Result
1:1
11/04/2025 at 11:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Asia | GOBX Arabic |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1, SSC Sports Extra 2 |
South-korea | SPOTV Now |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.27 | 0.78 |
Ball Possession |
---|
42% | 58% |
Total shots |
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12 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
81% (297/368) | 86% (446/517) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.27 | 0.78 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.65 | 1.21 |
Total shots |
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12 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 10 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 20 |
Passes |
---|
81% (297/368) | 86% (446/517) |
Long passes |
---|
49% (33/67) | 60% (35/58) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (76/117) | 58% (49/85) |
Crosses |
---|
40% (6/15) | 13% (2/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.96 | 0.81 |
Fouls |
---|
20 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
63% (12/19) | 71% (12/17) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 45 |
Clearances Total |
---|
26 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.21 | 1.65 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.21 | 0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Bassogog C. ⚽, Saviour G. (A),
- 24', Al Mufarrij M. 🟨,
- 45+5', Al Farhan S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Al Harbi A. ↓, Fajr F. ↑,
- 53', Fajr F. 🟨,
- 63', Al Abdulraziq F. ↓, Sabiri A. ↑,
- 63', Al Kuwaykibi M. ↓, Mandash S. ↑,
- 63', Al Shuayl I. ↓, Al Nasser S. ↑,
- 72', Al Abbas S. ↓, Musona K. ↑,
- 73', Al Mufarrij M. ↓, Andrei Girotto ↑,
- 77', Petros 🟨,
- 79', 1 - 1, Mandash S. ⚽, Sabiri A. (A),
- 84', Khamis A. ↓, Pato ↑,
- 90+2', Saviour G. ↓, Al Jahif M. ↑,
- 90+2', Bassogog C. ↓, Al Hatila A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al Akhdoud 49.7% | Draw 26.7% | Al-Taawoun 23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Akhdoud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al Akhdoud's performance.Al-Taawoun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Taawoun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (-13.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Akhdoud that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Taawoun than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Taawoun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al Akhdoud - Al-Taawoun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.9 ↓ (2.54) |
3.45 ↑ (3.25) |
3.94 ↑ (2.65) |
7.2% (7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Al Akhdoud - Al-Taawoun?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Al Akhdoud will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Al-Taawoun will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Akhdoud: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al Akhdoud (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 7).
- Recent matches Al Akhdoud is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Al-Taawoun is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Al Akhdoud could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Al-Taawoun have a series of home games.
- Al Akhdoud will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
How many head-to-head matches has Al Akhdoud won against Al-Taawoun?
Al Akhdoud has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Taawoun won against Al Akhdoud?
Al-Taawoun has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Akhdoud - Al-Taawoun were as follows:
09.11.2024
Al-Taawoun
-
Al Akhdoud
1:0
23.02.2024
Al-Taawoun
-
Al Akhdoud
3:1
29.08.2023
Al Akhdoud
-
Al-Taawoun
0:1
Latest results of Al Akhdoud
Latest results of Al-Taawoun
Saudi Professional League Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 79:35 | 44 | 83 |
2 | Al Hilal | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 95:41 | 54 | 75 |
3 | Al Nassr | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 80:38 | 42 | 70 |
4 | Al Qadisiya | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 53:31 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Al Ahli SC | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 67 |
6 | Al Shabab | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 65:41 | 24 | 60 |
7 | Al Ettifaq | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 50 |
8 | Al Taawon | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
9 | Al Kholood | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 42:64 | -22 | 40 |
10 | Al Fateh | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 47:61 | -14 | 39 |
11 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 37:52 | -15 | 38 |
12 | Al Khaleej | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:57 | -17 | 37 |
13 | Al Fayha | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 27:49 | -22 | 36 |
14 | Damac | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:50 | -13 | 35 |
15 | Al Okhdood | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 33:56 | -23 | 34 |
16 | Al Wehda | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 42:67 | -25 | 33 |
17 | Al Orubah | 34 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 31:74 | -43 | 30 |
18 | Al Raed | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41:66 | -25 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1