Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Najma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
19/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East, SPOTV Asia
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilHBO Max
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
czech-republicCzech-republicStrike, Strike
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 8
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaSPOTV, Vidio
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, beIN Connect
mexicoMexicoFOX One
mongoliaMongoliaSPOTV
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesSPOTV
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah App, Thmanyah
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV, SPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 10
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandSPOTV, True Ball Thai 1, True ID
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tabii
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, SPOTV, VTV Prime
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.310.54
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
93
Big chances
61
Corner kicks
150
Passes
81% (283/351)75% (206/273)
Yellow cards
04
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
3.310.54
xG on target (xGOT)
4.290.43
Total shots
147
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
23
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
133
Shots outside the box
14
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
61
Corner kicks
150
Touches in opposition box
4010
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
129
Passes
81% (283/351)75% (206/273)
Long passes
49% (18/37)44% (21/48)
Passes in final third
65% (91/139)63% (31/49)
Crosses
23% (8/35)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
2.330.14
Throw ins
1721
Fouls
912
Tackles
60% (9/15)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4940
Clearances
749
Interceptions
1214
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
0.434.29
Goals prevented
-0.570.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', Felippe Cardoso 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Lazaro , Tijanic D. (A),
  • 37', Toney I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Atangana V. , Mahrez R. (A),
  • 51', Boutobba B. 🟨,
  • 58', Felippe Cardoso 🟨,
  • 67', Abu Al Shamat S. , Al Buraikan F. ,
  • 69', 2 - 1, Toney I. , Mahrez R. (A),
  • 72', Guga , Al Harabi A. ,
  • 72', Boutobba B. , Al Tulayhi R. ,
  • 77', Dunga N. , Al Hawsawi N. ,
  • 77', Al Subaie K. , Al Dubais H. ,
  • 83', Galeno , Matheus Goncalves ,
  • 87', 3 - 1, Toney I. , Matheus Goncalves (A),
  • 90', Mahrez R. , Al Johani Z. ,
  • 90', Majrashi A. , Abdulrahman M. ,
  • 90', Al Hawsawi A. , Al Essa S. ,
  • 90+3', Victor Braga 🟨,
  • 90+4', 4 - 1, Toney I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Al-Ahli Jeddah
85.8%
Draw
8.9%
Al-Najma
5.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
82.5% 11.6% 5.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Al-Najma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Najma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.08
    (1.12)
    10.45
    (7.91)
    17.66
    (15.57)
    7.5%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Najma?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al-Ahli will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 45%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 8.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Al-Ahli (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
    • Al-Ahli is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Al-Najma is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Al-Najma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Al-Ahli is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Ahli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Najma were as follows:
    23.10.2025 Al-Najma - Al-Ahli Jeddah 0:1
    Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
    Latest results of Al-Najma
    14.02.2026 Al-Najma - Al-Kholood 2:1
    05.02.2026 Al-Feiha - Al-Najma 3:0
    28.01.2026 Al-Najma - Al-Riyadh 1:1
    25.01.2026 Al-Najma - Al-Qadisiya 1:3
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Nassr28241378:215773
    2Al Hilal28208075:255068
    3Al Ahli SC28206255:203566
    4Al Qadsiah28187365:293661
    5Al Taawon28137850:371346
    6Al Ittihad28136945:38745
    7Al Ettifaq281261041:49-842
    8Neom SC291161237:41-439
    9Al Fayha29971335:45-1034
    10Al Hazem28971231:48-1734
    11Al Khaleej27871246:46031
    12Al Shabab27791134:40-630
    13Al Kholood29921838:57-1929
    14Al Fateh27771334:48-1428
    15Damac284111325:46-2123
    16Al Riyadh28581529:52-2323
    17Al Okhdood28442023:59-3616
    18Al Najma28252127:67-4011

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1