Result
2:1
03/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (220/298) | 67% (191/283) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (220/298) | 67% (191/283) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (24/53) | 30% (18/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (50/92) | 43% (34/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 86% (19/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | -1.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', Ochaya J. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Farid F. ⚽, Akem F. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Kahraba ↓, Onyemaechi K. ↑,
- 46', Antar M. ↓, Naguib S. ↑,
- 46', Ochaya J. ↓, Hesham N. ↑,
- 50', Canaria 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 1, Naguib S. ⚽, Onyemaechi K. (A),
- 62', Mohamed A. 🟨,
- 64', Abed A. 🟨,
- 65', Naser N. ↓, Ebuka J. ↑,
- 77', Saleh A. ↓, Samir I. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Akem F. ⚽, Canaria (A),
- 79', El Wahsh O. ↓, El Tayeeb A. ↑,
- 79', Bassey C. ↓, Sobhi M. ↑,
- 83', Soliman S. 🟨,
- 89', Farid F. ↓, Gomaa A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
32.4% | Draw
35.8% | El Mokawloon El Arab
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)El Mokawloon El Arab has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Al-Ittihad Alexandria - El Mokawloon El Arab Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↓
(3.26) |
2.58 ↓
(2.62) |
2.9 ↑
(2.64) |
8.5%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Al-Ittihad Alexandria - El Mokawloon El Arab?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). El Mokawloon will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 62.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Al-Ittihad (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ittihad (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 19 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 2.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Al-Ittihad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ittihad won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Alexandria won against El Mokawloon El Arab?
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Mokawloon El Arab won against Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
El Mokawloon El Arab has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ittihad Alexandria - El Mokawloon El Arab were as follows:
21.07.2025
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
0:0
11.05.2024
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
0:1
28.10.2023
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
3:2
12.07.2023
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
El Mokawloon El Arab
0:0
27.01.2023
El Mokawloon El Arab
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Alexandria
Latest results of El Mokawloon El Arab
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 30:12 | 18 | 37 |
| 2 | Pyramids | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 29:13 | 16 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 28:15 | 13 | 36 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 26:13 | 13 | 36 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 25:16 | 9 | 29 |
| 6 | Wadi Degla | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 27 |
| 7 | National Bank Egypt | 17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 25 |
| 8 | ZED | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 25 |
| 9 | Smouha | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 15:12 | 3 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 24 |
| 11 | Modern Sport | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 22 |
| 12 | Enppi | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 21 |
| 13 | El Gouna | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 18 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 18 |
| 15 | Arab Contractors | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Al Ittihad | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 13:23 | -10 | 17 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14:25 | -11 | 17 |
| 18 | Pharco | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 14 |
| 19 | El Gaish | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 9:22 | -13 | 13 |
| 20 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19:35 | -16 | 13 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 10:24 | -14 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
