Result
1:2
04/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Q Football Asia, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 6 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (405/481) | 77% (257/335) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (405/481) | 77% (257/335) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (41/66) | 47% (28/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (90/125) | 62% (60/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.30 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', Dams M. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, Mahrez R. ⚽, Millot E. (A),
- 40', Suhail A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Giovani ↓, Atal Y. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Claudinho ⚽, Afif A. (A),
- 66', Millot E. ↓, Galeno ↑,
- 68', 1 - 2, Matheus Goncalves ⚽, Galeno (A),
- 70', Ibanez 🟨,
- 78', Mahrez R. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
- 79', Camara M. ↓, Guilherme ↑,
- 88', Majrashi A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Matheus Goncalves ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,
- 90+8', Afif A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Sadd
21.3% | Draw
22.8% | Al-Ahli Jeddah
55.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Sadd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Sadd than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Jeddah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.41 ↑
(3.99) |
4.13 ↑
(3.91) |
1.68 ↓
(1.73) |
6.4%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Jeddah?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Al-Ahli (1.83) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al-Ahli Jeddah will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 8 - 80%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Al-Sadd is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Ahli is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al-Sadd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Al-Sadd has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Al-Ahli is considered a favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Sadd won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Sadd won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Sadd won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Sadd has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Al-Sadd?
Al-Ahli Jeddah has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Jeddah were as follows:
03.02.2025
Al-Sadd
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1:3
Latest results of Al-Sadd
Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | |
| 3 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
| 4 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | |
| 8 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 1 |
