Result
0:3
28/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Stars League - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iraq | Iraqia Syriac |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 43', 0 - 1, Hmoud Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 65', 0 - 2, Sou E. (Own goal),
- 68', 0 - 3, Raad S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Al-Qasim
8.8% | Draw
19.9% | Al-Karkh
71.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Al-Karkh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qasim than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Qasim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karkh than the current prediction. (-21.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Karkh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Qasim - Al-Karkh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10.22 ↑
(8.74) |
4.54 ↑
(4.23) |
1.27 ↓
(1.35) |
10.7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 8).
- Al-Qasim is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Al-Karkh has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Al-Qasim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al-Karkh is the clear favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Qasim won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home match between the teams, Al-Qasim won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Qasim won against Al-Karkh?
Al-Qasim has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Karkh won against Al-Qasim?
Al-Karkh has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Qasim - Al-Karkh were as follows:
20.09.2025
Al-Karkh
-
Al-Qasim
2:1
11.04.2025
Al-Qasim
-
Al-Karkh
1:1
09.01.2025
Al-Karkh
-
Al-Qasim
0:0
23.04.2024
Al-Karkh
-
Al-Qasim
1:1
08.04.2023
Al-Karkh
-
Al-Qasim
2:1
Latest results of Al-Qasim
Latest results of Al-Karkh
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 42:15 | 27 | 63 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 59 |
| 3 | Al Talaba | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 39:24 | 15 | 54 |
| 4 | Erbil | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 37:23 | 14 | 53 |
| 5 | Al-Karma | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 41:20 | 21 | 50 |
| 6 | Al Zawraa | 27 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 34:22 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 35:25 | 10 | 45 |
| 8 | Zakho | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 44 |
| 9 | Newroz | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Al Naft | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Duhok | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Diyala | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32:27 | 5 | 36 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 29:36 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 33 |
| 15 | Baghdad | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 34:48 | -14 | 30 |
| 16 | Al Kahraba | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 30:36 | -6 | 27 |
| 17 | Al Minaa | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 24:32 | -8 | 26 |
| 18 | Naft Missan | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 28 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 19:51 | -32 | 12 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 7:66 | -59 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
