Al-Qadisiya vs Al-Nassr Riyadh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Saudi Professional League Al-Qadisiya - Al-Nassr Riyadh
Result
2:1
18/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 3, New World Sport 1, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
asiaAsiaGOBX Arabic
australiaAustralia10 Play
austriaAustriaDAZN
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brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
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croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Ultra
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, DAZN France, New World TV
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 3
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
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indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
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mexicoMexicoAzteca Deportes
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
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peruPeruZapping Sports
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2
portugalPortugalSport TV4
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP, SSC Sports 1, SSC Sports 5
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4, SportKlub 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV, SPOTV Now
spainSpainDAZN Espana, Marca
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN 1 UK
usaUsaDAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.311.54
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
80% (257/322)87% (441/507)
Yellow Cards
65
Expected Goals (xG)
1.311.54
xG on target (xGOT)
2.300.55
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1916
Offsides
17
Free Kicks
1419
Passes
80% (257/322)87% (441/507)
Long passes
67% (44/66)54% (31/57)
Passes in final third
69% (68/99)72% (84/116)
Crosses
7% (1/14)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.551.06
Fouls
1914
Tackles
76% (13/17)46% (6/13)
Duels won
4345
Clearances Total
2115
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.552.30
Goals prevented
-0.450.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', Fernandez E. 🟨,
  • 27', Fernandez N. 🟨,
  • 30', Mane S. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Al Ammar T. ,
  • 39', Nandez N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', Al Ghannam S. 🟨,
  • 53', Alvarez G. 🟨,
  • 57', Al Hassan A. , Yahya A. ,
  • 71', Alvarez G. , Mahnashi I. ,
  • 75', Abu Al Shamat M. 🟨,
  • 76', Al Ammar T. 🟨,
  • 78', Al Ammar T. , Hazazi A. A. ,
  • 80', Al Ghannam S. , Al Najdi S. ,
  • 80', Boushal N. 🟨,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Mane S. , Otavio (A),
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Aubameyang P. , Nandez N. (A),
  • 89', Brozovic M. , Al Khaibari A. ,
  • 89', Laporte A. , Lajami A. ,

Chances of winning


Al-Qadisiya
30.1%
Draw
26.2%
Al-Nassr Riyadh
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 23.9% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 23.6% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Qadisiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Qadisiya's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Nassr Riyadh's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Qadisiya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Nassr Riyadh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Al-Qadisiya - Al-Nassr Riyadh Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.1
    (2.4)
    3.58
    (3.85)
    2.14
    (2.45)
    6.8%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and Saudi Professional League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FOX Deportes
  • What is the prediction for Al-Qadisiya - Al-Nassr Riyadh?
  • Users Predictions: Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Recent matches Al-Qadisiya is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Al-Nassr in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recently Al-Nassr have a series of home games.
    • Al-Nassr will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Al-Qadisiya won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Al-Qadisiya won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Qadisiya - Al-Nassr Riyadh were as follows:
    22.11.2024 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya 1:2
    Latest results of Al-Qadisiya
    12.04.2025 Al-Feiha - Al-Qadisiya 2:1
    02.04.2025 Al-Qadisiya - Al Raed 1:0
    14.03.2025 Damac - Al-Qadisiya 1:0
    Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Ittihad34265379:354483
    2Al Hilal34236595:415475
    3Al Nassr34217680:384270
    4Al Qadisiya34215853:312268
    5Al Ahli SC34214969:363367
    6Al Shabab341861065:412460
    7Al Ettifaq341481244:45-150
    8Al Taawon341291340:39145
    9Al Kholood341241842:64-2240
    10Al Fateh341161747:61-1439
    11Al Riyadh341081637:52-1538
    12Al Khaleej341071740:57-1737
    13Al Fayha348121427:49-2236
    14Damac34981737:50-1335
    15Al Okhdood34971833:56-2334
    16Al Wehda34961942:67-2533
    17Al Orubah34932231:74-4330
    18Al Raed34632541:66-2521

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1