Result
2:3
30/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Faghani A. (Irn)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Bangladesh | T Sports |
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | iQIYI, Migu |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Cote-d-ivoire | RTI 1 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
 Germany | Sportdigital+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI, RCTI+, Vidio |
 Iran | Persiana Sports |
 Iraq | Al Rabiaa Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Kyrgyzstan | KTRK Sports |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Maldives | Medianet |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Netherlands | Canal+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | Cignal Play, Matchday+, Premier Football |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Qatar | Shoof |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Russia | Okko Sport, TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6, SportKlub 5 |
 Singapore | meWATCH |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 South-korea | Tving, tvN Sports |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
 Tajikistan | Futbol TV, Varzish Sport |
 Turkey | D Smart GO, Spor Smart 1 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 United-arab-emirates | Abu Dhabi Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Uzbekistan | MTRK Sport |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | FPT Play |
 World | Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 74% | 26% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (541/629) | 68% (146/216) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 2.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (541/629) | 68% (146/216) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (21/42) | 26% (11/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (175/226) | 52% (33/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 55 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.65 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | -1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Ito T. ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, Mane S. ⚽, Boushal N. (A),
- 37', Lajami A. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 2, Ozeki Y. ⚽,
- 44', Lajami A. ↓, Laporte A. ↑,
- 44', Al Hassan A. ↓, Angelo ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ozeki Y. ↓, Wakizaka Y. ↑,
- 46', Kanda S. ↓, Erison ↑,
- 60', Tachibanada K. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
- 64', Marcinho ↓, Ienaga A. ↑,
- 70', van Wermeskerken S. ↓, Sasaki A. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 3, Ienaga A. ⚽, Erison (A),
- 77', Al Ghannam S. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
- 78', Brozovic M. ↓, Wesley ↑,
- 87', 2 - 3, Yahya A. ⚽, Wesley (A),
Chances of winning
Al-Nassr Riyadh
69.6% | Draw
17.4% | Kawasaki Frontale
13% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Nassr Riyadh's performance.Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kawasaki Frontale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Nassr Riyadh that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kawasaki Frontale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al-Nassr Riyadh - Kawasaki Frontale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.62) |
5.41 ↑
(4.5) |
7.26 ↑
(4.88) |
6.1%
(4.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Al-Nassr Riyadh - Kawasaki Frontale?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Al-Nassr Riyadh will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Al-Nassr is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 4).
- Recent matches Kawasaki is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games, wins - 1).
- Al-Nassr could have advantage in physical - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently, Al-Nassr had a set of guest games.
- In this match, Al-Nassr is absolute favorite.
- Our prediction is that Al-Nassr will win today's game, with odds 1.35.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nassr Riyadh won against Kawasaki Frontale?
Al-Nassr Riyadh has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Kawasaki Frontale has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nassr Riyadh - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Pakhtakor (8) | 4 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Gwangju FC (4) | Vissel Kobe (5) | 3 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al Rayyan (7) | 2 : 0, 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Johor DT (3) | Buriram (6) | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Yokohama F. Marinos (1) | Shanghai Port (8) | 4 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Al Nassr (3) | Esteghlal F.C. (6) | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | Shanghai Shenhua (7) | 4 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Al-Sadd (4) | Al Wasl (5) | 3 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Gwangju FC (4) | 7 : 0 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Buriram (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Yokohama F. Marinos (1) | Al Nassr (3) | 1 : 4 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | Al-Sadd (4) | 3 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al Ahli SC (2) | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Al Nassr (3) | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | 2 : 3 |
Final| 1 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | 2 : 0 |
