Willem II vs Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie
Football Dutch Eredivisie Willem II - Ajax
Result
1:2
13/04/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 29
  • Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaSportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 9
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 3
portugalPortugalSport TV7
russiaRussiaTV Start, TV Start Triumph
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7, SportKlub 9
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1, Sport TV2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
spainSpainGolStadium
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyExxen, TV 8
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldDisney+, Triller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.322.51
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
529
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
78% (227/291)89% (519/585)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.322.51
xG on target (xGOT)
0.381.65
Total shots
529
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
014
Shots inside the Box
322
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
869
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
48
Passes
78% (227/291)89% (519/585)
Long passes
37% (22/59)63% (32/51)
Passes in final third
68% (56/82)84% (245/291)
Crosses
0% (0/7)20% (9/44)
Expected assists (xA)
0.273.19
Fouls
84
Tackles
37% (7/19)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4353
Clearances Total
6113
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
1.650.38
Goals prevented
-0.35-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Mathijsen J. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Kehrer E. ⚽, Bokila J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 59', Brobbey B. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,
  • 59', Klaassen D. ↓, Berghuis S. ↑,
  • 69', Hato J. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
  • 69', Godts M. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
  • 71', Bokila J. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
  • 74', 1 - 1, Edvardsen O. ⚽, Berghuis S. (A),
  • 76', Mathijsen J. ↓, Nizet R. ↑,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Weghorst W. ⚽, Fitz-Jim K. (A),
  • 84', Sigurgeirsson R. ↓, Ahmed Fatah A. ↑,
  • 84', Meerveld R. ↓, Doodeman N. ↑,
  • 84', Sandra C. ↓, Pivas M. ↑,
  • 90', Henderson J. ↓, Rugani D. ↑,

Chances of winning


Willem II
10.6%		Draw
18.3%		Ajax
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.7% 18.8% 69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2% 18% 72.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
    •

    Willem II - Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 8.96 ↑
    (8.05)    		 5.2 ↑
    (5.01)    		 1.34 ↓
    (1.36)    		 4.9%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Willem II - Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Ajax will win (votes: 15 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 56% – 94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Willem II won 0.
    • Willem II has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Ajax is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Willem II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Ajax is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Willem II: Behounek R. (Yellow Cards) Lambert B. (Inactive) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Sandra C. (Inactive) Tirpan M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Ajax: Baas Y. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Pasveer R. (Groin Injury) Regeer Y. (Ankle Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Ajax to win the game is with odds 1.35.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Willem II won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 11:54 (average 0.6:2.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Willem II won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5:21 (average 0.6:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Ajax were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Ajax - Willem II 1:0
    Latest results of Willem II
    04.04.2025 Heerenveen - Willem II 3:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Willem II - Almere City 0:2 ✺
    16.03.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - Willem II 1:0 ✺
    09.03.2025 Willem II - Utrecht 2:3 ✺
    02.03.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Willem II 4:0 ✺
    Latest results of Ajax
    06.04.2025 Ajax - NAC Breda 3:1 ✺
    30.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 0:2 ✺
    13.03.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Ajax 4:1 ✺
    09.03.2025 Zwolle - Ajax 0:1 ✺
    06.03.2025 Ajax - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:2 ✺
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sittard00000:000
    2Telstar00000:000
    3FC Volendam00000:000
    4Zwolle00000:000
    5PSV00000:000
    6Ajax00000:000
    7NAC Breda00000:000
    8Twente00000:000
    9Heerenveen00000:000
    10Feyenoord00000:000
    11Nijmegen00000:000
    12Utrecht00000:000
    13AZ Alkmaar00000:000
    14Sparta Rotterdam00000:000
    15Heracles00000:000
    16Excelsior00000:000
    17G.A. Eagles00000:000
    18Groningen00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

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