Al-Hilal vs Al-Nassr Riyadh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Saudi Professional League Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh
Result
1:3
04/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj Sport, Solh Sports 1
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 3, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
angolaAngolaZ Sport 1
asiaAsiaGOBX Arabic, SPOTV 2 Asia
australiaAustralia10 Play
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
brazilBrazilBandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongNow Player, NOW Sports 3
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
mexicoMexicoAzteca Deportes
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruZapping Sports
polandPolandPolsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 2
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP, SSC Sports 1, SSC Sports 5
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9, SportKlub 4
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 5
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV 2, SPOTV Now
spainSpainMarca
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN 1 UK, Sport 24 International
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Sport 24 At Sea

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.512.35
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1617
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
107
Passes
83% (329/396)75% (209/279)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.512.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.372.85
Total shots
1617
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
75
Shots inside the Box
912
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
107
Touches in opposition box
2737
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
712
Passes
83% (329/396)75% (209/279)
Long passes
50% (24/48)47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
72% (88/122)60% (63/105)
Crosses
28% (7/25)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.851.25
Fouls
127
Tackles
77% (10/13)74% (14/19)
Duels won
4149
Clearances Total
1826
Interceptions
1812
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
2.851.37
Goals prevented
-0.150.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45+4', 0 - 1, Al Hassan A. , Brozovic M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', 0 - 2, Ronaldo C. , Mane S. (A),
  • 53', Neves R. 🟨,
  • 62', Yahya A. , Otavio ,
  • 63', 1 - 2, Al Bulayhi A. , Milinkovic-Savic S. (A),
  • 65', Al Yami H. , Al Shahrani Y. ,
  • 65', Neves R. , Marcos Leonardo ,
  • 70', Lajami A. , Laporte A. ,
  • 77', Al Najdi S. , Qasheesh M. ,
  • 82', Lodi R. , Al Harbi M. ,
  • 82', Kanno M. , Al Dawsari N. ,
  • 88', 1 - 3, Ronaldo C. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Al-Hilal
47.7%
Draw
23.5%
Al-Nassr Riyadh
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 21.3% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 20.9% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Hilal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Hilal's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Hilal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.72)
    3.93
    (4.4)
    3.26
    (3.86)
    7.9%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

  • Watch this match and Saudi Professional League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FOX Deportes
  • What is the prediction for Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Al-Hilal (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Al-Hilal will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Hilal won 3.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Al-Hilal will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Al-Hilal won 12 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 38:22 (average 1.9:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Al-Hilal won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh were as follows:
    01.11.2024 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Hilal 1:1
    17.08.2024 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Hilal 1:4
    31.05.2024 Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:1
    17.05.2024 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Hilal 1:1
    08.04.2024 Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:1
    Latest results of Al-Hilal
    15.03.2025 Al-Taawoun - Al-Hilal 0:2
    11.03.2025 Al-Hilal - Pakhtakor 4:0
    07.03.2025 Al-Feiha - Al-Hilal 0:2
    04.03.2025 Pakhtakor - Al-Hilal 1:0
    28.02.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah 2:3
    Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Nassr11005:053
    2Al Ittihad11005:233
    3Al Khaleej11004:133
    4Al Qadisiya11003:123
    5Al Hilal11002:023
    6Al Ettifaq11002:113
    7Al Fayha11002:113
    8Al Ahli SC11001:013
    9Al Hazem10101:101
    10Damac10101:101
    11Al Fateh10011:2-10
    12Al Kholood10011:2-10
    13Neom SC10010:1-10
    14Al Najma10011:3-20
    15Al Riyadh10010:2-20
    16Al Okhdood10012:5-30
    17Al Shabab10011:4-30
    18Al Taawon10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1