Result
1:0
08/12/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- RUSSIA: Premier League - Round 18
- Referee: Ivanov S. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Montenegro | Arena Sport 3 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Basic I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Felippe ↓, Talal A. ↑,
- 49', Karatas K. 🟨,
- 50', 1 - 0, Zhirov A. ⚽,
- 58', Camilo 🟨,
- 68', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Gurluk E. ↑,
- 78', Silva Lima I. 🟨,
- 82', Saharkhizan S. ↓, Baranovsky A. ↑,
- 82', Kovalenko A. ↓, Ghorbani M. ↑,
- 83', Samorodov M. ↓, Kamilov V. ↑,
- 86', Stolbov S. 🟨,
- 87', Stolbov S. ↓, Zotov G. ↑,
- 90+5', Talal A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Akhmat Grozny
50.7% | Draw
26.2% | Orenburg
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Akhmat Grozny's performance.Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orenburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Akhmat Grozny that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orenburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.22) |
3.74 ↓
(3.79) |
4.25 ↑
(3.32) |
1.9%
(1.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Akhmat will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Orenburg will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Akhmat won 1.
- Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.
- Akhmat could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Akhmat is a favorite.
- There will not play in Akhmat: Berisha B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Bogosavac M.
(Knee Injury)
Ghandri N.
(Yellow Cards)
Kharin E.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Todorovic D.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Orenburg: Florentin G.
(Injury)
Martynov T.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Akhmat won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 27:21 (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Akhmat won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:6 (average 2.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Orenburg?
Akhmat Grozny has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Akhmat Grozny?
Orenburg has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg were as follows:
28.07.2024
Orenburg
-
Akhmat Grozny
0:0
04.04.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Orenburg
0:1
20.02.2024
Orenburg
-
Akhmat Grozny
2:1
26.11.2023
Orenburg
-
Akhmat Grozny
1:1
20.08.2023
Akhmat Grozny
-
Orenburg
4:0
Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
Latest results of Orenburg
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Krasnodar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Akron Togliatti | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 5 |
| 5 | Baltika | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Rubin Kazan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Zenit | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | CSKA Moscow | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Orenburg | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Akhmat Grozny | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 | FK Rostov | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 0 |
| 16 | Sochi | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
