Result
2:1
23/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.95 | 0.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (278/332) | 82% (269/327) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.95 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.45 | 0.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (278/332) | 82% (269/327) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (22/42) | 47% (20/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (64/95) | 66% (52/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 41% (9/22) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.59 | 4.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | 2.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Refaat A. 🟨,
- 24', Al Fawaz A. 🟨,
- 43', Wesley Delgado 🟨,
- 45+1', Gul G. 🟨,
- 45+2', Al Swealem A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Al Lazam K. ↓, Al Abbas S. ↑,
- 46', Al Fawaz A. ↓, Bendebka S. ↑,
- 46', Al Anazi A. ↓, Masoud N. ↑,
- 46', Refaat A. ↓, Batna M. ↑,
- 54', Gunter K. 🟨,
- 55', 1 - 0, Batna M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 59', Borrell M. ↓, Abu Abd M. ↑,
- 59', Neyou Y. ↓, Al Hatila A. ↑,
- 73', Al Sarnoukh M. ↓, Baattia S. ↑,
- 73', Al Swealem A. ↓, Saadane M. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 0, Bendebka S. ⚽,
- 90+1', Gul G. ↓, Al Jahif M. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Asiri N. ⚽,
- 90+3', Fernandes J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al Fateh
58.7% | Draw
22.8% | Al Akhdoud
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Fateh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Fateh's performance.Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Akhdoud might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (-17.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Fateh that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+11.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Akhdoud could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al Fateh - Al Akhdoud Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.79) |
4.1 ↑
(3.64) |
4.97 ↑
(3.85) |
8.8%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al Fateh - Al Akhdoud?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al Fateh (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Al Fateh (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Al Akhdoud (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Al Akhdoud (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Al Akhdoud (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al Fateh will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Al Fateh (votes: 2 - 40%). Al Akhdoud (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- Al Fateh is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Al Akhdoud is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Al Fateh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Al Fateh is considered a favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Fateh won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Fateh won against Al Akhdoud?
Al Fateh has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Akhdoud won against Al Fateh?
Al Akhdoud has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Fateh - Al Akhdoud were as follows:
24.02.2025
Al Akhdoud
-
Al Fateh
1:3
28.09.2024
Al Fateh
-
Al Akhdoud
2:4
30.12.2023
Al Fateh
-
Al Akhdoud
0:0
27.09.2023
Al Fateh
-
Al Akhdoud
3:1
18.08.2023
Al Akhdoud
-
Al Fateh
1:3
Latest results of Al Fateh
Latest results of Al Akhdoud
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 71:19 | 52 | 67 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 26 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 67:23 | 44 | 64 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 51:19 | 32 | 62 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 62:25 | 37 | 60 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 47:33 | 14 | 45 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 41:34 | 7 | 42 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:44 | -8 | 39 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:41 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 29:47 | -18 | 31 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 44:44 | 0 | 30 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34:47 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 26 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 34:48 | -14 | 25 |
| 15 | Damac | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 24:42 | -18 | 22 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25:49 | -24 | 19 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 22:57 | -35 | 13 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 26 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 23:61 | -38 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
