Result
2:0
24/08/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | Play Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Bulgaria | Ring |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports 4 |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 4 |
 Russia | TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 Spain | Gol Play, GolStadium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.75 | 0.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (580/647) | 76% (254/336) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.75 | 0.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 22 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 54 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (580/647) | 76% (254/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (20/38) | 37% (21/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 85% (139/164) | 49% (47/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.46 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Mirani D. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Berghuis S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', Bruns T. ↓, Hrustic A. ↑,
- 63', Berghuis S. ↓, Klaassen D. ↑,
- 64', Gloukh O. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
- 70', Zamburek J. 🟨,
- 73', van Gilst T. ↓, Borges Sanches Y. ↑,
- 74', Wieckhoff J. ↓, Benita M. ↑,
- 78', Moro R. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
- 78', Gaaei A. ↓, Regeer Y. ↑,
- 78', Fitz-Jim K. ↓, Sutalo J. ↑,
- 85', Zamburek J. ↓, Satriano A. ↑,
- 85', Scheperman S. ↓, te Wierik M. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 0, Weghorst W. ⚽, Klaassen D. (A),
Chances of winning
Ajax
78.4% | Draw
14.1% | Heracles Almelo
7.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Ajax - Heracles Almelo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.21 ↑
(1.13) |
6.79 ↓
(7.5) |
12.47 ↓
(17) |
5.2%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Ajax - Heracles Almelo?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Heracles will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 58.6% – 97%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2 - Heracles (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Ajax (1.61) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Ajax (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Ajax (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Heracles (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 5.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Heracles may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ajax is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Ajax: Brobbey B.
(Ankle Injury)
Gooijer T.
(Knee Injury)
Sutalo J.
(Ankle Injury)
van den Boomen B.
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S.
(Broken ankle)
Reine-Adelaide J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Ajax: Alders G.
(Injury)
Bouwman A.
(Injury)
Itakura K.
(Injury)
Steur S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Heracles: Engels M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:14. (average 2.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 28:5. (average 2.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ajax won against Heracles Almelo?
Ajax has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Ajax?
Heracles Almelo has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
16.02.2025
Ajax
-
Heracles Almelo
4:0
20.10.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
Ajax
3:4
27.01.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
Ajax
2:4
12.08.2023
Ajax
-
Heracles Almelo
4:1
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
