Result
3:1
16/04/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 31
- Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 France | Amazon Prime Video |
 Portugal | Eleven Sports |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
Chances of winning
Strasbourg
56.1% | Draw
27.5% | Ajaccio
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-18.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Strasbourg that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajaccio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Strasbourg - Ajaccio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.75) |
3.48 ↓
(3.49) |
5.77 ↑
(5.07) |
4.8%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Ajaccio?
Users Predictions:
Strasbourg will win
(56 of 64 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.4% – 95.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- Strasbourg has the most likely position - 16 (27.51%), project points - 38, currently - 26, a chance of relegated (28%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Ajaccio has the most likely position - 19 (46.08%), project points - 27, currently - 21, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 53, importance 34, match rating 43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Strasbourg is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Ajaccio has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Strasbourg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Strasbourg is a favorite.
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Diallo H.
(Red Card)
Kawashima E.
(Shoulder Injury)
Lienard D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Ajaccio: Belaili Y.
(Groin Injury)
Cimignani Y.
(Injury)
Vidal C.
(Yellow Cards)
Youssouf M.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Strasbourg: Le Marchand M.
(Ankle Injury)
Nyamsi G.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Strasbourg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.
- Including matches at home between the teams Strasbourg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Ajaccio?
Strasbourg has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajaccio won against Strasbourg?
Ajaccio has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Ajaccio were as follows:
05.11.2022
Ajaccio
-
Strasbourg
4:2
Latest results of Strasbourg
Latest results of Ajaccio
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Toulouse | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Strasbourg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Lille | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Lorient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Monaco | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Nice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Rennes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
| 14 | Brest | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Nantes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 | Paris FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Metz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
