Al-Diriyah vs Al-Orobah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
20/02/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.721.12
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
101
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
67
Passes
81% (339/421)75% (229/304)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
1.721.12
xG on target (xGOT)
4.290.78
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
101
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
137
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
11
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
2615
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1117
Passes
81% (339/421)75% (229/304)
Long passes
52% (30/58)45% (23/51)
Passes in final third
68% (69/102)49% (39/79)
Crosses
18% (4/22)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.901.08
Throw ins
2113
Fouls
1711
Tackles
60% (9/15)65% (11/17)
Duels won
5051
Clearances
1328
Interceptions
820
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
07
xGOT faced
0.784.29
Goals prevented
-0.221.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', Al Hujaili A. 🟨,
  • 36', Doumbia A. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Laborde G. ,
  • 44', Simy 🟨,
  • 45+2', Al Malki A. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Colley O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Al Malki A. , Al Farhan S. ,
  • 49', 2 - 0, Marega M. , Al Faraj A. (A),
  • 54', Gonzalez D. , Al Rashidi F. ,
  • 59', 3 - 0, Laborde G. , Al Faraj A. (A),
  • 64', Diandy C. , Al Rahmani S. ,
  • 66', 3 - 1, Simy , Doumbia A. (A),
  • 68', Hendi A. , Al Harbi S. ,
  • 79', Rodriguez O. , Al Zarie H. ,
  • 90', Rabie F. , Al Hazmi R. ,

Chances of winning


Al-Diriyah
60.9%
Draw
22.1%
Al-Orobah
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.3% 23.8% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 23.3% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Diriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Diriyah's performance.
  • Al-Orobah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Orobah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Diriyah than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Diriyah that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Orobah than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Orobah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Al-Diriyah - Al-Orobah Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.75)
    4.11
    (3.84)
    5.36
    (3.83)
    10.1%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • In this match, Al-Diriyah is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Diriyah won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Diriyah won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Diriyah - Al-Orobah were as follows:
    28.10.2025 Al-Orobah - Al-Diriyah 3:3
    Latest results of Al-Diriyah
    15.02.2026 Al-Diriyah - Al-Ula 1:3
    09.02.2026 Al Jandal - Al-Diriyah 0:4
    28.01.2026 Al-Adalh - Al-Diriyah 1:1
    23.01.2026 Al-Diriyah - Al-Taee 2:0
    Latest results of Al-Orobah
    14.02.2026 Al-Orobah - Al-Adalh 2:2
    09.02.2026 Al Jubail - Al-Orobah 2:3
    03.02.2026 Al-Orobah - Abha 1:2
    28.01.2026 Al-Taee - Al-Orobah 1:3
    23.01.2026 Al-Orobah - Al-Bukayriyah 3:0
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha28225159:223771
    2Al Diriyah28195468:284062
    3Al-Ula28167560:283255
    4Al-Faisaly281410456:332352
    5Al Orubah28155844:35950
    6Al Jabalain28147749:341549
    7Al Raed28129752:371545
    8Al Zulfi28109938:35339
    9Al Taee281081041:39238
    10Al Bukiryah281141330:40-1037
    11Al Anwar28811942:41135
    12Jeddah288101030:39-934
    13Al Wehda28961342:51-933
    14Al Jandal28781326:48-2229
    15Al Adalah28391634:63-2918
    16Al Arabi28442014:51-3716
    17Al Batin28361929:57-2815
    18Al Jubail28352024:57-3314

          Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation