Result
2:5
20/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.95 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (322/393) | 78% (233/300) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 2.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (322/393) | 78% (233/300) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (25/48) | 38% (18/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (117/162) | 73% (58/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.55 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.94 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.06 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 9', Solan R. 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 1, Enrique R. ⚽, Buckley J. (A),
- 19', 0 - 2, Sawan M. ⚽, Pinas S. (A),
- 43', Gyomber N. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 2, Youssouf Z. ⚽, Vargas M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Al Shehri S. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 46', N'Doram K. ↓, Al Dawsari A. ↑,
- 46', Al Anazi A. ↓, Al Zubaidi F. ↑,
- 46', Masoud N. ↓, Al Fawaz A. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 3, Bahebri H. ⚽,
- 57', 2 - 3, Buckley J. (Own goal),
- 60', Baattia S. 🟨,
- 70', Batna M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 71', 2 - 4, Al Dawsari A. ⚽, Bahebri H. (A),
- 74', Al Jari Z. 🟨,
- 76', Bahebri H. ↓, Guga ↑,
- 76', 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 5, Enrique R. ⚽, Guga (A),
- 83', Solan R. ↓, Al Safari A. ↑,
- 86', Saadane M. ↓, Al Masoud A. ↑,
- 90', Enrique R. ↓, Khalifah M. ↑,
- 90+2', Al Safari A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al Fateh
50% | Draw
24.6% | Al-Kholood
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Fateh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Al-Kholood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Kholood than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Al Fateh - Al-Kholood Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↓
(2.04) |
3.74 ↑
(3.68) |
3.59 ↑
(3.24) |
8.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al Fateh - Al-Kholood?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Al Fateh will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Al-Kholood will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Fateh: 58.6% – 97%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Al Fateh (votes: 3 - 60%). Al-Kholood (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 13).
- Al Fateh has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Al-Kholood has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Al Fateh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Al Fateh will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Al Fateh will win today's game, with odds of 1.91.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al Fateh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Al Fateh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Fateh won against Al-Kholood?
Al Fateh has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Kholood won against Al Fateh?
Al-Kholood has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Fateh - Al-Kholood were as follows:
06.03.2025
Al-Kholood
-
Al Fateh
2:1
20.10.2024
Al Fateh
-
Al-Kholood
1:1
Latest results of Al Fateh
Latest results of Al-Kholood
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 71:19 | 52 | 67 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 26 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 67:23 | 44 | 64 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 51:19 | 32 | 62 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 62:25 | 37 | 60 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 47:33 | 14 | 45 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 41:34 | 7 | 42 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:44 | -8 | 39 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:41 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 29:47 | -18 | 31 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 44:44 | 0 | 30 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34:47 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 26 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 34:48 | -14 | 25 |
| 15 | Damac | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 24:42 | -18 | 22 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25:49 | -24 | 19 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 22:57 | -35 | 13 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 26 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 23:61 | -38 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
