Result
4:0
28/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 3, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Brazil | BandSports, Canal GOAT |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Hong-kong | on.cc |
 Hungary | Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 2 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 4 |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.79 | 0.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (353/391) | 85% (293/343) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.79 | 0.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.78 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (353/391) | 85% (293/343) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (21/37) | 61% (28/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (88/109) | 68% (54/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (10/21) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 3.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.92 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Toney I. ⚽, Mahrez R. (A),
- 27', 2 - 0, Toney I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 37', Hendry J. ↓, Al Sibyani M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 47', Al Sibyani M. 🟨,
- 56', Al Ghamdi F. ↓, Nkota M. ↑,
- 64', 3 - 0, Atangana V. ⚽, Toney I. (A),
- 65', Galeno ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
- 70', Al Ghannam K. ↓, Abdulrahman N. ↑,
- 71', Dembele M. ↓, Dawran M. M. Y. ↑,
- 71', Costa J. ↓, Al Ghamdi Z. ↑,
- 72', Hamidou R. ↓, Sulaiman M. ↑,
- 73', Millot E. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
- 83', 4 - 0, Toney I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 85', Mahrez R. ↓, Madani Y. ↑,
- 85', Toney I. ↓, Al Muwallad E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Ahli Jeddah
70.7% | Draw
17.3% | Al-Ettifaq Dammam
12% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Ahli Jeddah's performance.Al-Ettifaq Dammam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ettifaq Dammam than the current prediction. (+3%)
Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Ettifaq Dammam Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↓
(1.47) |
5.47 ↑
(4.55) |
7.81 ↑
(5.87) |
6.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Ettifaq Dammam?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Al-Ahli will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 100% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -2.5 - Al-Ettifaq (1.30) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.5 - Al-Ahli (1.88) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH -2 - Al-Ahli (2.50) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Al-Ahli (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.75 - Al-Ahli (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Al-Ahli (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Al-Ahli (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Ahli Jeddah will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Al-Ettifaq (votes: 5 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 1.
- Al-Ahli is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Al-Ettifaq is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al-Ettifaq may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al-Ahli is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Al-Ahli will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 43:28. (average 2.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:10. (average 2.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Al-Ettifaq Dammam?
Al-Ahli Jeddah has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ettifaq Dammam won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Ettifaq Dammam has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Ettifaq Dammam were as follows:
12.09.2025
Al-Ettifaq Dammam
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0:0
22.05.2025
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Ettifaq Dammam
1:3
20.01.2025
Al-Ettifaq Dammam
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1:2
29.03.2024
Al-Ettifaq Dammam
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2:2
30.09.2023
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
Al-Ettifaq Dammam
0:0
Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
Latest results of Al-Ettifaq Dammam
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 28 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 78:21 | 57 | 73 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 75:25 | 50 | 68 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 55:20 | 35 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 65:29 | 36 | 61 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:37 | 13 | 46 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41:49 | -8 | 42 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 37:41 | -4 | 39 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 34 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31:48 | -17 | 34 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 31 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Al Kholood | 29 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 38:57 | -19 | 29 |
| 14 | Al Fateh | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 | Damac | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 25:46 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 28 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 23:59 | -36 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 28 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 27:67 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
