Result
1:2
08/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1, ZAP |
 Angola | Z Sports 1 |
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Australia | Channel 10 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Hong-kong | on.cc |
 Hungary | Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia Solo Calcio |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 4 |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium |
 Usa | Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 1.76 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (396/464) | 81% (322/397) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 1.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 2.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (396/464) | 81% (322/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (34/55) | 53% (31/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (109/138) | 69% (60/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.78 | 1.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Fernandez N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 51', 0 - 1, Quinones J. ⚽,
- 59', Angelo 🟨,
- 65', Casteels K. ↓, Al Kassar A. ↑,
- 67', 0 - 2, Nandez N. ⚽,
- 69', Bonsu Baah C. 🟨,
- 70', Alvarez G. 🟨,
- 74', Yahya A. ↓, Al Nasser S. ↑,
- 74', Angelo ↓, Wesley ↑,
- 79', Nandez N. 🟨,
- 81', 1 - 2, Ronaldo C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 85', Brozovic M. 🟨,
- 87', Hazazi A. A. 🟨,
- 87', Bonsu Baah C. ↓, Al Shahrani Y. ↑,
- 90+5', Al Khaibari A. ↓, Al Hassan A. ↑,
- 90+5', Brozovic M. ↓, Ghareeb A. ↑,
- 90+5', Nandez N. ↓, Mahnashi I. ↑,
- 90+11', Abu Al Shamat M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Nassr Riyadh
58.3% | Draw
21.4% | Al-Qadisiya
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Al-Qadisiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qadisiya than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.62) |
4.32 ↑
(4.17) |
4.53 ↑
(4.34) |
9.2%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH -1 - Al-Nassr (1.92) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH -1.5 - Al-Nassr (2.35) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al-Nassr Riyadh will win
(26 of 28 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.32% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 21 - 91.3%). Al-Qadisiya (votes: 1 - 4.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 5).
- Al-Nassr is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Al-Qadisiya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Al-Nassr is the team to beat.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nassr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nassr Riyadh won against Al-Qadisiya?
Al-Nassr Riyadh has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Qadisiya won against Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Al-Qadisiya has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya were as follows:
18.04.2025
Al-Qadisiya
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
2:1
22.11.2024
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Al-Qadisiya
1:2
Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
Latest results of Al-Qadisiya
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 27 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 76:21 | 55 | 70 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 75:25 | 50 | 68 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 55:20 | 35 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 65:29 | 36 | 61 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 49:35 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41:49 | -8 | 42 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 35:43 | -8 | 34 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 31 |
| 11 | Al Hazem | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 29:48 | -19 | 31 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 28 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 36:56 | -20 | 26 |
| 15 | Damac | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 25:46 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 23:57 | -34 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 27 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 25:66 | -41 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
