Result
0:1
30/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Russian Cup - Group Stage - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Silva I. ↓, Cacintura E. ↑,
- 56', Konate M. ↓, Cacintura E. ↑,
- 56', Mansilla B. ↓, Keliano M. ↑,
- 57', Ignatjev I. ↓, Guzina G. ↑,
- 57', Minatulaev O. ↓, Kamilov V. ↑,
- 65', Utsiev R. ↓, Bogosavac M. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 1, Poroykov S. ⚽,
- 79', Alexandre Jesus ↓, Oganesyan S. ↑,
- 84', Ibishev T. ↓, Gadio P. ↑,
- 86', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Revazov A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Akhmat Grozny
58.9% | Draw
23.3% | Orenburg
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.74) |
4.11 ↑
(3.95) |
5.37 ↑
(5.17) |
4.4%
(2.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Akhmat (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 1.
- Akhmat has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Orenburg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Akhmat is the team to beat.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Akhmat won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Orenburg?
Akhmat Grozny has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Akhmat Grozny?
Orenburg has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg were as follows:
22.08.2025
Orenburg
-
Akhmat Grozny
2:2
13.08.2025
Orenburg
-
Akhmat Grozny
2:1
08.12.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Orenburg
1:0
28.07.2024
Orenburg
-
Akhmat Grozny
0:0
04.04.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Orenburg
0:1
Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
Latest results of Orenburg
Russian Cup Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Zenit ✔ | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Orenburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Rubin Kazan | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Akhmat Grozny | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:7 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 3 | Dynamo Moscow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 4 | Sochi | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:15 | 3 |
Group C | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Dynamo Makhachkala ✔ | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 10 |
| 3 | FK Rostov | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Pari NN | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | 3 |
Group D | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Baltika | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 4 | Akron Togliatti | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Russian Cup (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ Russian Cup (Regions Path ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zenit is Qualified for Russian Cup (Play Offs )
Dynamo Makhachkala is Qualified for Russian Cup (Play Offs )
