Ayr United vs Airdrieonians – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Scottish Football Championship Ayr United - Airdrieonians
Result
4:2
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 8
  • Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAyr United Media

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
94
Shots on target
74
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
94
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
20
Corner Kicks
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Walker E. , Ure K. (A),
  • 6', 2 - 0, McKenzie M. , Rus M. (A),
  • 22', 3 - 0, McKenzie M. , Rus M. (A),
  • 25', McStravick L. , Ross C. ,
  • 28', 3 - 1, McGrattan L. , Armstrong R. (A),
  • 39', 4 - 1, Murphy J. , McAllister N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', King L. , Dowds A. ,
  • 54', Armstrong R. , Cooper C. ,
  • 54', McMaster D. , Barjonas J. ,
  • 54', Henderson E. , Xavier-Jones T. ,
  • 58', McAllister N. 🟨,
  • 59', 4 - 2, Telfer Ch. ,
  • 61', McGinty S. 🟨,
  • 69', Dempsey B. , Bannigan S. ,
  • 69', McAllister N. , Dick L. ,
  • 77', Murphy J. , Oakley G. ,
  • 78', Rus M. , Hastie J. ,
  • 86', McGrattan L. , Iserhienrhien D. ,

Chances of winning


Ayr United
67.4%
Draw
18.9%
Airdrieonians
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 24.8% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 21.7% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ayr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ayr United's performance.
  • Airdrieonians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Airdrieonians might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (-19.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ayr United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Airdrieonians could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ayr United - Airdrieonians Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.7)
    5.77
    (3.73)
    8.04
    (4.47)
    -4.3%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Ayr United - Airdrieonians?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ayr will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Airdrieonians will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ayr (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 5.
    • Ayr has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Airdrieonians's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Airdrieonians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ayr is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 14 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:22. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ayr won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:10. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ayr United - Airdrieonians were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Airdrieonians - Ayr United 0:1
    01.03.2025 Ayr United - Airdrieonians 4:1
    26.10.2024 Airdrieonians - Ayr United 0:1
    09.08.2024 Ayr United - Airdrieonians 5:0
    29.03.2024 Ayr United - Airdrieonians 2:1
    Latest results of Ayr United
    Latest results of Airdrieonians
    Scottish Football Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St Johnstone972018:51323
    2Partick Thistle852114:11317
    3Raith942310:8214
    4Arbroath93339:16-712
    5Ayr825110:8211
    6Morton91718:8010
    7Dunfermline923410:919
    8Queen's Park91537:10-38
    9Ross County914411:14-37
    10Airdrieonians90368:16-83

          Promotion ~ Premiership
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
          Championship (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ League One