Result
1:1
25/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CAF Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport PSL |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1 |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV5 |
Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
South-africa | SABC 2, SABC 3, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL |
Usa | Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.06 | 0.27 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
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10 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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0 | 4 |
Passes |
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73% (265/362) | 82% (442/542) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.06 | 0.27 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.54 | 0.18 |
Total shots |
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10 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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10 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 1 |
Offsides |
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3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 16 |
Passes |
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73% (265/362) | 82% (442/542) |
Long passes |
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46% (33/72) | 34% (23/67) |
Passes in final third |
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51% (37/73) | 51% (57/112) |
Crosses |
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25% (2/8) | 36% (4/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.40 | 1.12 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 12 |
Tackles |
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67% (8/12) | 54% (7/13) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 49 |
Clearances |
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31 | 16 |
Interceptions |
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14 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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0.18 | 0.54 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.18 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Mohamed T. ⚽, Ashour E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', Rabia R. 🟨,
- 50', Ribeiro L. 🟨,
- 61', Gradisar N. ↓, Abou Ali W. ↑,
- 65', Adams J. ↓, Zwane T. ↑,
- 74', Ribeiro L. ↓, Rayners I. ↑,
- 74', Matthews T. ↓, Shalulile P. ↑,
- 79', Mohamed T. ↓, Bencharki A. ↑,
- 79', Ashour E. ↓, Tawfik A. ↑,
- 80', Lebusa M. ↓, Lunga D. ↑,
- 80', Modiba A. ↓, Arthur Sales ↑,
- 84', Rayners I. 🟨,
- 89', 1 - 1, Yasser Ibrahim (Own goal),
- 90+3', Hany M. ↓, Afsha ↑,
- 90+3', Reda A. ↓, El Shahat H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al Ahly Cairo 50.3% | Draw 30.7% | Mamelodi Sundowns 19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Ahly Cairo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Al Ahly Cairo - Mamelodi Sundowns Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.85 ↑ (1.69) |
3.04 ↓ (3.1) |
4.89 ↓ (5.83) |
7.4% (8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Al Ahly Cairo - Mamelodi Sundowns?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al Ahly (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Al Ahly Cairo will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
- Al Ahly is Qualified for CAF Champions League (Play Offs )
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Al Ahly won 0.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Al Ahly could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Mamelodi Sundowns have a series of home games.
- In this match Al Ahly is a favorite.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Al Ahly won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:17 (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Al Ahly won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Ahly Cairo won against Mamelodi Sundowns?
Al Ahly Cairo has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mamelodi Sundowns won against Al Ahly Cairo?
Mamelodi Sundowns has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Ahly Cairo - Mamelodi Sundowns were as follows:
19.04.2025
Mamelodi Sundowns
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:0
01.11.2023
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Mamelodi Sundowns
0:0
29.10.2023
Mamelodi Sundowns
-
Al Ahly Cairo
1:0
11.03.2023
Mamelodi Sundowns
-
Al Ahly Cairo
5:2
25.02.2023
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Mamelodi Sundowns
2:2
Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo
Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Esperance Tunis | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
2 | Al Ahly | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 1 : 0, 1 : 0 |
3 | MC Alger | Orlando Pirates | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
4 | Pyramids | FAR Rabat | 0 : 2, 4 : 1 |
Semi-finals1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Al Ahly | 1 : 1, 0 : 0 |
2 | Orlando Pirates | Pyramids | 2 : 3, 0 : 0 |
Final1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Pyramids | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |