Result
0:1
23/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
Asia | JACO Middle East |
Austria | DAZN |
Brazil | BandSports, Canal GOAT |
China | QQ Sports |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
Hungary | Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
Kenya | Gotv |
Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
Spain | Movistar Plus+ 2 |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | S Sport+, Tabii |
Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (215/279) | 86% (350/408) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (215/279) | 86% (350/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (30/54) | 51% (19/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (31/50) | 75% (120/160) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 4 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.55 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', Hamidou R. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, Al Buraikan F. ⚽,
- 38', Jasim A. 🟨,
- 42', Hamidou R. ↓, Al Hawsawi Z. ↑,
- 43', Millot E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Jasim A. ↓, Al Dubais H. ↑,
- 69', Al Buraikan F. ↓, Toney I. ↑,
- 69', Abu Al Shamat S. ↓, Matheus Goncalves ↑,
- 77', Al Haleel N. ↓, Al Harabi A. ↑,
- 84', Atangana V. 🟨,
- 84', Kessie F. ↓, Al Johani Z. ↑,
- 85', Al Hawsawi A. 🟨,
- 87', Al Hawsawi A. ↓, Al Tulayhi R. ↑,
- 90', Flores D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Najma 9.1% | Draw 14.2% | Al-Ahli Jeddah 76.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Najma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ahli Jeddah's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (-4%)
Al-Najma - Al-Ahli Jeddah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
10.45 ↑ (8.03) |
6.37 ↑ (4.95) |
1.23 ↓ (1.33) |
6.7% (8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al-Najma - Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Al-Najma will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Al-Ahli will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 8).
- Recent form of Al-Najma has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Ahli's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Al-Ahli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al-Ahli is the obvious favorite.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Najma won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Najma has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Al-Najma?
Al-Ahli Jeddah has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Najma - Al-Ahli Jeddah were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Najma
Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 21:2 | 19 | 18 |
| 2 | Al Taawon | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Al Hilal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17:6 | 11 | 14 |
| 4 | Al Qadisiya | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | Al Ahli SC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Al Khaleej | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Al Ittihad | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Al Kholood | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Al Ettifaq | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Riyadh | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Al Hazem | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Al Fateh | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
| 16 | Damac | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:15 | -9 | 2 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 1 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:14 | -10 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1