Result
1:0
21/03/2026 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 22
- Referee: Kukulyak E. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (254/338) | 67% (193/287) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (254/338) | 67% (193/287) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (36/79) | 46% (33/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (67/109) | 56% (62/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.49 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Komarov I. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Cacintura E. ⚽, Samorodov M. (A),
- 43', Sako O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sako O. ↓, Langovich A. ↑,
- 52', Bogosavac M. ↓, Khlusevich D. ↑,
- 64', Samorodov M. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
- 64', Komarov I. ↓, Shamonin A. ↑,
- 66', Sidorov M. ↓, Zare M. ↑,
- 76', Golenkov E. ↓, Mohebi M. ↑,
- 81', Pryakhin S. 🟨,
- 87', Semenchuk D. ↓, Bayramyan K. ↑,
- 88', Sadulaev L. 🟨,
- 90', Melkadze G. ↓, Kenzhebek G. ↑,
- 90', Pryakhin S. ↓, Gadio P. ↑,
- 90+1', Sadulaev L. ↓, Ibishev T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Akhmat Grozny
40.4% | Draw
30% | Rostov
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akhmat Grozny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Akhmat Grozny - Rostov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.14) |
3.17 ↓
(3.25) |
3.21 ↓
(3.25) |
5.2%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Akhmat Grozny - Rostov?
Users Predictions:
Akhmat Grozny will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Akhmat Grozny will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 2.
- Akhmat is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Rostov has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Akhmat might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Akhmat won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Rostov?
Akhmat Grozny has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rostov won against Akhmat Grozny?
Rostov has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akhmat Grozny - Rostov were as follows:
30.08.2025
Rostov
-
Akhmat Grozny
1:1
12.04.2025
Akhmat Grozny
-
Rostov
2:1
26.10.2024
Rostov
-
Akhmat Grozny
2:3
09.12.2023
Akhmat Grozny
-
Rostov
0:0
22.10.2023
Rostov
-
Akhmat Grozny
3:0
Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 34 | 60 |
| 2 | Zenit | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 51:35 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Baltika | 27 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 37:17 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 38:28 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:37 | -6 | 32 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 27 |
| 12 | Orenburg | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 27:38 | -11 | 26 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 29:47 | -18 | 26 |
| 14 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 17:34 | -17 | 24 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 23:44 | -21 | 22 |
| 16 | Sochi | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 24:56 | -32 | 18 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
