Result
11/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Heracles Almelo
18% | Draw
21.8% | Ajax
60.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+2%)
Heracles Almelo - Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.25 ↓
(5.38) |
4.33 ↑
(4.16) |
1.57 ↑
(1.54) |
5.7%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo - Ajax?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Ajax will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 0.
- Recent form of Heracles has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ajax's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Ajax is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heracles won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:45. (average 0.7:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heracles won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.9:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Ajax?
Heracles Almelo has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Heracles Almelo?
Ajax has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - Ajax were as follows:
24.08.2025
Ajax
-
Heracles Almelo
2:0
16.02.2025
Ajax
-
Heracles Almelo
4:0
20.10.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
Ajax
3:4
27.01.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
Ajax
2:4
12.08.2023
Ajax
-
Heracles Almelo
4:1
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | 82:40 | 42 | 71 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 61:40 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 71:47 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Twente | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 49:31 | 18 | 50 |
| 5 | Ajax | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 54:37 | 17 | 48 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49:45 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 53:47 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 35:47 | -12 | 42 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 45:35 | 10 | 41 |
| 10 | Groningen | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 42:37 | 5 | 41 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 50:45 | 5 | 35 |
| 12 | Sittard | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 43:54 | -11 | 35 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 38:58 | -20 | 33 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 30:48 | -18 | 28 |
| 15 | Telstar | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 38:48 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 29:49 | -20 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 24 |
| 18 | Heracles | 29 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 34:74 | -40 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
