Result
3:1
12/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Afghanistan | Meraj Sport |
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Australia | Channel 10 |
 Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Brazil | BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Hong-kong | on.cc |
 Hungary | Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
 Spain | Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox |
 World | Onefootball, Sport 24 At Sea |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (359/412) | 88% (325/370) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (359/412) | 88% (325/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (27/47) | 62% (28/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (78/108) | 76% (84/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.54 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | -1.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 42', 0 - 1, Ronaldo C. ⚽, Coman K. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 53', Brozovic M. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Al Dawsari S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 58', Neves R. 🟨,
- 60', Al Aqidi N. 🟥,
- 63', Angelo ↓, Al Buainain M. ↑,
- 65', Al Khaibari A. 🟨,
- 72', Simakan M. ↓, Al Hassan A. ↑,
- 76', Al Dawsari N. ↓, Kanno M. ↑,
- 76', Al Harbi M. ↓, Mari P. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Kanno M. ⚽, Neves R. (A),
- 83', Ronaldo C. ↓, Wesley ↑,
- 83', Yahya A. ↓, Al Ghannam S. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Neves R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+3', Malcom ↓, Marcos Leonardo ↑,
- 90+4', Nunez D. ↓, Mandash S. ↑,
- 90+10', Tambakti H. ↓, Lajami A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Hilal
46.4% | Draw
22.4% | Al-Nassr Riyadh
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Hilal's performance.Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Nassr Riyadh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Hilal that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.45) |
4.07 ↑
(3.55) |
2.95 ↑
(2.49) |
8.8%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Users Predictions:
42 users predict this event. Al-Hilal will win (votes: 33 - 78.6%). Al-Nassr will win (votes: 3 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 66.2% – 91%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Al-Nassr (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Al-Hilal (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Al-Hilal (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Al-Hilal (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Al-Hilal (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Al-Hilal (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Hilal will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 35 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 28 - 80%). Al-Nassr (votes: 3 - 8.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 11.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Hilal won 2.
- Al-Hilal is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Al-Nassr has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Hilal won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:22. (average 1.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Hilal won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Hilal won against Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Al-Hilal has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nassr Riyadh won against Al-Hilal?
Al-Nassr Riyadh has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh were as follows:
04.04.2025
Al-Hilal
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
1:3
01.11.2024
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al-Hilal
1:1
17.08.2024
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al-Hilal
1:4
31.05.2024
Al-Hilal
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
2:1
17.05.2024
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al-Hilal
1:1
Latest results of Al-Hilal
Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ahli SC | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 46:15 | 31 | 59 |
| 2 | Al Nassr | 23 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 62:18 | 44 | 58 |
| 3 | Al Hilal | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 54:21 | 33 | 53 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 41:28 | 13 | 40 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 38:28 | 10 | 39 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 34:39 | -5 | 38 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 | Al Fateh | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 28 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 42:37 | 5 | 27 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 25 |
| 13 | Al Hazem | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23:43 | -20 | 25 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 30:41 | -11 | 22 |
| 15 | Al Riyadh | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22:45 | -23 | 16 |
| 16 | Damac | 24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 18:41 | -23 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19:49 | -30 | 10 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 21:51 | -30 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
