Ajax vs Heracles Almelo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie Ajax - Heracles Almelo
Result
4:0
16/02/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 23
  • Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaESPN 4
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaMoja TV, Sportklub 4
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaSportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
indiaIndiaEurosport, JioTV app
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
montenegroMontenegroSportklub 4
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO, Sportklub 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 3
portugalPortugalSport TV5
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 4
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport ESPN
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
spainSpainGolStadium
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyExxen
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
worldWorldDisney+, Triller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.640.46
Ball Possession
56%44%
Goal Attempts
118
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
42
Blocked Shots
12
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
54
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Free Kicks
1413
Offsides
00
Fouls
1314
Throw-ins
1416
Touches in the Opposition Box
308
Passes
91% (513/566)89% (394/444)
Passes in the final third
75% (115/154)76% (50/66)
Crosses
13% (2/16)15% (2/13)
Tackles
40% (4/10)64% (9/14)
Clearances Total
1838
Interceptions
411

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Godts M. , Berghuis S. (A),
  • 42', 2 - 0, Brobbey B. , Traore B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Godts M. , Edvardsen O. ,
  • 56', 3 - 0, Edvardsen O. , Hato J. (A),
  • 65', Wieckhoff J. , Benita M. ,
  • 65', Bruns T. , Milani L. ,
  • 67', 4 - 0, Klaassen D. , Hato J. (A),
  • 68', Fitz-Jim K. , Mokio J. ,
  • 68', Traore B. , Rasmussen C. ,
  • 74', Mesik I. , Hoogma J. ,
  • 75', Podgoreanu S. , Limbombe B. ,
  • 77', Brobbey B. , Bounida R. ,
  • 83', Berghuis S. , Steur S. ,

Chances of winning


Ajax
72.1%
Draw
17.1%
Heracles Almelo
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
80.5% 12.1% 7.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajax's form might have worsened.
  • Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Ajax - Heracles Almelo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.17)
    5.54
    (7.78)
    8.9
    (12.63)
    4.7%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Ajax - Heracles Almelo?
  • Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 27 - 87.1%). Heracles will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 75.3%98.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajax won 4.
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Heracles have a series of home games.
    • In this match Ajax is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Henderson J. (Injury) Regeer Y. (Ankle Injury) Weghorst W. (Toe Injury) Wijndal O. (Knee Injury) van Axel Dongen A. (Ankle Injury) van den Boomen B. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Heracles: Bultman S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heracles: Cestic S. (Broken ankle) Laursen N. (Knee Injury) Zamburek J. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Ajax won 13 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 42:15 (average 2.1:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ajax won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 24:5 (average 2.7:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Heracles Almelo - Ajax 3:4
    27.01.2024 Heracles Almelo - Ajax 2:4
    12.08.2023 Ajax - Heracles Almelo 4:1
    Latest results of Ajax
    13.02.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Ajax 0:2
    09.02.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Ajax 0:2
    02.02.2025 Ajax - Feyenoord 2:1
    30.01.2025 Ajax - Galatasaray 2:1
    23.01.2025 RFS - Ajax 1:0
    Latest results of Heracles Almelo
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sittard00000:000
    2Telstar00000:000
    3FC Volendam00000:000
    4Zwolle00000:000
    5PSV00000:000
    6Ajax00000:000
    7NAC Breda00000:000
    8Twente00000:000
    9Heerenveen00000:000
    10Feyenoord00000:000
    11Nijmegen00000:000
    12Utrecht00000:000
    13AZ Alkmaar00000:000
    14Sparta Rotterdam00000:000
    15Heracles00000:000
    16Excelsior00000:000
    17G.A. Eagles00000:000
    18Groningen00000:000

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