Result
2:0
30/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Egypt | Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (327/439) | 70% (236/339) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (327/439) | 70% (236/339) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (36/80) | 37% (28/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (80/127) | 52% (64/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | -1.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', Nail A. 🟨,
- 16', Mohamed A. ↓, El Deeb K. ↑,
- 21', Mohamed M. 🟨,
- 34', Mostafa T. 🟨,
- 36', Alaa N. ↓, Magdi A. ↑,
- 37', 1 - 0, Wahid Y. ⚽,
- 41', 2 - 0, Ibrahim M. ⚽, Afsha (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Abdelhakim I. ↓, Awad M. ↑,
- 46', Nail A. ↓, Saviola O. ↑,
- 66', Dunga M. ↓, Tony M. ↑,
- 67', Gouda A. 🟨,
- 78', Cooper I. ↓, El Sheikh A. ↑,
- 78', Gamal A. ↓, Twum M. ↑,
- 88', Hamdi M. ↓, El Negely M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Ittihad Alexandria 50.6% | Draw 31.4% | Haras El-Hodood 18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Haras El-Hodood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haras El-Hodood than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Haras El-Hodood Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.82 ↓ (1.85) |
2.93 ↓ (2.96) |
5.13 ↑ (4.8) |
8.6% (8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Haras El-Hodood?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Haras El-Hodood will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ittihad: 4% – 71%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Al-Ittihad is considered a favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ittihad won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Alexandria won against Haras El-Hodood?
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Haras El-Hodood won against Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
Haras El-Hodood has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Haras El-Hodood were as follows:
17.01.2026
Haras El-Hodood
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
23.03.2025
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
Haras El-Hodood
0:1
07.11.2024
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
Haras El-Hodood
1:0
01.07.2023
Haras El-Hodood
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
2:2
23.01.2023
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
Haras El-Hodood
1:0
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Alexandria
Latest results of Haras El-Hodood
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek ✔ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Pyramids ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly ✔ | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29:16 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Smouha | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | ZED | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Enppi | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 24 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors ✔ | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood ✔ | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | El Gaish ✔ | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 16 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pharco ✔ | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 14 |
| 21 | El Ismaily ✔ | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )