Al Akhdoud vs Al-Riyadh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
21/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
chinaChinaQQ Sports
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah App, Thmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.301.52
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
919
Shots on target
35
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
54
Passes
84% (305/362)83% (272/326)
Yellow cards
54
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.301.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.572.14
Total shots
919
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
38
Blocked shots
36
Shots inside the box
512
Shots outside the box
47
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
20
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
1521
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free kicks
1311
Passes
84% (305/362)83% (272/326)
Long passes
44% (20/45)43% (18/42)
Passes in final third
71% (60/84)70% (81/116)
Crosses
19% (3/16)31% (8/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.791.29
Throw ins
2523
Fouls
1113
Tackles
63% (5/8)54% (7/13)
Duels won
3351
Clearances
2734
Interceptions
38
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
2.141.57
Goals prevented
0.14-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', Al Khaibari M. 🟨,
  • 19', Al Boardi O. 🟨,
  • 25', Al Rubaie S. 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 1, Toze , Soro I. (A),
  • 28', Petros 🟨,
  • 45+2', Nguen T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Gul G. , Al Salem A. ,
  • 47', Nguen T. 🟨,
  • 56', Khatir A. 🟨,
  • 59', Al Boardi O. , Al Khaibari A. I. ,
  • 59', Okou T. , Al Absi K. ,
  • 59', Khatir A. , Al Shehri Y. ,
  • 61', Al Absi K. 🟨,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Al Rubaie S. , Al Abbas S. (A),
  • 71', Pedroza J. 🟨,
  • 75', Al Abbas S. , Al Harthi S. ,
  • 77', Gunter K. , Al Qaydhi M. ,
  • 79', Soro I. , Haroun S. ,
  • 85', Bassogog C. , Al Hatila A. ,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Al Rubaie S. , Pedroza J. (A),
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Haroun S. , Sylla M. (A),

Chances of winning


Al Akhdoud
35.9%
Draw
29.9%
Al-Riyadh
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 26.9% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 26.5% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Al-Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.49)
    3.09
    (3.48)
    2.68
    (2.63)
    9.2%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al Akhdoud will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Al-Riyadh will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al Akhdoud: 45%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Akhdoud (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 1.
    • Al Akhdoud is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Al-Riyadh is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Al-Riyadh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al Akhdoud won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Al-Riyadh - Al Akhdoud 1:0
    20.10.2024 Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh 0:1
    01.03.2024 Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh 1:2
    01.09.2023 Al-Riyadh - Al Akhdoud 0:1
    08.02.2023 Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh 1:2
    Latest results of Al Akhdoud
    16.01.2026 Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud 4:1
    13.01.2026 Al Akhdoud - Al-Kholood 1:0
    30.12.2025 Al Akhdoud - Damac 0:1
    Latest results of Al-Riyadh
    18.01.2026 Al-Riyadh - Al-Taawoun 1:3
    13.01.2026 Al Fateh - Al-Riyadh 3:1
    10.01.2026 Al-Riyadh - Al-Feiha 1:1
    04.01.2026 Al-Qadisiya - Al-Riyadh 4:0
    29.12.2025 Al-Riyadh - Al Hazem 1:2
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Nassr28241378:215773
    2Al Hilal28208075:255068
    3Al Ahli SC28206255:203566
    4Al Qadsiah28187365:293661
    5Al Taawon28137850:371346
    6Al Ittihad28136945:38745
    7Al Ettifaq281261041:49-842
    8Neom SC291161237:41-439
    9Al Fayha29971335:45-1034
    10Al Hazem28971231:48-1734
    11Al Khaleej27871246:46031
    12Al Shabab27791134:40-630
    13Al Kholood29921838:57-1929
    14Al Fateh27771334:48-1428
    15Damac284111325:46-2123
    16Al Riyadh28581529:52-2323
    17Al Okhdood28442023:59-3616
    18Al Najma28252127:67-4011

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