Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Kawasaki Frontale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League
Result
2:3
30/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Faghani A. (Irn)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaParamount+
bangladeshBangladeshT Sports
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu
colombiaColombiaDisney+
cote-d-ivoireCote-d-ivoireRTI 1
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
germanyGermanySportdigital+
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI, RCTI+, Vidio
iranIranPersiana Sports
iraqIraqAl Rabiaa Sport 2
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanKTRK Sports
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
mexicoMexicoDisney+
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play, Matchday+, Premier Football
portugalPortugalCanal 11
qatarQatarShoof
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
russiaRussiaOkko Sport, TV Start, TV Start Triumph
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6, SportKlub 5
singaporeSingaporemeWATCH
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4
south-koreaSouth-koreaTving, tvN Sports
spainSpainLaLiga+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV, Varzish Sport
turkeyTurkeyD Smart GO, Spor Smart 1
ukraineUkraineSport 1
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
uzbekistanUzbekistanMTRK Sport
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play
worldWorldOnefootball, Sport 1 Baltic, Triller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.511.44
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
219
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
86% (541/629)68% (146/216)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.511.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.822.65
Total shots
219
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
123
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
3922
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
105
Passes
86% (541/629)68% (146/216)
Long passes
50% (21/42)26% (11/42)
Passes in final third
77% (175/226)52% (33/64)
Crosses
19% (5/27)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.350.67
Throw-ins
2914
Fouls
510
Tackles
57% (8/14)67% (14/21)
Duels won
5448
Clearances
1855
Interceptions
716
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
2.650.82
Goals prevented
-0.35-1.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Ito T. ⚽,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Mane S. ⚽, Boushal N. (A),
  • 37', Lajami A. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 2, Ozeki Y. ⚽,
  • 44', Lajami A. ↓, Laporte A. ↑,
  • 44', Al Hassan A. ↓, Angelo ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ozeki Y. ↓, Wakizaka Y. ↑,
  • 46', Kanda S. ↓, Erison ↑,
  • 60', Tachibanada K. ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,
  • 64', Marcinho ↓, Ienaga A. ↑,
  • 70', van Wermeskerken S. ↓, Sasaki A. ↑,
  • 76', 1 - 3, Ienaga A. ⚽, Erison (A),
  • 77', Al Ghannam S. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
  • 78', Brozovic M. ↓, Wesley ↑,
  • 87', 2 - 3, Yahya A. ⚽, Wesley (A),

Chances of winning


Al-Nassr Riyadh
69.6%		Draw
17.4%		Kawasaki Frontale
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 21.3% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 20.7% 19.1%

Al-Nassr Riyadh - Kawasaki Frontale Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.35 ↓
(1.62)		 5.41 ↑
(4.5)		 7.26 ↑
(4.88)		 6.1%
(4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Al-Nassr Riyadh - Kawasaki Frontale?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
    •
  • Users Predictions: Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Al-Nassr is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Kawasaki is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games, wins - 1).
    • Al-Nassr could have advantage in physical - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently, Al-Nassr had a set of guest games.
    • In this match, Al-Nassr is absolute favorite.
    • Our prediction is that Al-Nassr will win today's game, with odds 1.35.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
    26.04.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Al-Nassr Riyadh 1:4 ✺
    22.04.2025 Damac - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:3 ✺
    18.04.2025 Al-Qadisiya - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Riyadh 2:1
    04.04.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh 1:3 ✺
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    27.04.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Al-Sadd 3:2 ✺
    20.04.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo Verdy 0:0 ✺
    16.04.2025 Vissel Kobe - Kawasaki Frontale 2:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Kawasaki Frontale 1:1 ✺
    09.04.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Yokohama F. Marinos 3:3 ✺
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe540110:4612
    2Melbourne City53026:519
    3Seoul52217:438
    4Machida52217:438
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima52215:328
    6Ulsan HD52214:318
    7Johor DT52126:517
    8Buriram52125:6-17
    9Gangwon52037:9-26
    10Chengdu Rongcheng51223:5-25
    11Shanghai Shenhua51135:8-34
    12Shanghai Port50142:11-91


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal ✔ 550014:5915
    2Al Wahda ✔ 541010:4613
    3Tractor53208:1711
    4Al Ahli SC531112:6610
    5Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai53119:6310
    6Al-Duhail521212:1027
    7Al Sharjah52126:12-67
    8Al Ittihad520310:826
    9Al-Gharafa51046:12-63
    10Al-Sadd50235:10-52
    11Al Shorta50142:12-101
    12Nasaf Qarshi50056:14-80

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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