Al-Hilal vs Al-Nassr Riyadh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
12/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj Sport
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes World Football
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
australiaAustraliaChannel 10
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
brazilBrazilBandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
chinaChinaQQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
hong-kongHong-kongon.cc
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
mexicoMexicoFOX One
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah App, Thmanyah
spainSpainMovistar+ Vamos Bar 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox
worldWorldOnefootball, Sport 24 At Sea

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.090.70
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
31
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
54
Passes
87% (359/412)88% (325/370)
Yellow cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.090.70
xG on target (xGOT)
1.710.55
Total shots
89
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
37
Blocked shots
21
Shots inside the box
45
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1711
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
34
Free kicks
117
Passes
87% (359/412)88% (325/370)
Long passes
57% (27/47)62% (28/45)
Passes in final third
72% (78/108)76% (84/111)
Crosses
9% (1/11)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.54
Throw ins
1311
Fouls
711
Tackles
33% (6/18)43% (6/14)
Duels won
4432
Clearances
1410
Interceptions
25
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
10
xGOT faced
0.551.71
Goals prevented
-0.45-1.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 42', 0 - 1, Ronaldo C. , Coman K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 53', Brozovic M. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Al Dawsari S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 58', Neves R. 🟨,
  • 60', Al Aqidi N. 🟥,
  • 63', Angelo , Al Buainain M. ,
  • 65', Al Khaibari A. 🟨,
  • 72', Simakan M. , Al Hassan A. ,
  • 76', Al Dawsari N. , Kanno M. ,
  • 76', Al Harbi M. , Mari P. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Kanno M. , Neves R. (A),
  • 83', Ronaldo C. , Wesley ,
  • 83', Yahya A. , Al Ghannam S. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Neves R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+3', Malcom , Marcos Leonardo ,
  • 90+4', Nunez D. , Mandash S. ,
  • 90+10', Tambakti H. , Lajami A. ,

Chances of winning


Al-Hilal
46.4%
Draw
22.4%
Al-Nassr Riyadh
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 25.8% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 24.6% 35.1%

Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.99
(2.45)
4.07
(3.55)
2.95
(2.49)
8.8%
(9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh?
  • Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Al-Hilal will win (votes: 33 - 78.6%). Al-Nassr will win (votes: 3 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 66.2%91%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Hilal will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Hilal won 2.
    • Al-Hilal is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Al-Nassr has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Hilal won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:22. (average 1.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Hilal won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh 1:3
    01.11.2024 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Hilal 1:1
    17.08.2024 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Hilal 1:4
    31.05.2024 Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:1
    17.05.2024 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Hilal 1:1
    Latest results of Al-Hilal
    08.01.2026 Al-Hilal - Al Hazem 3:0
    04.01.2026 Damac - Al-Hilal 0:2
    31.12.2025 Al-Kholood - Al-Hilal 1:3
    26.12.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Khaleej 3:2
    22.12.2025 Al-Sharjah - Al-Hilal 0:1
    Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal14122038:132538
    2Al Nassr14101339:152431
    3Al Taawon13101229:141531
    4Al Ahli SC1384119:10928
    5Al Qadsiah1383226:131327
    6Al Ittihad1382327:161126
    7Al Ettifaq1464424:25-122
    8Al Khaleej1463532:221021
    9Neom SC1362518:20-220
    10Al Fateh1352616:22-617
    11Al Hazem1444614:22-816
    12Al Fayha1334612:21-913
    13Al Kholood1340919:26-712
    14Damac1316610:24-149
    15Al Riyadh1323812:28-169
    16Al Shabab131579:20-118
    17Al Okhdood1312109:25-165
    18Al Najma14021215:32-172

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1