Result
1:1
28/01/2026 at 10:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Hong-kong | on.cc |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (366/410) | 81% (155/192) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (366/410) | 81% (155/192) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (19/39) | 52% (23/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (89/120) | 49% (24/49) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (8/35) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.65 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Haroun S. ⚽, Toze (A),
- 38', Al Hawsawi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 1 - 1, Tijanic D. ⚽,
- 58', Haroun S. ↓, Hassoun A. ↑,
- 74', Al Harfi A. ↓, Al Absi K. ↑,
- 74', Al Boardi O. ↓, Hazazi S. ↑,
- 80', Al Dubais H. ↓, Al Shammeri A. ↑,
- 80', Vitao ↓, Al Subaie K. ↑,
- 87', Bayesh I. ↓, Sali E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Najma
33.9% | Draw
26.6% | Al-Riyadh
39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Najma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Al-Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Al-Najma - Al-Riyadh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↓
(2.9) |
3.53 ↑
(3.3) |
2.37 ↑
(2.3) |
6.9%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al-Najma - Al-Riyadh?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Al-Najma will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Najma (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Al-Riyadh (1.36) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Najma (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Al-Riyadh (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Al-Najma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Najma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Najma won against Al-Riyadh?
Al-Najma has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Riyadh won against Al-Najma?
Al-Riyadh has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Najma - Al-Riyadh were as follows:
14.09.2025
Al-Riyadh
-
Al-Najma
2:1
Latest results of Al-Najma
Latest results of Al-Riyadh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 27 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 76:21 | 55 | 70 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 75:25 | 50 | 68 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 55:20 | 35 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 65:29 | 36 | 61 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 49:35 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41:49 | -8 | 42 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 35:43 | -8 | 34 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 31 |
| 11 | Al Hazem | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 29:48 | -19 | 31 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 28 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 36:56 | -20 | 26 |
| 15 | Damac | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 25:46 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 23:57 | -34 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 27 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 25:66 | -41 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
