Result
1:2
28/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.81 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (469/535) | 81% (286/352) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (469/535) | 81% (286/352) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (16/38) | 41% (18/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (90/136) | 65% (53/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 60% (3/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.43 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Bahebri H. ⚽, Buckley J. (A),
- 12', 1 - 1, Messi R. ⚽, Abdi F. (A),
- 26', Al Dawsari K. 🟨,
- 28', Buckley J. 🟨,
- 37', Hegazy A. ↓, Al Saluli A. ↑,
- 39', 1 - 2, Bahebri H. ⚽, Pinas S. (A),
- 45+2', Abdi F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 89', Al Dawsari K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Neom
49.8% | Draw
27% | Al-Kholood
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Neom's form might have worsened.Al-Kholood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Kholood's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neom than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neom, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Kholood than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Kholood, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Neom - Al-Kholood Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↑
(1.55) |
3.51 ↓
(4.11) |
4.01 ↓
(5.46) |
6.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Neom - Al-Kholood?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - Al-Kholood (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Kholood (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Al-Kholood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Neom has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Neom is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neom won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Neom won against Al-Kholood?
Neom has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Kholood won against Neom?
Al-Kholood has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neom - Al-Kholood were as follows:
30.10.2025
Al-Kholood
-
Neom
2:3
Latest results of Al-Kholood
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 28 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 78:21 | 57 | 73 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 75:25 | 50 | 68 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 55:20 | 35 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 65:29 | 36 | 61 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:37 | 13 | 46 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41:49 | -8 | 42 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 37:41 | -4 | 39 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 34 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31:48 | -17 | 34 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 31 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Al Kholood | 29 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 38:57 | -19 | 29 |
| 14 | Al Fateh | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 | Damac | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 25:46 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 28 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 23:59 | -36 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 28 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 27:67 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
