Al-Bukayriyah vs Al-Arabi Al-Saudi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
24/12/2025 at 07:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.28
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
82% (320/392)80% (260/327)
Yellow Cards
62
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.28
xG on target (xGOT)
0.840.13
Total shots
812
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
53
Shots outside the Box
39
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1414
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
82% (320/392)80% (260/327)
Long passes
57% (35/61)41% (21/51)
Passes in final third
64% (66/103)64% (73/114)
Crosses
36% (4/11)20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.57
Throw-ins
2016
Fouls
1512
Tackles
70% (7/10)92% (12/13)
Duels won
4640
Clearances
3217
Interceptions
15
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.130.84
Goals prevented
0.13-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Al Barakah A. 🟨,
  • 45', Al Shuwayyi K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Al Haribi A. 🟨,
  • 57', Ousmane Pato , Al Muwallad S. ,
  • 60', Faik H. 🟨,
  • 61', Al Haribi A. , Al Sufyani M. ,
  • 66', Al Mayad A. , Al Zaqan A. ,
  • 69', Al Nakhli M. , Kaabi N. ,
  • 69', Al Barakah A. , Al Barakah I. ,
  • 75', Al Mushawh A. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 0, Moya J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 80', Waheeb W. , Acosta N. ,
  • 82', Pinero F. 🟨,
  • 87', Fallatah S. 🟨,
  • 90', Pain C. , Al Khalifa M. ,
  • 90', Al Sunaytan I. , Sharahili R. ,
  • 90+6', Fallatah S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Bukayriyah
51.6%
Draw
27.6%
Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 29% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 27.8% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Bukayriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Al-Arabi Al-Saudi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Bukayriyah than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.9)
    3.28
    (3.1)
    4.34
    (3.8)
    10.4%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al-Bukayriyah will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Al-Arabi will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Arabi: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Arabi (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Al-Arabi (3.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Arabi (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • Al-Bukayriyah is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Al-Arabi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Al-Bukayriyah is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Bukayriyah won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Bukayriyah won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi were as follows:
    10.04.2025 Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Bukayriyah 0:2
    27.11.2024 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi 0:1
    28.05.2024 Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Bukayriyah 2:1
    10.01.2024 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi 1:1
    Latest results of Al-Bukayriyah
    19.12.2025 Al-Anwar - Al-Bukayriyah 1:2
    12.12.2025 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Taee 1:2
    27.11.2025 Abha - Al-Bukayriyah 0:0
    21.11.2025 Al-Adalh - Al-Bukayriyah 1:3
    09.11.2025 Al-Bukayriyah - Al Jubail 1:0
    Latest results of Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha25195153:203362
    2Al Diriyah24164456:243252
    3Al-Ula25147451:252649
    4Al Jabalain25147448:272149
    5Al-Faisaly25129451:302145
    6Al Orubah25135740:33744
    7Al Raed25108745:341138
    8Al Bukiryah251041128:36-834
    9Al Zulfi2588931:32-132
    10Al Wehda25951139:43-432
    11Al Taee25871037:38-131
    12Jeddah25710828:32-431
    13Al Anwar2579934:37-330
    14Al Jandal25581220:44-2423
    15Al Adalah25381432:57-2517
    16Al Arabi25441712:43-3116
    17Al Batin24351625:47-2214
    18Al Jubail25351722:50-2814

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          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation