Result
2:3
07/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Afghanistan | Solh Sports 1 |
Africa | CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 1, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP |
Angola | Z Sport 1 |
Argentina | Max, TNT Sports |
Asia | GOBX Arabic |
Australia | 10 Play |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Brazil | BandSports, Canal GOAT |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
Czech-republic | Sport 2 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
Finland | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
France | New World TV |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live, NOW Sports 3 |
Hungary | Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
Iceland | Viaplay, Vodafone Sport |
India | Vision+ |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Malaysia | Astro Go |
Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
Mozambique | Startimes Mania |
New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 4 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Puerto-rico | Fox Sports 2 |
Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1 |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 3, SportKlub 3 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
South-korea | SPOTV, SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
Spain | Marca |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | S Sport+, Tabii, TRT Spor |
United-kingdom | DAZN 1 UK |
Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com, Sport 24 Extra |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.59 | 1.87 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
85% (388/459) | 85% (330/388) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.59 | 1.87 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.82 | 2.91 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
30 | 30 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
3 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
85% (388/459) | 85% (330/388) |
Long passes |
---|
33% (13/40) | 40% (14/35) |
Passes in final third |
---|
68% (86/126) | 75% (76/102) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (4/17) | 32% (6/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.35 | 1.40 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (12/16) | 77% (10/13) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
12 | 24 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.91 | 1.82 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.09 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Mane S. ⚽,
- 37', 2 - 0, Yahya A. ⚽, Mane S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 49', 2 - 1, Benzema K. ⚽, Al Oboud A. (A),
- 52', 2 - 2, Kante N. ⚽, Al Shanqiti M. (A),
- 61', Al Hassan A. 🟨,
- 66', Al Hassan A. ↓, Al Khaibari A. ↑,
- 68', Pereira D. 🟨,
- 69', Al Oboud A. ↓, Bergwijn S. ↑,
- 69', Al Shanqiti M. ↓, Al Saqour F. ↑,
- 81', Yahya A. ↓, Angelo ↑,
- 90+1', Brozovic M. ↓, Haqawi S. ↑,
- 90+3', Al Amri A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Fabinho 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 3, Aouar H. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Al-Nassr Riyadh 49.9% | Draw 24.3% | Al-Ittihad Jeddah 25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Al-Ittihad Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.87 ↓ (1.91) |
3.92 ↑ (3.69) |
3.67 ↑ (3.65) |
6.1% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Al-Nassr Riyadh will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 2.
- Recent performances by Al-Nassr have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Al-Ittihad is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al-Nassr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Al-Nassr could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:30. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nassr won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nassr Riyadh won against Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
Al-Nassr Riyadh has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Jeddah won against Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Al-Ittihad Jeddah has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah were as follows:
06.12.2024
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
2:1
27.05.2024
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
4:2
26.12.2023
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
2:5
09.03.2023
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
1:0
26.01.2023
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
3:1
Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Jeddah
Saudi Professional League Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Al Ittihad | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 79:35 | 44 | 83 |
2 | Al Hilal | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 95:41 | 54 | 75 |
3 | Al Nassr | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 80:38 | 42 | 70 |
4 | Al Qadisiya | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 53:31 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Al Ahli SC | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 67 |
6 | Al Shabab | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 65:41 | 24 | 60 |
7 | Al Ettifaq | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 50 |
8 | Al Taawon | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
9 | Al Kholood | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 42:64 | -22 | 40 |
10 | Al Fateh | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 47:61 | -14 | 39 |
11 | Al Riyadh | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 37:52 | -15 | 38 |
12 | Al Khaleej | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:57 | -17 | 37 |
13 | Al Fayha | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 27:49 | -22 | 36 |
14 | Damac | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:50 | -13 | 35 |
15 | Al Okhdood | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 33:56 | -23 | 34 |
16 | Al Wehda | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 42:67 | -25 | 33 |
17 | Al Orubah | 34 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 31:74 | -43 | 30 |
18 | Al Raed | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41:66 | -25 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1