Al-Najma vs Al-Ahli Jeddah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Saudi Professional League Al-Najma - Al-Ahli Jeddah
Result
0:1
23/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilBandSports, Canal GOAT
chinaChinaQQ Sports
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
kenyaKenyaGotv
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
spainSpainMovistar Plus+ 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tabii
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.201.34
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
414
Shots on target
06
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
77% (215/279)86% (350/408)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.201.34
xG on target (xGOT)
0.002.55
Total shots
414
Shots on target
06
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
38
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
829
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
18
Free Kicks
169
Passes
77% (215/279)86% (350/408)
Long passes
56% (30/54)51% (19/37)
Passes in final third
62% (31/50)75% (120/160)
Crosses
50% (2/4)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.231.41
Throw-ins
1413
Fouls
916
Tackles
75% (12/16)68% (13/19)
Duels won
3746
Clearances
224
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
2.550.00
Goals prevented
1.550.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', Hamidou R. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Al Buraikan F. ,
  • 38', Jasim A. 🟨,
  • 42', Hamidou R. , Al Hawsawi Z. ,
  • 43', Millot E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Jasim A. , Al Dubais H. ,
  • 69', Al Buraikan F. , Toney I. ,
  • 69', Abu Al Shamat S. , Matheus Goncalves ,
  • 77', Al Haleel N. , Al Harabi A. ,
  • 84', Atangana V. 🟨,
  • 84', Kessie F. , Al Johani Z. ,
  • 85', Al Hawsawi A. 🟨,
  • 87', Al Hawsawi A. , Al Tulayhi R. ,
  • 90', Flores D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Najma
9.1%
Draw
14.2%
Al-Ahli Jeddah
76.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.5% 18.7% 69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11% 18% 72.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Najma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ahli Jeddah's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Al-Najma - Al-Ahli Jeddah Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    10.45
    (8.03)
    6.37
    (4.95)
    1.23
    (1.33)
    6.7%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Al-Najma - Al-Ahli Jeddah?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Al-Najma will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Al-Ahli will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 8).
    • Recent form of Al-Najma has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Al-Ahli's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Al-Ahli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Al-Ahli is the obvious favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Al-Najma
    17.10.2025 Al-Kholood - Al-Najma 5:1
    27.09.2025 Al-Najma - Al-Feiha 1:2
    23.09.2025 Al-Najma - Damac 2:1
    14.09.2025 Al-Riyadh - Al-Najma 2:1
    Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Nassr660021:21918
    2Al Taawon650116:10615
    3Al Hilal642017:61114
    4Al Qadisiya642011:5614
    5Al Ahli SC63308:4412
    6Al Khaleej631213:6710
    7Al Ittihad631211:9210
    8Neom SC63128:8010
    9Al Kholood630310:829
    10Al Fayha62226:8-28
    11Al Ettifaq62137:13-67
    12Al Shabab61325:8-36
    13Al Riyadh62047:15-86
    14Al Hazem61233:7-45
    15Al Fateh61146:13-74
    16Damac60246:15-92
    17Al Okhdood60156:14-81
    18Al Najma60064:14-100

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1