MK Dons | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 | Peterborough | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 4 |
| 21 | Bromley | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:15 | -11 | 4 |
| 22 | Doncaster | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 23 | Wycombe | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7:12 | -5 | 3 |
| 24 | Wigan | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
