Result
0:1
30/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Russian Cup - Group Stage - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV |
Match Stats
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| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Silva I. ↓, Cacintura E. ↑,
- 56', Konate M. ↓, Cacintura E. ↑,
- 56', Mansilla B. ↓, Keliano M. ↑,
- 57', Ignatjev I. ↓, Guzina G. ↑,
- 57', Minatulaev O. ↓, Kamilov V. ↑,
- 65', Utsiev R. ↓, Bogosavac M. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 1, Poroykov S. ⚽,
- 79', Alexandre Jesus ↓, Oganesyan S. ↑,
- 84', Ibishev T. ↓, Gadio P. ↑,
- 86', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Revazov A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Akhmat Grozny 58.9% | Draw 23.3% | Orenburg 17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.63 ↓ (1.74) |
4.11 ↑ (3.95) |
5.37 ↑ (5.17) |
4.4% (2.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Akhmat (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 1.
- Akhmat has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Orenburg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Akhmat is the team to beat.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Akhmat won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Orenburg?
Akhmat Grozny has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Akhmat Grozny?
Orenburg has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg were as follows:
22.08.2025
Orenburg
-
Akhmat Grozny
2:2
13.08.2025
Orenburg
-
Akhmat Grozny
2:1
08.12.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Orenburg
1:0
28.07.2024
Orenburg
-
Akhmat Grozny
0:0
04.04.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Orenburg
0:1
Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
Latest results of Orenburg
Draw
Regions Path1/32-finals| 1 | SKA Khabarovsk | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Rodina Moscow | |
| 9 | Ulan Ude | Irkutsk | 0 : 8 |
| 10 | Bye | Sibir Novosibirsk | |
| 11 | Anri Vladivostok | KDV Tomsk | 0 : 4 |
| 12 | Bye | Dynamo Vladivostok | |
| 16 | Bye | Chelyabinsk | |
| 17 | Kamaz | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | S. Kostroma | |
| 25 | Znamya Truda | Bye | |
| 26 | Bye | Dynamo Barnaul | |
| 27 | Omsk | Bye | |
| 28 | Temp Barnaul | Uralets Nizhny Tagil | 3 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | FK Chayka | |
| 33 | Dynamo Vologda | Bye | |
| 34 | Bye | Dynamo Petersburg | |
| 35 | Tekstilshtik | Bye | |
| 36 | Bye | Tver | |
| 40 | Bye | Fakel Voronezh | |
| 41 | Dynamo Stavropol | Bye | |
| 42 | Bye | Angust Nazran | |
| 43 | Kuban | Bye | |
| 44 | PSK Dinskoy rayon | Maykop | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Bye | Ural | |
| 49 | Tyumen | Bye | |
| 50 | Nosta | Ilpar FC | 2 : 3 |
| 51 | Miass | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Volna Nizhegorodskaya | |
| 56 | Bye | Arsenal Tula | |
| 57 | Broke Boys | Oryol | 3 : 2 |
| 58 | Bye | Kursk | |
| 59 | D. Bryansk | Bye | |
| 60 | Bye | Saturn Ramenskoye | |
| 64 | Bye | Saratov | |
| 65 | Astrakhan | Bye | |
| 66 | Bye | FK Pobeda | |
| 67 | Legion Makhachkala | Bye | |
| 68 | Bye | Alania Vladikavkaz | |
| 72 | Bye | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | |
| 73 | Mashuk | Bye | |
| 74 | Bye | Spartak Nalchik | |
| 75 | Kholding | Bye | |
| 76 | Bye | Nart Cherkessk | |
| 80 | Bye | Ulyanovsk | |
| 81 | Spartak Tambov | Bye | |
| 82 | Bye | Lipetsk | |
| 83 | Murom | Bye | |
| 84 | FK Shumbrat Saransk | Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk | 1 : 3 |
| 88 | Bye | Torpedo Moscow | |
| 89 | Kosmos | Bye | |
| 90 | 2Drots | Vladimir | 1 : 0 |
| 91 | Veles Moscow | Bye | |
| 92 | Znamya Noginsk | Kolomna | 3 : 0 |
| 96 | Bye | R. Volgograd | |
| 97 | Kaluga | Bye | |
| 98 | Amkal Moscow | Kvant | 3 : 1 |
| 99 | Salyut-Belgorod | Bye | |
| 100 | Bye | Ryazan | |
| 104 | Bye | Yenisey | |
| 105 | Kirov | Bye | |
| 106 | FK Fankom (WO.) | Sokol Kazan | |
| 107 | Khimik | Bye | |
| 108 | Bye | Amkar | |
| 112 | Bye | Ufa | |
| 113 | Leningradets | Bye | |
| 114 | Kristall | Luki-Energiya | 1 : 3 |
| 115 | RWChallenge | Zvezda St. Peterburg | 1 : 4 |
| 116 | Leningradets | Cherepovets | 0 : 3 |
| 120 | Bye | Shinnik Yaroslavl | |
| 121 | Penza | Bye | |
| 122 | Bye | FK Strogino Moscow | |
| 123 | Volgar-Astrakhan | Bye | |
| 124 | Bye | Chertanovo M. | |
| 128 | Bye | Neftekhimik | |
1/16-finals| 1 | SKA Khabarovsk | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Rodina Moscow | |
| 5 | Irkutsk | Sibir Novosibirsk | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | KDV Tomsk | Dynamo Vladivostok | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Chelyabinsk | |
| 9 | Kamaz | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | S. Kostroma | |
| 13 | Znamya Truda | Dynamo Barnaul | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Omsk | Temp Barnaul | 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | FK Chayka | |
| 17 | Dynamo Vologda | Dynamo Petersburg | 1 : 0 |
| 18 | Tekstilshtik | Tver | 1 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Fakel Voronezh | |
