Result
1:2
04/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Q Football Asia, TOD |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Russia | TV Start |
Slovenia | SportKlub 6 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (405/481) | 77% (257/335) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (405/481) | 77% (257/335) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (41/66) | 47% (28/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (90/125) | 62% (60/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.30 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', Dams M. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, Mahrez R. ⚽, Millot E. (A),
- 40', Suhail A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Giovani ↓, Atal Y. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Claudinho ⚽, Afif A. (A),
- 66', Millot E. ↓, Galeno ↑,
- 68', 1 - 2, Matheus Goncalves ⚽, Galeno (A),
- 70', Ibanez 🟨,
- 78', Mahrez R. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
- 79', Camara M. ↓, Guilherme ↑,
- 88', Majrashi A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Matheus Goncalves ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,
- 90+8', Afif A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Sadd 21.3% | Draw 22.8% | Al-Ahli Jeddah 55.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Jeddah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.41 ↑ (3.99) |
4.13 ↑ (3.91) |
1.68 ↓ (1.73) |
6.4% (8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Jeddah?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Al-Ahli (1.83) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al-Ahli Jeddah will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Al-Sadd is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Ahli is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al-Sadd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Al-Sadd has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Al-Ahli is considered a favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Sadd won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Sadd won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Sadd won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Sadd has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Al-Sadd?
Al-Ahli Jeddah has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Jeddah were as follows:
03.02.2025
Al-Sadd
-
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1:3
Latest results of Al-Sadd
Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
AFC Champions League Table
League phaseEast | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe ✔ | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Machida ✔ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✔ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Melbourne City ✔ | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Seoul | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Johor DT | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Buriram | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | Ulsan HD | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Gangwon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 2 |
West | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Hilal ✔ | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:5 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Tractor ✔ | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:6 | 11 | 13 |
| 4 | Al Wahda ✔ | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Al-Duhail | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Al Sharjah | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 9 | Al-Gharafa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Al-Sadd | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | Al Shorta | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:17 | -15 | 1 |
| 12 | Nasaf Qarshi | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vissel Kobe is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Machida is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Melbourne City is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Tractor is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)