Result
2:2
21/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | JACO Middle East |
China | QQ Sports |
Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (305/362) | 83% (272/326) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 2.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (305/362) | 83% (272/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (20/45) | 43% (18/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (60/84) | 70% (81/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 31% (8/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', Al Khaibari M. 🟨,
- 19', Al Boardi O. 🟨,
- 25', Al Rubaie S. 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 1, Toze ⚽, Soro I. (A),
- 28', Petros 🟨,
- 45+2', Nguen T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Gul G. ↓, Al Salem A. ↑,
- 47', Nguen T. 🟨,
- 56', Khatir A. 🟨,
- 59', Al Boardi O. ↓, Al Khaibari A. I. ↑,
- 59', Okou T. ↓, Al Absi K. ↑,
- 59', Khatir A. ↓, Al Shehri Y. ↑,
- 61', Al Absi K. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 1, Al Rubaie S. ⚽, Al Abbas S. (A),
- 71', Pedroza J. 🟨,
- 75', Al Abbas S. ↓, Al Harthi S. ↑,
- 77', Gunter K. ↓, Al Qaydhi M. ↑,
- 79', Soro I. ↓, Haroun S. ↑,
- 85', Bassogog C. ↓, Al Hatila A. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 1, Al Rubaie S. ⚽, Pedroza J. (A),
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Haroun S. ⚽, Sylla M. (A),
Chances of winning
Al Akhdoud 35.9% | Draw 29.9% | Al-Riyadh 34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Al-Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (+2%)
Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.54 ↑ (2.49) |
3.09 ↓ (3.48) |
2.68 ↑ (2.63) |
9.2% (6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Al Akhdoud will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Al-Riyadh will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Akhdoud: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Al Akhdoud (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 1.
- Al Akhdoud is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Riyadh is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Al-Riyadh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Akhdoud won against Al-Riyadh?
Al Akhdoud has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Riyadh won against Al Akhdoud?
Al-Riyadh has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh were as follows:
08.03.2025
Al-Riyadh
-
Al Akhdoud
1:0
20.10.2024
Al Akhdoud
-
Al-Riyadh
0:1
01.03.2024
Al Akhdoud
-
Al-Riyadh
1:2
01.09.2023
Al-Riyadh
-
Al Akhdoud
0:1
08.02.2023
Al Akhdoud
-
Al-Riyadh
1:2
Latest results of Al Akhdoud
Latest results of Al-Riyadh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 71:19 | 52 | 67 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 26 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 67:23 | 44 | 64 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 51:19 | 32 | 62 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 62:25 | 37 | 60 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 47:33 | 14 | 45 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 41:34 | 7 | 42 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:44 | -8 | 39 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:41 | -7 | 33 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 29:47 | -18 | 31 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 44:44 | 0 | 30 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34:47 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 26 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 34:48 | -14 | 25 |
| 15 | Damac | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 24:42 | -18 | 22 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25:49 | -24 | 19 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 22:57 | -35 | 13 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 26 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 23:61 | -38 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1