Result
1:1
25/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CAF Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport PSL |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1 |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 South-africa | SABC 2, SABC 3, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL |
 Usa | Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (265/362) | 82% (442/542) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (265/362) | 82% (442/542) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (33/72) | 34% (23/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (37/73) | 51% (57/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Mohamed T. ⚽, Ashour E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', Rabia R. 🟨,
- 50', Ribeiro L. 🟨,
- 61', Gradisar N. ↓, Abou Ali W. ↑,
- 65', Adams J. ↓, Zwane T. ↑,
- 74', Ribeiro L. ↓, Rayners I. ↑,
- 74', Matthews T. ↓, Shalulile P. ↑,
- 79', Mohamed T. ↓, Bencharki A. ↑,
- 79', Ashour E. ↓, Tawfik A. ↑,
- 80', Lebusa M. ↓, Lunga D. ↑,
- 80', Modiba A. ↓, Arthur Sales ↑,
- 84', Rayners I. 🟨,
- 89', 1 - 1, Yasser Ibrahim (Own goal),
- 90+3', Hany M. ↓, Afsha ↑,
- 90+3', Reda A. ↓, El Shahat H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al Ahly Cairo
50.3% | Draw
30.7% | Mamelodi Sundowns
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Ahly Cairo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Al Ahly Cairo - Mamelodi Sundowns Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↑
(1.69) |
3.04 ↓
(3.1) |
4.89 ↓
(5.83) |
7.4%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Al Ahly Cairo - Mamelodi Sundowns?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al Ahly (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Al Ahly Cairo will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
- Al Ahly is Qualified for CAF Champions League (Play Offs )
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Al Ahly won 0.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Al Ahly could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Mamelodi Sundowns have a series of home games.
- In this match Al Ahly is a favorite.
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Al Ahly won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:17 (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Al Ahly won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Ahly Cairo won against Mamelodi Sundowns?
Al Ahly Cairo has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mamelodi Sundowns won against Al Ahly Cairo?
Mamelodi Sundowns has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Ahly Cairo - Mamelodi Sundowns were as follows:
19.04.2025
Mamelodi Sundowns
-
Al Ahly Cairo
0:0
01.11.2023
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Mamelodi Sundowns
0:0
29.10.2023
Mamelodi Sundowns
-
Al Ahly Cairo
1:0
11.03.2023
Mamelodi Sundowns
-
Al Ahly Cairo
5:2
25.02.2023
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Mamelodi Sundowns
2:2
Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo
Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Esperance Tunis | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Al Ahly | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 1 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | MC Alger | Orlando Pirates | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Pyramids | FAR Rabat | 0 : 2, 4 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Al Ahly | 1 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | Pyramids | 2 : 3, 0 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Pyramids | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
