Result
2:2
21/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (305/362) | 83% (272/326) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 2.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (305/362) | 83% (272/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (20/45) | 43% (18/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (60/84) | 70% (81/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 31% (8/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', Al Khaibari M. 🟨,
- 19', Al Boardi O. 🟨,
- 25', Al Rubaie S. 🟨,
- 26', 0 - 1, Toze ⚽, Soro I. (A),
- 28', Petros 🟨,
- 45+2', Nguen T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Gul G. ↓, Al Salem A. ↑,
- 47', Nguen T. 🟨,
- 56', Khatir A. 🟨,
- 59', Al Boardi O. ↓, Al Khaibari A. I. ↑,
- 59', Okou T. ↓, Al Absi K. ↑,
- 59', Khatir A. ↓, Al Shehri Y. ↑,
- 61', Al Absi K. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 1, Al Rubaie S. ⚽, Al Abbas S. (A),
- 71', Pedroza J. 🟨,
- 75', Al Abbas S. ↓, Al Harthi S. ↑,
- 77', Gunter K. ↓, Al Qaydhi M. ↑,
- 79', Soro I. ↓, Haroun S. ↑,
- 85', Bassogog C. ↓, Al Hatila A. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 1, Al Rubaie S. ⚽, Pedroza J. (A),
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Haroun S. ⚽, Sylla M. (A),
Chances of winning
Al Akhdoud
35.9% | Draw
29.9% | Al-Riyadh
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(2.49) |
3.09 ↓
(3.48) |
2.68 ↑
(2.63) |
9.2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Al Akhdoud will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Al-Riyadh will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Akhdoud: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Al Akhdoud (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 1.
- Al Akhdoud is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Riyadh is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Al-Riyadh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Akhdoud won against Al-Riyadh?
Al Akhdoud has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Riyadh won against Al Akhdoud?
Al-Riyadh has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh were as follows:
08.03.2025
Al-Riyadh
-
Al Akhdoud
1:0
20.10.2024
Al Akhdoud
-
Al-Riyadh
0:1
01.03.2024
Al Akhdoud
-
Al-Riyadh
1:2
01.09.2023
Al-Riyadh
-
Al Akhdoud
0:1
08.02.2023
Al Akhdoud
-
Al-Riyadh
1:2
Latest results of Al Akhdoud
Latest results of Al-Riyadh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Hilal | 20 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 53:18 | 35 | 50 |
| 2 | Al Nassr | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 51:18 | 33 | 49 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 35:12 | 23 | 47 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 45:19 | 26 | 44 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 37:22 | 15 | 39 |
| 6 | Al Ettifaq | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:30 | 0 | 35 |
| 7 | Al Ittihad | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34:25 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 26:29 | -3 | 28 |
| 9 | Al Khaleej | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 39:32 | 7 | 26 |
| 10 | Al Fateh | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 26:35 | -9 | 24 |
| 11 | Al Fayha | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 22:33 | -11 | 23 |
| 12 | Al Hazem | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 20:37 | -17 | 21 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 26:35 | -9 | 19 |
| 15 | Damac | 20 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 14:35 | -21 | 12 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 18:40 | -22 | 12 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 15:41 | -26 | 10 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 20 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 18:41 | -23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
