Al-Bukayriyah vs Al-Arabi Al-Saudi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
24/12/2025 at 07:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.28
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
82% (320/392)80% (260/327)
Yellow Cards
62
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.28
xG on target (xGOT)
0.840.13
Total shots
812
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
53
Shots outside the Box
39
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1414
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1215
Passes
82% (320/392)80% (260/327)
Long passes
57% (35/61)41% (21/51)
Passes in final third
64% (66/103)64% (73/114)
Crosses
36% (4/11)20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.57
Throw-ins
2016
Fouls
1512
Tackles
70% (7/10)92% (12/13)
Duels won
4640
Clearances
3217
Interceptions
15
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
0.130.84
Goals prevented
0.13-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Al Barakah A. 🟨,
  • 45', Al Shuwayyi K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Al Haribi A. 🟨,
  • 57', Ousmane Pato , Al Muwallad S. ,
  • 60', Faik H. 🟨,
  • 61', Al Haribi A. , Al Sufyani M. ,
  • 66', Al Mayad A. , Al Zaqan A. ,
  • 69', Al Nakhli M. , Kaabi N. ,
  • 69', Al Barakah A. , Al Barakah I. ,
  • 75', Al Mushawh A. 🟨,
  • 77', 1 - 0, Moya J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 80', Waheeb W. , Acosta N. ,
  • 82', Pinero F. 🟨,
  • 87', Fallatah S. 🟨,
  • 90', Pain C. , Al Khalifa M. ,
  • 90', Al Sunaytan I. , Sharahili R. ,
  • 90+6', Fallatah S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Bukayriyah
51.6%
Draw
27.6%
Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 29% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 27.8% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Bukayriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Al-Arabi Al-Saudi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Bukayriyah than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.9)
    3.28
    (3.1)
    4.34
    (3.8)
    10.4%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al-Bukayriyah will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Al-Arabi will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Arabi: 15.4%84.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Arabi (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Al-Arabi (3.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Arabi (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • Al-Bukayriyah is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Al-Arabi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Al-Bukayriyah is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Bukayriyah won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Bukayriyah won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi were as follows:
    10.04.2025 Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Bukayriyah 0:2
    27.11.2024 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi 0:1
    28.05.2024 Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Bukayriyah 2:1
    10.01.2024 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi 1:1
    Latest results of Al-Bukayriyah
    19.12.2025 Al-Anwar - Al-Bukayriyah 1:2
    12.12.2025 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Taee 1:2
    27.11.2025 Abha - Al-Bukayriyah 0:0
    21.11.2025 Al-Adalh - Al-Bukayriyah 1:3
    09.11.2025 Al-Bukayriyah - Al Jubail 1:0
    Latest results of Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha28225159:223771
    2Al Diriyah28195468:284062
    3Al-Ula28167560:283255
    4Al-Faisaly281410456:332352
    5Al Orubah28155844:35950
    6Al Jabalain28147749:341549
    7Al Raed28129752:371545
    8Al Zulfi28109938:35339
    9Al Taee281081041:39238
    10Al Bukiryah281141330:40-1037
    11Al Anwar28811942:41135
    12Jeddah288101030:39-934
    13Al Wehda28961342:51-933
    14Al Jandal28781326:48-2229
    15Al Adalah28391634:63-2918
    16Al Arabi28442014:51-3716
    17Al Batin28361929:57-2815
    18Al Jubail28352024:57-3314

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