Al Ahly Cairo vs Mamelodi Sundowns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Cairo International Stadium (Cairo).

CAF Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport PSL
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1
Australia	beIN Connect
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2
Portugal	Sport TV5
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
South-africa	SABC 2, SABC 3, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL
Usa	Tubi TV

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.06	0.27
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
10	9
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
0	4
Passes
73% (265/362)	82% (442/542)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06	0.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.54	0.18
Total shots
10	9
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
6	4
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
0	4
Touches in opposition box
10	14
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
12	16
Passes
73% (265/362)	82% (442/542)
Long passes
46% (33/72)	34% (23/67)
Passes in final third
51% (37/73)	51% (57/112)
Crosses
25% (2/8)	36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.40	1.12
Throw-ins
22	14
Fouls
16	12
Tackles
67% (8/12)	54% (7/13)
Duels won
54	49
Clearances
31	16
Interceptions
14	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
0.18	0.54
Goals prevented
0.18	-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Mohamed T. ⚽, Ashour E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Rabia R. 🟨,
50', Ribeiro L. 🟨,
61', Gradisar N. ↓, Abou Ali W. ↑,
65', Adams J. ↓, Zwane T. ↑,
74', Ribeiro L. ↓, Rayners I. ↑,
74', Matthews T. ↓, Shalulile P. ↑,
79', Mohamed T. ↓, Bencharki A. ↑,
79', Ashour E. ↓, Tawfik A. ↑,
80', Lebusa M. ↓, Lunga D. ↑,
80', Modiba A. ↓, Arthur Sales ↑,
84', Rayners I. 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Yasser Ibrahim (Own goal),
90+3', Hany M. ↓, Afsha ↑,
90+3', Reda A. ↓, El Shahat H. ↑,

Chances of winning

Al Ahly Cairo
50.3%

Draw
30.7%

Mamelodi Sundowns
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

29.7%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

29.2%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Ahly Cairo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Al Ahly Cairo - Mamelodi Sundowns Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.69)	3.04 ↓ (3.1)	4.89 ↓ (5.83)	7.4% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Al Ahly Cairo - Mamelodi Sundowns?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al Ahly (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Al Ahly Cairo will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
Al Ahly is Qualified for CAF Champions League (Play Offs )
Last 5 head-to-head matches Al Ahly won 0.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Al Ahly could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Mamelodi Sundowns have a series of home games.
In this match Al Ahly is a favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Al Ahly won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:17 (average 0.8:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Al Ahly won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.2:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Al Ahly Cairo won against Mamelodi Sundowns?

Al Ahly Cairo has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mamelodi Sundowns won against Al Ahly Cairo?

Mamelodi Sundowns has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al Ahly Cairo - Mamelodi Sundowns were as follows:

19.04.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Al Ahly Cairo 0:0

01.11.2023 Al Ahly Cairo - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:0

29.10.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns - Al Ahly Cairo 1:0

11.03.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns - Al Ahly Cairo 5:2

25.02.2023 Al Ahly Cairo - Mamelodi Sundowns 2:2

Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo

19.04.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Al Ahly Cairo 0:0 ✺

17.04.2025 Al Ahly Cairo - Pharco 1:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Pyramids - Al Ahly Cairo 1:1 ✺

08.04.2025 Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman - Al Ahly Cairo 0:1 ✺

01.04.2025 Al Ahly Cairo - Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns

19.04.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Al Ahly Cairo 0:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Kaizer Chiefs 1:2 ✺

08.04.2025 Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:0 ✺

01.04.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Espérance ST 1:0 ✺

28.03.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Sekhukhune United 1:0 ✺

Draw

2025/26

Semi-finals

1	Aigle Noir	ASAS	1 : 1, 0 : 0
2	Bye	Al Ahly
3	Ethiopian Insurance	Mlandege	2 : 3, 2 : 0
4	APR	Pyramids
5	Mogadishu City	Police FC	2 : 0, 1 : 3
6	Jamus	Al-Hilal Omdurman	0 : 1, 0 : 0
7	Rahimo	Mangasport	1 : 0, 0 : 0
8	ASFAN	Esperance Tunis	1 : 4, 0 : 3
9	Dadje	Al Ahly Tripoli	0 : 1, 0 : 0
10	ASC Kara	Berkane	1 : 3, 1 : 1
11	East End Lions	Monastir	1 : 3, 0 : 4
12	Bibiani Gold Stars	Kabylie	0 : 5, 0 : 2
13	Fundacion Bata	Nouadhibou	0 : 2, 0 : 0
14	Tempete MOCAF	Stade Malien	0 : 2, 0 : 5
15	Al Hilal Benghazi	Horoya	0 : 2, 1 : 0
16	Real Banjul	FAR Rabat	1 : 2, 0 : 2
17	Colombe	Jaraaf	1 : 0, 0 : 0
18	Fassell	MC Alger	0 : 3, 0 : 0
19	Remo Stars	Zilimadjou	1 : 0, 4 : 0
20	Bye	Mamelodi Sundowns
21	Simba Bhora	Nsingizini Hotspurs	0 : 2, 1 : 0
22	Gaborone Utd	Simba	1 : 1, 0 : 1
23	Elgeco Plus	Silver Strikers	0 : 0, 1 : 1
24	Wiliete	Young Africans	0 : 2, 0 : 3
25	Cote d'Or	Stade d'Abidjan	1 : 3, 0 : 2
26	Cercle De Joachim	Petro Atletico	0 : 3, 0 : 3
27	Leopard	Black Bulls	0 : 1, 0 : 0
28	Aigles du Congo	Rivers United	0 : 1, 0 : 0
29	African Stars	Vipers	0 : 1, 0 : 1
30	Power Dynamos	ASEC Mimosas	1 : 1, 1 : 0
31	St Eloi Lupopo	Al-Merreikh	1 : 0
32	Lioli	Orlando Pirates	0 : 4, 0 : 3

Final

1	Aigle Noir	Al Ahly
2	Ethiopian Insurance	TBD #4
3	Police FC	Al-Hilal Omdurman
4	Rahimo	Esperance Tunis
5	Al Ahly Tripoli	Berkane
6	Monastir	Kabylie
7	Nouadhibou	Stade Malien
8	Horoya	FAR Rabat
9	Colombe	MC Alger
10	Remo Stars	Mamelodi Sundowns
11	Nsingizini Hotspurs	Simba
12	Silver Strikers	Young Africans
13	Stade d'Abidjan	Petro Atletico
14	Black Bulls	Rivers United
15	Vipers	Power Dynamos
16	TBD #31	Orlando Pirates