Result
2:2
22/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 6
- Referee: Tselovalnikov V. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (436/486) | 80% (214/267) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.90 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (436/486) | 80% (214/267) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (20/36) | 44% (22/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (130/159) | 63% (50/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 2.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.47 | 0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Thompson J. ⚽, Rybchinskiy D. (A),
- 5', Cacintura E. 🟥,
- 18', Chichinadze A. 🟨,
- 28', 🟨,
- 35', Oganesyan S. 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 0, Thompson J. ⚽, Kvekveskiri I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Keliano M. ↓, Ibishev T. ↑,
- 46', Chichinadze A. ↓, Tataev A. ↑,
- 46', Oganesyan S. ↓, Vedernikov D. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 1, Silva I. ⚽, Sadulaev L. (A),
- 56', 2 - 2, Sidorov M. ⚽, Samorodov M. (A),
- 62', Konate M. ↓, Melkadze G. ↑,
- 62', Kamilov V. ↓, Bolotov E. ↑,
- 63', Sadulaev L. 🟥,
- 64', Moufi F. 🟨,
- 70', Samorodov M. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
- 76', Khotulev D. ↓, Revazov A. ↑,
- 81', Thompson J. ↓, Guzina G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Orenburg
29.4% | Draw
27.7% | Akhmat Grozny
42.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Akhmat Grozny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↓
(3.35) |
3.47 ↑
(3.2) |
2.24 ↑
(2.16) |
4%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Akhmat will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Akhmat Grozny?
Orenburg has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Orenburg?
Akhmat Grozny has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny were as follows:
13.08.2025
Orenburg
-
Akhmat Grozny
2:1
08.12.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Orenburg
1:0
28.07.2024
Orenburg
-
Akhmat Grozny
0:0
04.04.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Orenburg
0:1
20.02.2024
Orenburg
-
Akhmat Grozny
2:1
Latest results of Orenburg
Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17:3 | 14 | 15 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 14 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:9 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Baltika | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Rubin Kazan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 6 | Zenit | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Spartak Moscow | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | Akhmat Grozny | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Orenburg | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
| 14 | FK Rostov | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Sochi | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:17 | -14 | 1 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
