Result
1:1
30/08/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 7
- Referee: Sukhoy A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (346/422) | 64% (143/223) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (346/422) | 64% (143/223) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (17/48) | 45% (33/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (42/80) | 52% (45/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', Sako O. ↓, Chistyakov D. ↑,
- 45+4', 0 - 1, Melkadze G. ⚽, Shelia G. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Keliano M. 🟨,
- 56', Semenchuk D. ↓, Zhbanov I. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Melekhin V. ⚽,
- 75', Suleymanov T. ↓, Golenkov E. ↑,
- 75', Mohebi M. ↓, Komarov I. ↑,
- 75', Sadulaev L. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
- 75', Melkadze G. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
- 90+2', Keliano M. 🟨,
- 90+2', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rostov
42.4% | Draw
28.9% | Akhmat Grozny
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Akhmat Grozny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Rostov - Akhmat Grozny Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↓
(2.34) |
3.33 ↓
(3.56) |
3.35 ↑
(3.26) |
4%
(1.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rostov - Akhmat Grozny?
Users Predictions:
Rostov will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 2.
- Rostov is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Akhmat is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Akhmat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Akhmat: Cacintura E.
(Red Card)
Sadulaev L.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Rostov: Komarov I.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rostov won against Akhmat Grozny?
Rostov has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Rostov?
Akhmat Grozny has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rostov - Akhmat Grozny were as follows:
12.04.2025
Akhmat Grozny
-
Rostov
2:1
26.10.2024
Rostov
-
Akhmat Grozny
2:3
09.12.2023
Akhmat Grozny
-
Rostov
0:0
22.10.2023
Rostov
-
Akhmat Grozny
3:0
28.05.2023
Rostov
-
Akhmat Grozny
3:2
Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:4 | 14 | 16 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 15 |
| 3 | Baltika | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 18:11 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Zenit | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Krylya Sovetov | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
| 10 | Dynamo Moscow | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Akhmat Grozny | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Orenburg | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | FK Rostov | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
| 16 | Sochi | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:19 | -15 | 1 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
