Result
1:0
25/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 7
- Referee: Tasybaev A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Sedko P. 🟨,
- 19', Omatay M. 🟨,
- 45+2', Mitrovic D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Omatay M. ↓, Shimamura Y. ↑,
- 46', Alvarez P. ↓, Pibe ↑,
- 52', Korzun N. 🟨,
- 61', Kenesov A. ↓, Topalov D. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 0, Shushenachev A. ⚽,
- 64', Poe J. ↓, Baybosynov N. ↑,
- 69', Shushenachev A. ↓, Laturnus V. ↑,
- 74', Topalov D. ↓, Kikbaev M. ↑,
- 74', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Nani ↑,
- 75', Klimovich V. ↓, Shvyrev V. ↑,
- 90+2', Agimanov T. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,
- 90+4', Tanzharikov A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Aktobe
51.6% | Draw
26.4% | Ertis Pavlodar
22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Ertis Pavlodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ertis Pavlodar than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Aktobe - Ertis Pavlodar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.72) |
3.49 ↓
(3.87) |
4.2 ↑
(4.07) |
8.4%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Aktobe - Ertis Pavlodar?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aktobe (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Aktobe will win
(3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium.
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Aktobe is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:29. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aktobe won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Aktobe won against Ertis Pavlodar?
Aktobe has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ertis Pavlodar won against Aktobe?
Ertis Pavlodar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aktobe - Ertis Pavlodar were as follows:
Latest results of Ertis Pavlodar
Kazakh Premier League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | FC Astana | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Kyzylzhar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Ulytau | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Aktobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Atyrau | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Zhenis | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Ertis Pavlodar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Tobol | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Altai | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Kaspij Aktau | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3:11 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
