Result
3:2
12/01/2026 at 10:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Hong-kong | on.cc |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.68 | 1.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (383/446) | 74% (232/312) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.68 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (383/446) | 74% (232/312) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (17/30) | 35% (21/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (143/174) | 64% (61/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (12/32) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.46 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | -1.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', 0 - 1, Tijanic D. ⚽,
- 24', Sayoud A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 26', Al Haleel N. 🟨,
- 42', Tanker S. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 2, Al Tulayhi R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 47', Boutouil A. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 2, Sayoud A. ⚽,
- 60', Al Rashid S. ↓, Mokwana E. ↑,
- 65', Al Tulayhi R. ↓, Al Shammeri A. ↑,
- 75', Martins F. ↓, Carvalho M. ↑,
- 75', Jasim A. ↓, Al Harabi A. ↑,
- 81', Sayoud A. 🟨,
- 82', Boutobba B. ↓, Al Hawsawi N. ↑,
- 82', Vitao ↓, Al Dubais H. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 2, Sayoud A. ⚽, Mokwana E. (A),
- 90+8', 3 - 2, Al Shammari Y. ⚽, Carvalho M. (A),
- 90+9', Al Shammari Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al Hazem
51.2% | Draw
25.7% | Al-Najma
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Hazem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Al-Najma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Hazem than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Al Hazem - Al-Najma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.83) |
3.63 ↑
(3.54) |
3.99 ↑
(3.84) |
8.6%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al Hazem - Al-Najma?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Al Hazem will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Al-Najma will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Hazem: 57.5% – 89.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al Hazem will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- Recent performances by Al Hazem have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Al-Najma's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Al Hazem has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Al Hazem is considered a favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al Hazem won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Al Hazem won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Hazem won against Al-Najma?
Al Hazem has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Najma won against Al Hazem?
Al-Najma has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Hazem - Al-Najma were as follows:
08.04.2025
Al Hazem
-
Al-Najma
0:2
25.11.2024
Al-Najma
-
Al Hazem
2:1
Latest results of Al Hazem
Latest results of Al-Najma
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 27 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 76:21 | 55 | 70 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 75:25 | 50 | 68 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 55:20 | 35 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 65:29 | 36 | 61 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 49:35 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41:49 | -8 | 42 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 35:43 | -8 | 34 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 31 |
| 11 | Al Hazem | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 29:48 | -19 | 31 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 28 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 36:56 | -20 | 26 |
| 15 | Damac | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 25:46 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 23:57 | -34 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 27 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 25:66 | -41 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
