Result
3:1
12/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Afghanistan | Meraj Sport |
Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
Asia | JACO Middle East |
Australia | Channel 10 |
Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Brazil | BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
China | QQ Sports |
Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
Hong-kong | on.cc |
Hungary | Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Mexico | FOX One |
Poland | Polsat Sport 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Spain | Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2 |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | S Sport+ |
Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox |
World | Onefootball, Sport 24 At Sea |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (359/412) | 88% (325/370) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (359/412) | 88% (325/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (27/47) | 62% (28/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (78/108) | 76% (84/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.54 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | -1.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 42', 0 - 1, Ronaldo C. ⚽, Coman K. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 53', Brozovic M. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Al Dawsari S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 58', Neves R. 🟨,
- 60', Al Aqidi N. 🟥,
- 63', Angelo ↓, Al Buainain M. ↑,
- 65', Al Khaibari A. 🟨,
- 72', Simakan M. ↓, Al Hassan A. ↑,
- 76', Al Dawsari N. ↓, Kanno M. ↑,
- 76', Al Harbi M. ↓, Mari P. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Kanno M. ⚽, Neves R. (A),
- 83', Ronaldo C. ↓, Wesley ↑,
- 83', Yahya A. ↓, Al Ghannam S. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Neves R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+3', Malcom ↓, Marcos Leonardo ↑,
- 90+4', Nunez D. ↓, Mandash S. ↑,
- 90+10', Tambakti H. ↓, Lajami A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Hilal 46.4% | Draw 22.4% | Al-Nassr Riyadh 31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.99 ↓ (2.45) |
4.07 ↑ (3.55) |
2.95 ↑ (2.49) |
8.8% (9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Users Predictions:
42 users predict this event. Al-Hilal will win (votes: 33 - 78.6%). Al-Nassr will win (votes: 3 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 66.2% – 91%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Hilal will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥇 Gold Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Hilal won 2.
- Al-Hilal is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Al-Nassr has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Hilal won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:22. (average 1.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Hilal won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Hilal won against Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Al-Hilal has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nassr Riyadh won against Al-Hilal?
Al-Nassr Riyadh has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh were as follows:
04.04.2025
Al-Hilal
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
1:3
01.11.2024
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al-Hilal
1:1
17.08.2024
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al-Hilal
1:4
31.05.2024
Al-Hilal
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
2:1
17.05.2024
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al-Hilal
1:1
Latest results of Al-Hilal
Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Hilal | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 38:13 | 25 | 38 |
| 2 | Al Nassr | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 39:15 | 24 | 31 |
| 3 | Al Taawon | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 29:14 | 15 | 31 |
| 4 | Al Ahli SC | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 19:10 | 9 | 28 |
| 5 | Al Qadsiah | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:13 | 13 | 27 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 27:16 | 11 | 26 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24:25 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 | Al Khaleej | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32:22 | 10 | 21 |
| 9 | Neom SC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 | Al Fateh | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 17 |
| 11 | Al Hazem | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14:22 | -8 | 16 |
| 12 | Al Fayha | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 13 |
| 13 | Al Kholood | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 | Damac | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 10:24 | -14 | 9 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12:28 | -16 | 9 |
| 16 | Al Shabab | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 8 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1