Ajax vs Heracles Almelo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie Ajax - Heracles Almelo
Result
2:0
24/08/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 3
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaRing
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 4
russiaRussiaTV Start, TV Start Triumph
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
spainSpainGol Play, GolStadium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.750.18
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
273
Shots on target
100
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
101
Passes
90% (580/647)76% (254/336)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.750.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.810.00
Total shots
273
Shots on target
100
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
111
Shots inside the Box
222
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
101
Touches in opposition box
549
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
157
Passes
90% (580/647)76% (254/336)
Long passes
53% (20/38)37% (21/57)
Passes in final third
85% (139/164)49% (47/95)
Crosses
26% (5/19)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
3.460.27
Throw-ins
1916
Fouls
1015
Tackles
75% (9/12)50% (8/16)
Duels won
4830
Clearances
2223
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
08
xGOT faced
0.001.81
Goals prevented
0.00-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', Mirani D. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Berghuis S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Bruns T. , Hrustic A. ,
  • 63', Berghuis S. , Klaassen D. ,
  • 64', Gloukh O. , Edvardsen O. ,
  • 70', Zamburek J. 🟨,
  • 73', van Gilst T. , Borges Sanches Y. ,
  • 74', Wieckhoff J. , Benita M. ,
  • 78', Moro R. , Mokio J. ,
  • 78', Gaaei A. , Regeer Y. ,
  • 78', Fitz-Jim K. , Sutalo J. ,
  • 85', Zamburek J. , Satriano A. ,
  • 85', Scheperman S. , te Wierik M. ,
  • 87', 2 - 0, Weghorst W. , Klaassen D. (A),

Chances of winning


Ajax
78.4%
Draw
14.1%
Heracles Almelo
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
82.2% 12.4% 5.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Ajax - Heracles Almelo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.21
    (1.13)
    6.79
    (7.5)
    12.47
    (17)
    5.2%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Ajax - Heracles Almelo?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Heracles will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 58.6%97%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 5.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Heracles may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ajax is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Brobbey B. (Ankle Injury) Gooijer T. (Knee Injury) Sutalo J. (Ankle Injury) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S. (Broken ankle) Reine-Adelaide J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Alders G. (Injury) Bouwman A. (Injury) Itakura K. (Injury) Steur S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heracles: Engels M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:14. (average 2.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 28:5. (average 2.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Ajax - Heracles Almelo 4:0
    20.10.2024 Heracles Almelo - Ajax 3:4
    27.01.2024 Heracles Almelo - Ajax 2:4
    12.08.2023 Ajax - Heracles Almelo 4:1
    Latest results of Ajax
    17.08.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - Ajax 2:2
    10.08.2025 Ajax - Telstar 2:0
    03.08.2025 Ajax - Monaco 2:2
    27.07.2025 Como - Ajax 3:0
    24.07.2025 Ajax - Celtic 5:1
    Latest results of Heracles Almelo
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Feyenoord33008:179
    2Nijmegen430114:4109
    3Utrecht430111:389
    4PSV430112:579
    5Ajax42207:348
    6AZ Alkmaar32107:347
    7Zwolle32013:216
    8Groningen42029:906
    9Sparta Rotterdam42026:11-56
    10Sittard31116:604
    11FC Volendam40406:604
    12Telstar41124:6-24
    13G.A. Eagles40316:9-33
    14Twente41032:5-33
    15NAC Breda41032:7-53
    16Excelsior41033:11-83
    17Heerenveen40225:7-22
    18Heracles40041:14-130

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