Result
2:1
12/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
- Referee: Bobrovsky Y. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia, Q Sport Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (272/381) | 66% (226/341) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (272/381) | 66% (226/341) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (30/80) | 37% (33/89) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (76/133) | 50% (58/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 84% (16/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 69 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 41 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.44 | -0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Kamilov V. 🟨,
- 41', Vakhania I. 🟨,
- 43', Sako O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 0, Ghandri N. (Pen),
- 64', Zorin D. ↓, Talal A. ↑,
- 66', Bayramyan K. ↓, Golenkov E. ↑,
- 66', Kuchaev K. ↓, Komarov I. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 0, Samorodov M. ⚽, Sadulaev L. (A),
- 73', Todorovic D. ↓, Goglichidze L. ↑,
- 73', Poyarkov N. ↓, Zhbanov I. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Komlichenko N. ⚽, Golenkov E. (A),
- 83', Shantaliy D. ↓, Shamonin A. ↑,
- 90', Melkadze G. ↓, Zhirov A. ↑,
- 90', Samorodov M. ↓, Ruiz Diaz R. ↑,
- 90+4', Komarov I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Akhmat Grozny
45.9% | Draw
28% | Rostov
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Akhmat Grozny's performance.Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rostov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-11%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Akhmat Grozny that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (+12.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rostov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Akhmat Grozny - Rostov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.76) |
3.45 ↓
(3.71) |
3.7 ↑
(2.61) |
3.6%
(1.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Akhmat Grozny - Rostov?
Users Predictions:
Rostov will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Akhmat won 1.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Recently Akhmat have a series of guest games.
- Akhmat will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Akhmat won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21:23 (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Akhmat won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Rostov?
Akhmat Grozny has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rostov won against Akhmat Grozny?
Rostov has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akhmat Grozny - Rostov were as follows:
26.10.2024
Rostov
-
Akhmat Grozny
2:3
09.12.2023
Akhmat Grozny
-
Rostov
0:0
22.10.2023
Rostov
-
Akhmat Grozny
3:0
28.05.2023
Rostov
-
Akhmat Grozny
3:2
27.11.2022
Rostov
-
Akhmat Grozny
3:0
Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Rubin Kazan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Zenit | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Baltika | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Krylya Sovetov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Akron Togliatti | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Orenburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | FK Rostov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Sochi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
