Result
2:3
30/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Faghani A. (Irn)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 2 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | Paramount+ |
Bangladesh | T Sports |
Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | iQIYI, Migu |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Cote-d-ivoire | RTI 1 |
Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
Germany | Sportdigital+ |
Hong-kong | HOY TV |
India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI, RCTI+, Vidio |
Iran | Persiana Sports |
Iraq | Al Rabiaa Sport 2 |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
Kyrgyzstan | KTRK Sports |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka |
Maldives | Medianet |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
Netherlands | Canal+ |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | Cignal Play, Matchday+, Premier Football |
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Qatar | Shoof |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
Russia | Okko Sport, TV Start, TV Start Triumph |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1 |
Serbia | Arena Sport 6, SportKlub 5 |
Singapore | meWATCH |
Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
South-korea | Tving, tvN Sports |
Spain | LaLiga+ |
Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
Tajikistan | Futbol TV, Varzish Sport |
Turkey | D Smart GO, Spor Smart 1 |
Ukraine | Sport 1 |
United-arab-emirates | Abu Dhabi Sports 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Uzbekistan | MTRK Sport |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | FPT Play |
World | Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.51 | 1.44 |
Ball Possession |
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74% | 26% |
Total shots |
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21 | 9 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 5 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 5 |
Passes |
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86% (541/629) | 68% (146/216) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.51 | 1.44 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.82 | 2.65 |
Total shots |
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21 | 9 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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12 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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11 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
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10 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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39 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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10 | 5 |
Passes |
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86% (541/629) | 68% (146/216) |
Long passes |
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50% (21/42) | 26% (11/42) |
Passes in final third |
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77% (175/226) | 52% (33/64) |
Crosses |
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19% (5/27) | 33% (3/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.35 | 0.67 |
Throw-ins |
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29 | 14 |
Fouls |
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5 | 10 |
Tackles |
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57% (8/14) | 67% (14/21) |
Duels won |
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54 | 48 |
Clearances |
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18 | 55 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 16 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
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2.65 | 0.82 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.35 | -1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Ito T. ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, Mane S. ⚽, Boushal N. (A),
- 37', Lajami A. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 2, Ozeki Y. ⚽,
- 44', Lajami A. ↓, Laporte A. ↑,
- 44', Al Hassan A. ↓, Angelo ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ozeki Y. ↓, Wakizaka Y. ↑,
- 46', Kanda S. ↓, Erison ↑,
- 60', Tachibanada K. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
- 64', Marcinho ↓, Ienaga A. ↑,
- 70', van Wermeskerken S. ↓, Sasaki A. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 3, Ienaga A. ⚽, Erison (A),
- 77', Al Ghannam S. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
- 78', Brozovic M. ↓, Wesley ↑,
- 87', 2 - 3, Yahya A. ⚽, Wesley (A),
Chances of winning
Al-Nassr Riyadh 69.6% | Draw 17.4% | Kawasaki Frontale 13% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Nassr Riyadh's performance.Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kawasaki Frontale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Nassr Riyadh that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kawasaki Frontale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al-Nassr Riyadh - Kawasaki Frontale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.35 ↓ (1.62) |
5.41 ↑ (4.5) |
7.26 ↑ (4.88) |
6.1% (4.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Al-Nassr Riyadh - Kawasaki Frontale?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Al-Nassr Riyadh will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Al-Nassr is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 4).
- Recent matches Kawasaki is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games, wins - 1).
- Al-Nassr could have advantage in physical - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently, Al-Nassr had a set of guest games.
- In this match, Al-Nassr is absolute favorite.
- Our prediction is that Al-Nassr will win today's game, with odds 1.35.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nassr Riyadh won against Kawasaki Frontale?
Al-Nassr Riyadh has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Kawasaki Frontale has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nassr Riyadh - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals1 | Al Hilal (1) | Pakhtakor (8) | 4 : 0, 0 : 1 |
2 | Gwangju FC (4) | Vissel Kobe (5) | 3 : 0, 0 : 2 |
3 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al Rayyan (7) | 2 : 0, 3 : 1 |
4 | Johor DT (3) | Buriram (6) | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
5 | Yokohama F. Marinos (1) | Shanghai Port (8) | 4 : 1, 1 : 0 |
6 | Al Nassr (3) | Esteghlal F.C. (6) | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | Shanghai Shenhua (7) | 4 : 0, 0 : 1 |
8 | Al-Sadd (4) | Al Wasl (5) | 3 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals1 | Al Hilal (1) | Gwangju FC (4) | 7 : 0 |
2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Buriram (6) | 3 : 0 |
3 | Yokohama F. Marinos (1) | Al Nassr (3) | 1 : 4 |
4 | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | Al-Sadd (4) | 3 : 2 |
Semi-finals1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al Ahli SC (2) | 1 : 3 |
2 | Al Nassr (3) | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | 2 : 3 |
Final1 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | 2 : 0 |