Result
0:2
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport 4, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, ZAP |
 Angola | Z Sports 1 |
 Asia | JACO Middle East, SPOTV 2 Asia |
 Australia | Channel 10 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV 2, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Hungary | Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV 2, Vidio |
 Iran | Persiana Sports |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
 Mongolia | SPOTV 2 |
 Philippines | SPOTV 2 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid, Thmanyah |
 Singapore | SPOTV 2 |
 Spain | Movistar Plus+ |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | SPOTV 2 |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox |
 Vietnam | SPOTV 2 |
 World | Sport 24 Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 2.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (370/430) | 84% (296/353) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 2.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (370/430) | 84% (296/353) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (20/41) | 46% (13/28) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (59/88) | 74% (90/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 46% (6/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Mane S. ⚽, Coman K. (A),
- 35', 0 - 2, Ronaldo C. ⚽, Mane S. (A),
- 45+2', Aouar H. ↓, Al Ghamdi F. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Fagihy M. ↓, Al Oboud A. ↑,
- 77', Al Julaydan A. ↓, Sharahili A. ↑,
- 80', Bergwijn S. 🟨,
- 82', Sharahili A. 🟨,
- 86', Coman K. ↓, Al Ghannam S. ↑,
- 90', Al Khaibari A. ↓, Al Hassan A. ↑,
- 90', Yahya A. ↓, Ghareeb A. ↑,
- 90+5', Ronaldo C. ↓, Al Amri A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
14.2% | Draw
19.2% | Al-Nassr Riyadh
66.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ittihad Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Ittihad Jeddah's form might have worsened.Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Nassr Riyadh's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Ittihad Jeddah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-14.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Nassr Riyadh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.98 ↑
(3.45) |
6.14 ↑
(4.13) |
1.64 ↓
(1.85) |
-11.7%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Users Predictions:
Al-Nassr Riyadh will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 2.
- Al-Ittihad is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Al-Nassr is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Recently, Al-Ittihad has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Al-Nassr is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:31. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ittihad won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.7:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Jeddah won against Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Al-Ittihad Jeddah has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nassr Riyadh won against Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
Al-Nassr Riyadh has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh were as follows:
19.08.2025
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
2:1
07.05.2025
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
2:3
06.12.2024
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
2:1
27.05.2024
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
4:2
26.12.2023
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
2:5
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Jeddah
Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 | 12 |
| 2 | Al Ittihad | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Al Taawon | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Al Hilal | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10:6 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Al Ahli SC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Al Qadisiya | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Al Khaleej | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Neom SC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 10 | Al Kholood | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 13 | Al Riyadh | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 14 | Al Hazem | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 2 |
| 15 | Al Fateh | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Damac | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 1 |
| 17 | Al Najma | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Al Okhdood | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
