Willem II vs Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie
Result
1:2
13/04/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 29
  • Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaSportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 9
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 3
portugalPortugalSport TV7
russiaRussiaTV Start, TV Start Triumph
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7, SportKlub 9
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1, Sport TV2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
spainSpainGolStadium
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyExxen, TV 8
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldDisney+, Triller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.322.51
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
529
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
78% (227/291)89% (519/585)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.322.51
xG on target (xGOT)
0.381.65
Total shots
529
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
014
Shots inside the Box
322
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
869
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
48
Passes
78% (227/291)89% (519/585)
Long passes
37% (22/59)63% (32/51)
Passes in final third
68% (56/82)84% (245/291)
Crosses
0% (0/7)20% (9/44)
Expected assists (xA)
0.273.19
Fouls
84
Tackles
37% (7/19)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4353
Clearances Total
6113
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
1.650.38
Goals prevented
-0.35-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Mathijsen J. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Kehrer E. ⚽, Bokila J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 59', Brobbey B. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,
  • 59', Klaassen D. ↓, Berghuis S. ↑,
  • 69', Hato J. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
  • 69', Godts M. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
  • 71', Bokila J. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
  • 74', 1 - 1, Edvardsen O. ⚽, Berghuis S. (A),
  • 76', Mathijsen J. ↓, Nizet R. ↑,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Weghorst W. ⚽, Fitz-Jim K. (A),
  • 84', Sigurgeirsson R. ↓, Ahmed Fatah A. ↑,
  • 84', Meerveld R. ↓, Doodeman N. ↑,
  • 84', Sandra C. ↓, Pivas M. ↑,
  • 90', Henderson J. ↓, Rugani D. ↑,

Chances of winning


Willem II
10.6%		Draw
18.3%		Ajax
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.7% 18.8% 69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2% 18% 72.6%

Willem II - Ajax Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 8.96 ↑
(8.05)		 5.2 ↑
(5.01)		 1.34 ↓
(1.36)		 4.9%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Willem II - Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 2 - 10%). Ajax will win (votes: 15 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 56% – 94%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Willem II (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Ajax (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Ajax (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ajax will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Willem II (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Ajax (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Willem II won 0.
    • Willem II has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Ajax is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Willem II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Ajax is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Willem II: Behounek R. (Yellow Cards) Lambert B. (Inactive) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Sandra C. (Inactive) Tirpan M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Ajax: Baas Y. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Pasveer R. (Groin Injury) Regeer Y. (Ankle Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Ajax to win the game is with odds 1.35.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Willem II won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 11:54 (average 0.6:2.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Willem II won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5:21 (average 0.6:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Ajax were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Ajax - Willem II 1:0
    Latest results of Willem II
    04.04.2025 Heerenveen - Willem II 3:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Willem II - Almere City 0:2 ✺
    16.03.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - Willem II 1:0 ✺
    09.03.2025 Willem II - Utrecht 2:3 ✺
    02.03.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Willem II 4:0 ✺
    Latest results of Ajax
    06.04.2025 Ajax - NAC Breda 3:1 ✺
    30.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 0:2 ✺
    13.03.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Ajax 4:1 ✺
    09.03.2025 Zwolle - Ajax 0:1 ✺
    06.03.2025 Ajax - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:2 ✺
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV21182164:253956
    2Feyenoord21123651:321939
    3Nijmegen20115452:341838
    4Ajax21108341:281338
    5Sparta Rotterdam21112827:34-735
    6AZ Alkmaar2195736:35132
    7Twente21710431:24731
    8Groningen2194828:26231
    9Zwolle2175930:43-1326
    10Heerenveen2067732:31125
    11Sittard21741031:36-525
    12Utrecht2066830:27324
    13Excelsior21651022:37-1523
    14G.A. Eagles20410631:34-322
    15FC Volendam21461122:36-1418
    16Heracles21521430:53-2317
    17NAC Breda21371123:34-1116
    18Telstar21371125:37-1216

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

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