Result
1:0
07/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.64 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (284/348) | 86% (397/462) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (284/348) | 86% (397/462) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (12/30) | 57% (28/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (58/88) | 75% (101/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.94 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (10/22) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.90 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Sawan M. 🟨,
- 25', Al Asmari A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Al Aliwa A. 🟨,
- 55', Sierro V. 🟨,
- 64', Al Asmari A. ↓, Al Sayyali B. ↑,
- 64', Carlos Junior ↓, Camara H. ↑,
- 72', Hernandez U. ↓, Brownhill J. ↑,
- 72', Al Hammami H. ↓, Azaizeh A. ↑,
- 74', Sawan M. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 0, Al Aliwa A. ⚽, Cozzani J. (A),
- 82', Al Shehri S. ↓, Guga ↑,
- 82', Al Thani M. ↓, Al Saqour F. ↑,
- 86', Enrique R. ↓, Al Dosari J. ↑,
- 87', Camara H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Kholood
24.6% | Draw
25.9% | Al-Shabab Riyadh
49.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Kholood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Kholood's form might have worsened.Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Shabab Riyadh's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Kholood than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Kholood, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Shabab Riyadh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Kholood - Al-Shabab Riyadh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.73 ↑
(2.96) |
3.59 ↑
(3.5) |
1.87 ↓
(2.17) |
8.3%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al-Kholood - Al-Shabab Riyadh?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Al-Shabab will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 13)
- Al-Kholood has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Shabab has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Al-Shabab is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Kholood won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Kholood won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Kholood won against Al-Shabab Riyadh?
Al-Kholood has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shabab Riyadh won against Al-Kholood?
Al-Shabab Riyadh has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Kholood - Al-Shabab Riyadh were as follows:
25.09.2025
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Al-Kholood
1:2
10.04.2025
Al-Shabab Riyadh
-
Al-Kholood
2:0
07.11.2024
Al-Kholood
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
0:2
24.09.2024
Al-Kholood
-
Al-Shabab Riyadh
1:3
Latest results of Al-Kholood
Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 24 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 65:19 | 46 | 61 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 46:15 | 31 | 59 |
| 3 | Al Hilal | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 62:23 | 39 | 58 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 55:22 | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Al Taawon | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 42:29 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 35:42 | -7 | 38 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 29:33 | -4 | 32 |
| 9 | Al Fateh | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 28 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 26:44 | -18 | 28 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 27 |
| 12 | Al Fayha | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28:41 | -13 | 27 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 30:38 | -8 | 25 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 24 | 8 | 1 | 15 | 32:42 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22:45 | -23 | 16 |
| 16 | Damac | 24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 18:41 | -23 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 13 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 24 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
