Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Kawasaki Frontale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League Al-Nassr Riyadh - Kawasaki Frontale
Result
2:3
30/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Faghani A. (Irn)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaParamount+
bangladeshBangladeshT Sports
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu
colombiaColombiaDisney+
cote-d-ivoireCote-d-ivoireRTI 1
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
germanyGermanySportdigital+
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI, RCTI+, Vidio
iranIranPersiana Sports
iraqIraqAl Rabiaa Sport 2
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanKTRK Sports
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
mexicoMexicoDisney+
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play, Matchday+, Premier Football
portugalPortugalCanal 11
qatarQatarShoof
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
russiaRussiaOkko Sport, TV Start, TV Start Triumph
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6, SportKlub 5
singaporeSingaporemeWATCH
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4
south-koreaSouth-koreaTving, tvN Sports
spainSpainLaLiga+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV, Varzish Sport
turkeyTurkeyD Smart GO, Spor Smart 1
ukraineUkraineSport 1
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
uzbekistanUzbekistanMTRK Sport
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play
worldWorldOnefootball, Sport 1 Baltic, Triller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.511.44
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
219
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
86% (541/629)68% (146/216)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.511.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.822.65
Total shots
219
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
123
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
3922
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
105
Passes
86% (541/629)68% (146/216)
Long passes
50% (21/42)26% (11/42)
Passes in final third
77% (175/226)52% (33/64)
Crosses
19% (5/27)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.350.67
Throw-ins
2914
Fouls
510
Tackles
57% (8/14)67% (14/21)
Duels won
5448
Clearances
1855
Interceptions
716
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
2.650.82
Goals prevented
-0.35-1.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Ito T. ,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Mane S. , Boushal N. (A),
  • 37', Lajami A. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 2, Ozeki Y. ,
  • 44', Lajami A. , Laporte A. ,
  • 44', Al Hassan A. , Angelo ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ozeki Y. , Wakizaka Y. ,
  • 46', Kanda S. , Erison ,
  • 60', Tachibanada K. , Kawahara S. ,
  • 64', Marcinho , Ienaga A. ,
  • 70', van Wermeskerken S. , Sasaki A. ,
  • 76', 1 - 3, Ienaga A. , Erison (A),
  • 77', Al Ghannam S. , Yahya A. ,
  • 78', Brozovic M. , Wesley ,
  • 87', 2 - 3, Yahya A. , Wesley (A),

Chances of winning


Al-Nassr Riyadh
69.6%
Draw
17.4%
Kawasaki Frontale
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 21.3% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 20.7% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Nassr Riyadh's performance.
  • Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kawasaki Frontale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Nassr Riyadh that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kawasaki Frontale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Al-Nassr Riyadh - Kawasaki Frontale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.62)
    5.41
    (4.5)
    7.26
    (4.88)
    6.1%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Al-Nassr Riyadh - Kawasaki Frontale?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Al-Nassr is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Kawasaki is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games, wins - 1).
    • Al-Nassr could have advantage in physical - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently, Al-Nassr had a set of guest games.
    • In this match, Al-Nassr is absolute favorite.
    • Our prediction is that Al-Nassr will win today's game, with odds 1.35.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Al Hilal (1)Pakhtakor (8)4 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Gwangju FC (4)Vissel Kobe (5)3 : 0, 0 : 2
    3Al Ahli SC (2)Al Rayyan (7)2 : 0, 3 : 1
    4Johor DT (3)Buriram (6)0 : 1, 0 : 0
    5Yokohama F. Marinos (1)Shanghai Port (8)4 : 1, 1 : 0
    6Al Nassr (3)Esteghlal F.C. (6)3 : 0, 0 : 0
    7Kawasaki Frontale (2)Shanghai Shenhua (7)4 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Al-Sadd (4)Al Wasl (5)3 : 1, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Al Hilal (1)Gwangju FC (4)7 : 0
    2Al Ahli SC (2)Buriram (6)3 : 0
    3Yokohama F. Marinos (1)Al Nassr (3)1 : 4
    4Kawasaki Frontale (2)Al-Sadd (4)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Al Hilal (1)Al Ahli SC (2)1 : 3
    2Al Nassr (3)Kawasaki Frontale (2)2 : 3

    Final
    1Al Ahli SC (2)Kawasaki Frontale (2)2 : 0