Strasbourg vs Ajaccio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Strasbourg - Ajaccio
Result
3:1
16/04/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 31
  • Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video
portugalPortugalEleven Sports
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport

Chances of winning


Strasbourg
56.1%
Draw
27.5%
Ajaccio
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 27.2% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 18.8% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-18.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Strasbourg that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajaccio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Strasbourg - Ajaccio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.75)
    3.48
    (3.49)
    5.77
    (5.07)
    4.8%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Ajaccio?
  • Users Predictions: Strasbourg will win (56 of 64 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.4%95.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • Strasbourg has the most likely position - 16 (27.51%), project points - 38, currently - 26, a chance of relegated (28%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • Ajaccio has the most likely position - 19 (46.08%), project points - 27, currently - 21, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
    • This event has quality 53, importance 34, match rating 43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Strasbourg is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Ajaccio has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Strasbourg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Strasbourg is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Strasbourg: Diallo H. (Red Card) Kawashima E. (Shoulder Injury) Lienard D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Ajaccio: Belaili Y. (Groin Injury) Cimignani Y. (Injury) Vidal C. (Yellow Cards) Youssouf M. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Strasbourg: Le Marchand M. (Ankle Injury) Nyamsi G. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Strasbourg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Strasbourg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Ajaccio were as follows:
    05.11.2022 Ajaccio - Strasbourg 4:2
    Latest results of Strasbourg
    07.04.2023 Lens - Strasbourg 2:1
    02.04.2023 Monaco - Strasbourg 4:3
    19.03.2023 Strasbourg - Auxerre 2:0
    05.03.2023 Strasbourg - Brest 0:1
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    09.04.2023 Ajaccio - Auxerre 0:3
    02.04.2023 Clermont - Ajaccio 2:1
    19.03.2023 Ajaccio - Monaco 0:2
    12.03.2023 Ajaccio - Montpellier 0:1
    05.03.2023 Reims - Ajaccio 1:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

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