Al-Shabab Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
31/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
chinaChinaQQ Sports
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.052.32
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
76% (243/320)85% (454/537)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
2.052.32
xG on target (xGOT)
2.273.27
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
2921
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
159
Passes
76% (243/320)85% (454/537)
Long passes
50% (22/44)45% (30/66)
Passes in final third
67% (80/119)83% (143/172)
Crosses
14% (3/21)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.311.24
Throw-ins
2119
Fouls
915
Tackles
55% (11/20)61% (14/23)
Duels won
5654
Clearances
2125
Interceptions
1813
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
3.272.27
Goals prevented
0.270.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Retegui M. , Quinones J. (A),
  • 30', Hernandez U. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 2, Quinones J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 39', Matuq A. 🟨,
  • 41', 0 - 3, Nandez N. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Hernandez U. , Carlos Junior ,
  • 46', Retegui M. 🟨,
  • 52', Hoedt W. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 3, Brownhill J. ,
  • 66', Al Shwirekh M. , Al Subiani F. ,
  • 68', Nandez N. , Al Qahtani H. ,
  • 75', Quinones J. , Rajab S. ,
  • 77', Matuq A. , Al Hammami H. ,
  • 80', Brownhill J. 🟨,
  • 81', Brownhill J. , Al Saadi N. ,
  • 81', Al Juwayr M. , Hazazi A. A. ,
  • 81', Bonsu Baah C. , Al Ammar T. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 3, Carrasco Y. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Al-Shabab Riyadh
17.6%
Draw
22.8%
Al-Qadisiya
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.8% 27.5% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Shabab Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Shabab Riyadh's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Qadisiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Qadisiya's recent form is better than expected.
  • Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.26
    (3.71)
    4.07
    (3.35)
    1.55
    (1.94)
    8.3%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Al-Qadisiya (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Al-Qadisiya (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Al-Qadisiya will win (31 of 32 users predict this - 96.88%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 90.86%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Qadisiya will win (19 of 19 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 22 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Qadisiya (votes: 22 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 5).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Al-Shabab may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Al-Qadisiya is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shabab won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya were as follows:
    13.02.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya 2:3
    15.09.2024 Al-Qadisiya - Al-Shabab Riyadh 0:1
    Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
    Latest results of Al-Qadisiya
    27.12.2025 Al-Qadisiya - Damac 1:1
    06.11.2025 Al-Qadisiya - Al-Kholood 4:0
    01.11.2025 Al-Taawoun - Al-Qadisiya 2:0
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Ahli SC24185146:153159
    2Al Nassr23191362:184458
    3Al Hilal23167057:203755
    4Al Qadsiah23165254:213353
    5Al Taawon23124741:281340
    6Al Ittihad23116638:281039
    7Al Ettifaq23115734:39-538
    8Neom SC2395928:31-332
    9Al Fateh24771032:43-1128
    10Al Khaleej23761042:37527
    11Al Fayha23761027:38-1127
    12Al Shabab23671027:33-625
    13Al Hazem23671023:43-2025
    14Al Kholood23711530:41-1122
    15Al Riyadh24371422:45-2316
    16Damac242101218:41-2316
    17Al Okhdood23241719:49-3010
    18Al Najma23151721:51-308

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