Al-Hilal vs Al-Nassr Riyadh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Kingdom Arena (Riyadh).

Saudi Professional League - Round 26
Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Meraj Sport, Solh Sports 1
Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Albania	SuperSport 4
Angola	Z Sport 1
Asia	GOBX Arabic, SPOTV 2 Asia
Australia	10 Play
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Finland	Viaplay
France	CANAL+ Foot
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	Now Player, NOW Sports 3
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode, JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5, Vision+
Indonesia	Vidio
Malaysia	Astro Go
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	Azteca Deportes
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Zapping Sports
Poland	Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1, SSC Sports 5
Serbia	Arena Sport 9, SportKlub 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
South-korea	SPOTV 2, SPOTV Now
Spain	Marca
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport+
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK, Sport 24 International
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Sport 24 At Sea

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.51	2.35
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
16	17
Shots on target
3	7
Big Chances
2	5
Corner Kicks
10	7
Passes
83% (329/396)	75% (209/279)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51	2.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.37	2.85
Total shots
16	17
Shots on target
3	7
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
7	5
Shots inside the Box
9	12
Shots outside the Box
7	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	5
Corner Kicks
10	7
Touches in opposition box
27	37
Offsides
1	5
Free Kicks
7	12
Passes
83% (329/396)	75% (209/279)
Long passes
50% (24/48)	47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
72% (88/122)	60% (63/105)
Crosses
28% (7/25)	38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.85	1.25
Fouls
12	7
Tackles
77% (10/13)	74% (14/19)
Duels won
41	49
Clearances Total
18	26
Interceptions
18	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
2.85	1.37
Goals prevented
-0.15	0.37

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+4', 0 - 1, Al Hassan A. ⚽, Brozovic M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 0 - 2, Ronaldo C. ⚽, Mane S. (A),
53', Neves R. 🟨,
62', Yahya A. ↓, Otavio ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Al Bulayhi A. ⚽, Milinkovic-Savic S. (A),
65', Al Yami H. ↓, Al Shahrani Y. ↑,
65', Neves R. ↓, Marcos Leonardo ↑,
70', Lajami A. ↓, Laporte A. ↑,
77', Al Najdi S. ↓, Qasheesh M. ↑,
82', Lodi R. ↓, Al Harbi M. ↑,
82', Kanno M. ↓, Al Dawsari N. ↑,
88', 1 - 3, Ronaldo C. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Al-Hilal
47.7%

Draw
23.5%

Al-Nassr Riyadh
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

21.3%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

20.9%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Hilal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Hilal's form might have worsened.

Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Hilal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.72)	3.93 ↓ (4.4)	3.26 ↓ (3.86)	7.9% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

Watch this match and Saudi Professional League with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : FOX Deportes

What is the prediction for Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Al-Hilal (votes: 4 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Al-Hilal will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Hilal won 3.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Al-Hilal will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Al-Hilal won 12 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 38:22 (average 1.9:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Al-Hilal won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.6:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Hilal won against Al-Nassr Riyadh?

Al-Hilal has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nassr Riyadh won against Al-Hilal?

Al-Nassr Riyadh has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh were as follows:

01.11.2024 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Hilal 1:1

17.08.2024 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Hilal 1:4

31.05.2024 Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:1

17.05.2024 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Hilal 1:1

08.04.2024 Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:1

Latest results of Al-Hilal

15.03.2025 Al-Taawoun - Al-Hilal 0:2 ✺

11.03.2025 Al-Hilal - Pakhtakor 4:0 ✺

07.03.2025 Al-Feiha - Al-Hilal 0:2 ✺

04.03.2025 Pakhtakor - Al-Hilal 1:0 ✺

28.02.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh

14.03.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Kholood 3:1 ✺

10.03.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Esteghlal 3:0 ✺

07.03.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 2:2 ✺

03.03.2025 Esteghlal - Al-Nassr Riyadh 0:0 ✺

28.02.2025 Al-Orobah - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:1 ✺

Saudi Professional League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Nassr	4	4	0	0	14:1	13	12
2	Al Ittihad	4	3	0	1	10:6	4	9
3	Al Taawon	4	3	0	1	8:8	0	9
4	Al Hilal	4	2	2	0	10:6	4	8
5	Al Ahli SC	4	2	2	0	6:3	3	8
6	Al Qadisiya	3	2	1	0	7:4	3	7
7	Al Ettifaq	4	2	1	1	6:6	0	7
8	Al Khaleej	4	2	0	2	8:4	4	6
9	Neom SC	3	2	0	1	3:2	1	6
10	Al Kholood	4	2	0	2	5:6	-1	6
11	Al Fayha	3	1	1	1	2:4	-2	4
12	Al Shabab	4	1	1	2	3:6	-3	4
13	Al Riyadh	3	1	0	2	3:8	-5	3
14	Al Hazem	4	0	2	2	1:4	-3	2
15	Al Fateh	3	0	1	2	3:6	-3	1
16	Damac	4	0	1	3	4:8	-4	1
17	Al Najma	3	0	0	3	2:6	-4	0
18	Al Okhdood	4	0	0	4	5:12	-7	0

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1