| 21 | Dynamo Stavropol | Angust Nazran | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Kuban | PSK Dinskoy rayon | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Ural | |
| 25 | Tyumen | Ilpar FC | 4 : 1 |
| 26 | Miass | Volna Nizhegorodskaya | 0 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Arsenal Tula | |
| 29 | Broke Boys | Kursk | 2 : 1 |
| 30 | D. Bryansk | Saturn Ramenskoye | 0 : 1 |
| 32 | Bye | Saratov | |
| 33 | Astrakhan | FK Pobeda | 1 : 0 |
| 34 | Legion Makhachkala | Alania Vladikavkaz | 3 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | |
| 37 | Mashuk | Spartak Nalchik | 1 : 0 |
| 38 | Kholding | Nart Cherkessk | 1 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Ulyanovsk | |
| 41 | Spartak Tambov | Lipetsk | 2 : 1 |
| 42 | Murom | Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk | 2 : 3 |
| 44 | Bye | Torpedo Moscow | |
| 45 | Kosmos | 2Drots | 1 : 0 |
| 46 | Veles Moscow | Znamya Noginsk | 2 : 0 |
| 48 | Bye | R. Volgograd | |
| 49 | Kaluga | Amkal Moscow | 0 : 1 |
| 50 | Salyut-Belgorod | Ryazan | 3 : 0 |
| 52 | Bye | Yenisey | |
| 53 | Kirov | FK Fankom | 1 : 2 |
| 54 | Khimik | Amkar | 2 : 1 |
| 56 | Bye | Ufa | |
| 57 | Leningradets | Luki-Energiya | 0 : 2 |
| 58 | Zvezda St. Peterburg | Cherepovets | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Shinnik Yaroslavl | |
| 61 | Penza | FK Strogino Moscow | 1 : 0 |
| 62 | Volgar-Astrakhan | Chertanovo M. | 2 : 1 |
| 64 | Bye | Neftekhimik | |
1/8-finals| 1 | SKA Khabarovsk | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | Rodina Moscow | |
| 3 | Irkutsk | KDV Tomsk | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Chelyabinsk | |
| 5 | Kamaz | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | S. Kostroma | |
| 7 | Znamya Truda | Temp Barnaul | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | FK Chayka | |
| 9 | Dynamo Vologda | Tekstilshtik | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Bye | Fakel Voronezh | |
| 11 | Dynamo Stavropol | PSK Dinskoy rayon | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Ural | |
| 13 | Tyumen | Volna Nizhegorodskaya | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Bye | Arsenal Tula | |
| 15 | Broke Boys | Saturn Ramenskoye | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | Saratov | |
| 17 | Astrakhan | Legion Makhachkala | 5 : 2 |
| 18 | Bye | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | |
| 19 | Mashuk | Kholding | 0 : 3 |
| 20 | Bye | Ulyanovsk | |
| 21 | Spartak Tambov | Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk | 0 : 1 |
| 22 | Bye | Torpedo Moscow | |
| 23 | Kosmos | Veles Moscow | 1 : 4 |
| 24 | Bye | R. Volgograd | |
| 25 | Amkal Moscow | Salyut-Belgorod | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Bye | Yenisey | |
| 27 | FK Fankom | Khimik | 1 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Ufa | |
| 29 | Luki-Energiya | Cherepovets | 2 : 4 |
| 30 | Bye | Shinnik Yaroslavl | |
| 31 | Penza | Volgar-Astrakhan | 0 : 1 |
| 32 | Bye | Neftekhimik | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | SKA Khabarovsk | Rodina Moscow | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Irkutsk | Chelyabinsk | 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Kamaz | S. Kostroma | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Znamya Truda | FK Chayka | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Tekstilshtik | Fakel Voronezh | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | PSK Dinskoy rayon | Ural | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Volna Nizhegorodskaya | Arsenal Tula | 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Broke Boys | Saratov | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Astrakhan | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Kholding | Ulyanovsk | 3 : 2 |
| 11 | Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk | Torpedo Moscow | 1 : 3 |
| 12 | Veles Moscow | R. Volgograd | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Amkal Moscow | Yenisey | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | FK Fankom | Ufa | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Cherepovets | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 1 : 4 |
| 16 | Volgar-Astrakhan | Neftekhimik | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Rodina Moscow | Chelyabinsk | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Kamaz | FK Chayka | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Fakel Voronezh | Ural | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Arsenal Tula | Saratov | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | Kholding | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moscow | Veles Moscow | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Yenisey | Ufa | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Neftekhimik | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Chelyabinsk | Kamaz | |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | Arsenal Tula | |
| 3 | Kholding | Torpedo Moscow | |
| 4 | Ufa | Neftekhimik | |